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Southern/Central Plains Obs and Short Term Discussions


OKpowdah

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Amarillo may have a 50-degree drop from 5PM yesterday to 5PM today...97 to 47?  It's currently 50. 

They may drop into the upper 20s by tomorrow morning.

 

The 97 they saw yesterday was the third warmest April temp on record for them.

 

And they have a legitimate shot at their all-time record cold May temp tomorrow night. Unreal.

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Just getting home from the office now but I thought I'd share this from earlier in case nobody else saw it.

  721   ACUS11 KWNS 020111  SWOMCD  SPC MCD 020110   MNZ000-IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-020515-    MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0590  NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  0810 PM CDT WED MAY 01 2013    AREAS AFFECTED...NW IA...NE NEB...S-CNTRL/SW MN    CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW     VALID 020110Z - 020515Z    SUMMARY...A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP  ACROSS NE NEB NEWD INTO SRN MN DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SNOWFALL  RATES OF 1 INCH PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE.    DISCUSSION...UNIQUE LATE SEASON SETUP FAVORING A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW  IS COMING TOGETHER ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID MO RIVER VALLEY.  LATEST MESOANALYSIS/MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICTS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET  STREAK EXTENDING FROM SD NEWD THROUGH WRN ONTARIO WITH THE MID MO  RIVER VALLEY UNDER THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION. SURFACE COLD FRONT HAS  MOVED WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION AND EXTENDED FROM SRN WI SWWD THROUGH  NRN MO AND INTO N-CNTRL OK AT 00Z. PER MESOANALYSIS... SLOPING  FRONTOGENIC ZONE EXISTS FROM CNTRL MO/ERN KS NWWD INTO E-CNTRL  NEB/W-CNTRL IA. STRENGTHENING WARM CONVEYOR WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED  WAA ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION WITH A BROAD AREA OF POST-FRONTAL  PRECIPITATION CONTINUING THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE EVENING AND  OVERNIGHT. 00Z OAX SOUNDING SHOWS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME MIXED  PRECIPITATION...PRIMARILY IP/SN...WITH A SHALLOW WARM NOSE OBSERVED  AROUND 700 MB. FARTHER N...MPX 00Z SOUNDING SHOWS A COLDER OVERALL  PROFILE...SUPPORTING ALL SNOW.     GIVEN ALL OF THESE FACTORS...CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT A BAND OF HEAVY  SNOW WITH SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR...WITH BRIEF PERIODS  OF SLIGHTLY HIGHER RATES...WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE MD AREA.    ..MOSIER.. 05/02/2013     ..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT    ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...GID...    LAT...LON   44239430 44489372 44549275 44309230 43629266 42469384              42369396 41539510 41039624 40949695 41149747 41769765              42759618 44059451 44239430   
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Switched from moderate/heavy rain to sleet and then moderate/heavy snow pretty quickly in West DSM abount 5:30-6am. Been coming down steadily at least still moderate/heavy snow. Accumulating on grassy surfaces and roads starting to. Absolutely mind boggling it's going to snow all day (in May!) with 3-5" and locally higher amounts here by tomorrow morning.

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Completely incredible how far the expanse of freeze warnings are in Texas tonight, I bet there will be several record lows for the month of May tonight all over the Southern Plains.  Interestingly enough though, some of the record lows for today were set in 2011, just goes to show you how easily things can switch further down the line.

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So far the daily maximum snowfall and highest snow ever in the month of May for Des Moines has been decimated and still coming down.

 

 

 

000
SXUS73 KDMX 030649 CCA
RERDSM

RECORD EVENT REPORT...CORRECTED FOR DATE AND TIME IN HEADER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
150 AM CDT FRI MAY 03 2013

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT DES MOINES IA FOR MAY 2ND...

A RECORD SNOWFALL OF 3.4 INCHES FELL AT DES MOINES IA ON THURSDAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF TRACE SET IN 1976.

THE 3.4 INCHES OF SNOW ALSO IS THE HIGHEST SINGLE DAY MAY SNOW TOTAL
FOR DES MOINES. THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 1.2 INCHES SET ON MAY 3
1907.

THIS IS ALSO THE HIGHEST AMOUNT OF SNOW EVER RECEIVED IN THE MONTH
OF MAY FOR DES MOINES. THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 1.3 INCHES SET DURING
MAY OF 1907.

ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING AND WILL ADD TO THE
MONTHLY TOTAL.  A RECORD FOR THAT WILL BE UPDATED WHEN THE SNOW ENDS.
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RECORD EVENT REPORT...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
723 AM CDT FRI MAY 3 2013

...GALVESTON SETS NEW RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE FOR THE DATE
AND FOR THE ENTIRE MONTH OF MAY...

