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The 'oh, who cares' 1st half of May boring ass pattern banter thread


Typhoon Tip

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  On 5/3/2013 at 6:44 PM, weatherwiz said:

I'm sure this pattern will eventually end up breaking down somewhat over the next few weeks...it may not break up completely but I wouldn't be shocked to see increased chances of rain over the next few weeks.  

 

I agree, It won't last forever

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  On 5/3/2013 at 6:47 PM, forkyfork said:

widespread convection 

 

 

It almost has a CAD look for CNE and maybe into interior SNE as CT and SW warm sectors. Either way, the pattern definitely changes to wetter starting with the coastal.

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  On 5/3/2013 at 6:45 PM, forkyfork said:

you'll like the day 8 euro

 

I wouldn't be surprised either if our first convective/severe threat occurs which that trough slides east as well...just hopefully though with an eastward slide of the trough it will allow for better moisture advection into the region.  

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  On 5/3/2013 at 6:49 PM, ORH_wxman said:

It almost has a CAD look for CNE and maybe into interior SNE as CT and SW warm sectors. Either way, the pattern definitely changes to wetter starting with the coastal.

 

Heh, I saw that and thought ... if that sets up, NYC doesn't warm sector, either.    I tell you what, if that warm sector did punch in, that would be a good shot at a severe day in SNE... You'd have huge SRH amid theta-e pooling under a warm boundary over N Mass.... forget it!   SNE or not that would be interesting.. 

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  On 5/3/2013 at 7:45 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

Heh, I saw that and thought ... if that sets up, NYC doesn't warm sector, either. I tell you what, if that warm sector did punch in, that would be a good shot at a severe day in SNE... You'd have huge SRH amid theta-e pooling under a warm boundary over N Mass.... forget it! SNE or not that would be interesting..

Somewhere in CT, a Laptop just tilted upwards.

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  On 5/3/2013 at 8:45 PM, Quincy said:

Sneaky mild with 68F at BDL, HFD and MMK. Low to mid-60's elsewhere.

Normal for BDL today is 67F so I'm not sure I'd call it mild. Seems pretty much like an AWT day to me...cooler east and warmer west.

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  On 5/3/2013 at 9:12 PM, dendrite said:

Normal for BDL today is 67F so I'm not sure I'd call it mild. Seems pretty much like an AWT day to me...cooler east and warmer west.

Mild can be a very subjective term. I don't like to call it warm, although many around here are.

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  On 5/3/2013 at 9:18 PM, Quincy said:

Mild can be a very subjective term. I don't like to call it warm, although many around here are.

It was definitely beautiful today. I'd rank it on the top 10 list for here...but for early May I just don't consider u60s mild.

 

The Euro was a little too cool down there today even if you lump on 3-5F to the 2m temps for diabatic heating for this time of year...so I guess it was a little "sneakily" warmer.

 

Looking at MOS data...the MAV had 66F for BDL today on the 00z/06z runs, but for some reason shaved a couple of degrees off at 12z. The MET was the way to go with 69F.

 

The MET is 3-4F warmer than the MAV for tomorrow for much of the region so it'll be interesting to see if it wins out again with a similar (but modifying) airmass in place.

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  On 5/3/2013 at 9:26 PM, dendrite said:

It was definitely beautiful today. I'd rank it on the top 10 list for here...but for early May I just don't consider u60s mild.

 

The Euro was a little too cool down there today even if you lump on 3-5F to the 2m temps for diabatic heating for this time of year...so I guess it was a little "sneakily" warmer.

 

Looking at MOS data...the MAV had 66F for BDL today on the 00z/06z runs, but for some reason shaved a couple of degrees off at 12z. The MET was the way to go with 69F.

 

The MET is 3-4F warmer than the MAV for tomorrow for much of the region so it'll be interesting to see if it wins out again with a similar (but modifying) airmass in place.

The Euro has been relatively cool with 2m temps over the past several weeks, at least for the stations I've checked in Connecticut. I think tomorrow warms up, but that Sunday/Monday will be the warmest. Could see a few stations make another run at 80 by then across the region.

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  On 5/3/2013 at 9:28 PM, Quincy said:

The Euro has been relatively cool with 2m temps over the past several weeks, at least for the stations I've checked in Connecticut. I think tomorrow warms up, but that Sunday/Monday will be the warmest. Could see a few stations make another run at 80 by then across the region.

All model 2m temps are too cool with diabatic heating via insolation...especially this time of year. So on most days you can't rely on 2m temps during the warm season unless you add a good 3-5F.

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  On 5/3/2013 at 9:12 PM, dendrite said:

Normal for BDL today is 67F so I'm not sure I'd call it mild. Seems pretty much like an AWT day to me...cooler east and warmer west.

 

 

So normal here at just under 900' should be about 63F since it's generally about 3-4F cooler than Bradley.

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  On 5/3/2013 at 8:43 PM, coventry1971 said:

High of 63F today, where are the mid-upper 60's?

71 at St. Johnsbury and 69 at Presque Isle, Caribou and Berlin, NH. All 4 not exactly garden spots. BDCF fail.

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  On 5/3/2013 at 11:50 PM, scoob40 said:

71 at St. Johnsbury and 69 at Presque Isle, Caribou and Berlin, NH. All 4 not exactly garden spots. BDCF fail.

This was always looking like more of an ENE backdoor with the biggest warmth departures over NNE. Looks like more of the same through the middle of next week.
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  On 5/4/2013 at 3:56 AM, dendrite said:

This was always looking like more of an ENE backdoor with the biggest warmth departures over NNE. Looks like more of the same through the middle of next week.

 

BML and HIE are always the places to be this time of year. It is much more apparent though when we're socked in on the coast and coastal plain with low clouds, fog, and drizzle and they're out in the full sunshine.

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  On 5/4/2013 at 9:59 AM, CoastalWx said:

Looks like we'll finally get some rain later next week. Heavy heavy itchy eyes right now.

 

My daughter's first Communion is next Sunday.  It'll suck if we trade in all the mild beautiful sunny days for a rainy day that day.  Also, with the weather possible taking a turn for the worst, my outdoor prepwork might be tought to schedule (mowing, etc.). 

 

Great down out there, today.

 

45.8/42, "She's a beaut, Clark".

 

Hey--where's HubbDave been?

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  On 5/4/2013 at 11:16 AM, ETauntonMA said:

Another frosty one out there, low of 32-33F. Currently 39F

You do so well with the cooling. I got to 42* here.  I think my specific locale must have one of the smaller year-round diurnal spreads of the folks on this board. I neither cool nor warm.   I guess a little like the coatal area. Things are pretty steady in this neck of GC.

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