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Early May Cutoff Low


Hoosier

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Never going to happen but the clown maps are getting more and more impressive the closer we get to the event.

Maybe not but wouldn't be surprised to see more surprises/forecast busts than usual. Not exactly a lot of applicable cases for reference.

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Maybe not but wouldn't be surprised to see more surprises/forecast busts than usual. Not exactly a lot of applicable cases for reference.

agreed. may snow storms just don't happen often, they're even usually done in northern Ontario and the northern Prairies at this time (north of the TCH's), much less into IA and WI. I'm personally thinking here like 3-5" if you measure hourly tonight. but if you're not actively measuring it, we'll be lucky to have 2-3" SOG in the morning. And I am assuming 6-1 for this storm. NWS-MPX in their discussion was saying as wet as 4-1 (I didn't know you could really go more than 5-1 theoretically, but who knows). But they were also saying the NAM was coming up with a 12-1 to 14-1 in the heavy burst that's supposed to happen. just screwy to say the least.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA  
553 PM CDT WED MAY 01 2013  
   
.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON
 
   
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.
 
 
..REMARKS..  
 
0545 PM SNOW RINGSTED 43.30N 94.51W  
05/01/2013 M6.5 INCH EMMET IA CO-OP OBSERVER  
 
AN AVERAGE OF 6 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE GROUND SO FAR  
TODAY. MOST OF THE SNOW FELL IN A VERY SHORT TIME EARLIER  
IN THE AFTERNOON AND HAS SINCE TAPERED OFF SLIGHTLY.  
ABOUT THREE INCHES OF WET SNOW ON AREA STREETS.  

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NAM forecasts 16" for Des Moines and almost 2 feet for southern Minnesota.

The clown maps for various models are showing one of the sharpest cutoffs I can remember. Even halving the extreme NAM amounts would blow the doors off of previous May snow records.

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0625 AM SNOW NEW POST 45.90N 91.19W
05/02/2013 M8.0 INCH SAWYER WI TRAINED SPOTTER

 

0620 AM SNOW 3 SE RIVER FALLS 44.82N 92.58W

05/02/2013 M9.0 INCH PIERCE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

 

0619 AM SNOW 1 S ASHLAND 46.57N 90.87W

05/02/2013 M8.0 INCH ASHLAND WI PUBLIC

 

0554 AM SNOW 5 S FARMINGTON 44.58N 93.18W
05/02/2013 M8.3 INCH DAKOTA MN TRAINED SPOTTER

 

0545 AM SNOW RED WING 44.58N 92.60W
05/02/2013 M9.3 INCH GOODHUE MN TRAINED SPOTTER

 

0553 AM SNOW CONGER 43.62N 93.53W
05/02/2013 M11.5 INCH FREEBORN MN PUBLIC

 

0510 AM SNOW 2 SE COTTAGE GROVE 44.80N 92.90W
05/02/2013 M8.0 INCH WASHINGTON MN PUBLIC

 

0529 AM SNOW ALBERT LEA 43.66N 93.37W

05/02/2013 M10.0 INCH FREEBORN MN TRAINED SPOTTER

 

0521 AM SNOW 4 N HAYWARD 46.07N 91.48W

05/02/2013 M9.5 INCH SAWYER WI PUBLIC

 

0516 AM SNOW 2 W HAYWARD 46.01N 91.52W
05/02/2013 M10.8 INCH SAWYER WI TRAINED SPOTTER

 

0445 AM SNOW OWATONNA 44.09N 93.22W
05/02/2013 M13.0 INCH STEELE MN TRAINED SPOTTER

 

0410 AM SNOW 4 N HAYWARD 46.07N 91.48W

05/02/2013 M8.5 INCH SAWYER WI PUBLIC

 

0332 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 NE BERNE 44.18N 92.75W
05/02/2013 M9.0 INCH DODGE MN PUBLIC

 

 


 

 

 

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Amazing. 

 

 

An historic snow storm will continue to affect portions of the Northland today. Snow will continue to come down hard at times with 12 to 18 inches of total snow accumulation expected in portions of northwestern Wisconsin. The snow will diminish tonight, but continue to affect the region. Across western portions of the Northland, some sunshine and warmer temperatures are expected.

 

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Well, looks like we have a new record.

 

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA  
755 AM CDT THU MAY 02 2013  
   
.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON
 
   
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.
 
 
..REMARKS..  
 
0600 AM SNOW 5 NE ALGONA 43.12N 94.16W  
05/02/2013 E10.5 INCH KOSSUTH IA PUBLIC

 

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Ashland WI obs the last two hours: 0.11" and 0.15" liquid measured respectively.

 

METAR KASX 021153Z AUTO 36006KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV006 M01/M02 A3054 RMK AO2 SLP354 P0011 60051 70074 T10061017 10000 21006 53009

 

METAR KASX 021253Z AUTO 36009KT 1/4SM SN FZFG VV006 M01/M02 A3053 RMK AO2 SLP349 P0015 T10061017

 

 

Hayward WI obs the last two hours: 0.14" and 0.20" liquid.

 

METAR KHYR 021153Z AUTO 00000KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV004 M01/M02 A3049 RMK AO2 SLP342 P0014 60057 70091 T10111022 10000 21011 53001

 

METAR KHYR 021253Z AUTO VRB03KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV003 M01/M02 A3048 RMK AO2 SLP340 P0020 T10111022

 

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0743 AM SNOW BALDWIN 44.96N 92.37W
05/02/2013 M14.7 INCH ST. CROIX WI PUBLIC

 

0740 AM SNOW 4 N HAYWARD 46.07N 91.48W

05/02/2013 M12.3 INCH SAWYER WI PUBLIC

 

0740 AM SNOW 2 SW AUSTIN 43.65N 93.00W

05/02/2013 M10.0 INCH MOWER MN PUBLIC

 

0730 AM SNOW 2 E OWATONNA 44.09N 93.18W

05/02/2013 M15.5 INCH STEELE MN PUBLIC

 

0729 AM SNOW WELLS 43.74N 93.73W
05/02/2013 M11.0 INCH FARIBAULT MN PUBLIC

 

0720 AM SNOW 8 S HAYWARD 45.89N 91.48W
05/02/2013 M13.5 INCH SAWYER WI TRAINED SPOTTER

 

0717 AM SNOW KASSON 44.03N 92.75W
05/02/2013 M13.0 INCH DODGE MN PUBLIC

 

0713 AM SNOW 2 SSE CLAREMONT 44.01N 92.98W

05/02/2013 M12.5 INCH DODGE MN PUBLIC

 

0700 AM SNOW 1 WNW DODGE CENTER 44.03N 92.87W

05/02/2013 M15.4 INCH DODGE MN COOP OBSERVER

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