AS OF 700 AM CDT TODAY...THE LOW TEMPERATURE AT GALVESTON SCHOLES
FIELD HAS BEEN 50 DEGREES.  THIS ESTABLISHES A NEW RECORD LOW
TEMPERATURE FOR MAY 3RD (OLD RECORD WAS 54 DEGREES SET IN
1876
)...AND ALSO ESTABLISHES A NEW RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE FOR THE
ENTIRE MONTH OF MAY (OLD RECORD WAS 52 DEGREES LAST SET ON MAY 4
1954)
.
 

 

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Not sure how many of these are all-time monthly records (the bolded ones I believe are), but here are some of the more impressive lows this morning across the southern plains:

 

Amarillo, TX: 27

Clinton-Sherman, OK: 26

Gage, OK: 28

Altus, OK: 29

Dalhart, TX: 25

Hereford, TX: 22

Marfa, TX: 21

Plainview, TX: 25

Lubbock, TX: 27

Dumas, TX: 26

Dodge City, KS: 25

Garden City, KS: 26

Dallas-Fort Worth: 39

Waco, TX: 40

Clovis, NM: 27

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.CLIMATE...
THE LOW TEMPERATURE THIS MORNING AT HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL
AIRPORT WAS 42 DEGREES. THIS SETS A NEW RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE
FOR THIS DATE...BREAKING THE OLD RECORD OF 44 DEGREES SET IN 1978.

THIS ALSO ESTABLISHES A NEW RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE FOR THE ENTIRE
MONTH OF MAY. THE PREVIOUS COLDEST TEMPERATURE EVER RECORDED IN
MAY WAS THE 44 DEGREES SET ON MAY 4 1978.

THE LOW TEMPERATURE THIS MORNING AT COLLEGE STATION WAS ALSO 42
DEGREES. THIS TIES THE RECORD FOR THE DATE OF 42 DEGREES SET IN
1954. THIS ALSO TIES COLLEGE STATION`S RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE FOR
THE ENTIRE MONTH OF MAY OF 42 DEGREES SET ON MAY 4 1954.

 

 

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RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
730 AM CDT SUN MAY 5 2013

...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE TIED SO FAR TODAY AT COLLEGE STATION...

AS OF 730 AM...THE LOW TEMPERATURE SO FAR TODAY AT COLLEGE STATION
HAS BEEN 46 DEGREES. THIS TIES THE RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE FOR THE
DATE OF 46 DEGREES SET IN 1944.
 

 

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MODELS ARE SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME DECENT SURFACE BASED

INSTABILITY DEVELOPING BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER WITH THE

WEAK MID LEVEL FLOW...DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS ONLY PROGGED TO BE 20 TO

30 KTS. ADDITIONALLY MODELS ARE SUGGESTING A NOCTURNAL MCS COULD

MOVE ACROSS NORTHEAST KS EARLY WEDNESDAY...WHICH BRINGS INTO

QUESTION WHETHER THE ATMOSPHERE WILL RECOVER AND WHERE THE BEST

INSTABILITY WILL FORM. THERE COULD BE SOME STRONG STORMS WITH HAIL

AND WINDS...BUT AM NOT SURE THE SHEAR PROFILE WILL BE CONDUCIVE

FOR PERSISTENT SUPERCELL STORMS. MOST OF THE MODEL SOLUTIONS SEEM

TO POINT TO WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE BEST OPPORTUNITY FOR WIDESPREAD

PRECIP AS POSSIBLE SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVES ACROSS THE INVERTED

TROUGH AXIS EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THEREFORE

HAVE THE HIGHEST POPS FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

 

From TOP. 

its-something.jpg

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Saw some of those to the north along the Red River that morning. When you say 'wave" Are you referring to gravity waves?

Almost looks like some small-scale lenticular clouds... But you predominately see those in mountainous regions.

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It does appear that severe storms will begin to develop across potions of Central Texas and translate E over the next couple of days. While the best chance for large hail and damaging winds associated with those severe storms appear to be near the Austin/San Antonio area, we will need to monitor just where the outflow boundaries set up over the next several days as moisture increases off the Gulf and moves inland setting the stage for a potential heavy rainfall event due to training storms from the Middle Texas Coast on E into Louisiana through Saturday.

 

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Parameters should be increasing later on as the LLJ intensifies, some pretty nice looking hodographs being indicated across Western OK and the Eastern TX Panhandle towards Lawton and SPS later on.

 

The second svr tstm watch issued did mention a possible upgrade to a tornado watch later on should conditions warrant it.

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