icebreaker5221 Posted April 29, 2013 Share Posted April 29, 2013 S GA is somewhat different from N GA. Climowise, S GA isn't as wet as N GA in winter (due to average storm tracks bringing more precip. to N GA) whereas S GA is wetter than N GA in summer (due to more thunderstorm activity in S GA due largely to more numerous moist airmass popups but also a little due to more associated with tropical moisture in S GA vs. N GA). Yeah, S. GA mimics a FL climate. It's even more obvious the further south down the peninsula you go. Miami averages about 2"/month in Dec-Feb but ~9"/month Jun, Aug, and Sep. There's actually a mid-summer dip in July, but that's due to a westward extension of the Bermuda high, in conjunction with strong easterlies which pushes the sea breeze to the west coast of FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 The 12z GFS continues to show a cool pattern all the way into mid May. This is great for this time of year. May can get real hot and a pattern like this becomes less and less likely the further into the year we get. Day 13: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 WxSouth33 minutes ago Not much sunshine or warm weather in the Forecast, although it's May. The first 2 weeks of the month I'm going with active, cooler and much wetter than normal pattern. Some areas of the Southeast will receive an entire month's worth of rainfall in the first 2 weeks, with 2 separate rain events. This, on top of a wet April, unfortunately for those wanting to spend a lot of time outdoors with things like BBQ, vacations, etc...it's still not what I'd call good weather. It won't be totally cloudy every day, but a totally sunny day is going to be hard to come by for a while in many areas in the green zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 The average temperature so far this Spring(2 months in now) has been 53.1° in Charlotte. 12th coldest since 1939. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 WXSouth copied info belongs in the tidbit thread. I was told not to look at it but keeps getting copied (rightfully or not) in multiple threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 WXSouth copied info belongs in the tidbit thread. I was told not to look at it but keeps getting copied (rightfully or not) in multiple threads. Limited to 5 posts a day and still trying to control the forum. You are definitely a slow learner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 WxSouth 33 minutes ago Not much sunshine or warm weather in the Forecast, although it's May. The first 2 weeks of the month I'm going with active, cooler and much wetter than normal pattern. Some areas of the Southeast will receive an entire month's worth of rainfall in the first 2 weeks, with 2 separate rain events. This, on top of a wet April, unfortunately for those wanting to spend a lot of time outdoors with things like BBQ, vacations, etc...it's still not what I'd call good weather. It won't be totally cloudy every day, but a totally sunny day is going to be hard to come by for a while in many areas in the green zone. so your saying it going to be sunny and warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted May 1, 2013 Author Share Posted May 1, 2013 Euro actually trended toward the GFS with respect to the cutoff low moving over the SE and Mid Atlantic instead of shooting into Canada. Lots of snow records also in jeopardy in the plains. Crazy stuff for May especially considering Amarillo broke a record high of 97 yesterday and snow potentially tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 Euro actually trended toward the GFS with respect to the cutoff low moving over the SE and Mid Atlantic instead of shooting into Canada. Lots of snow records also in jeopardy in the plains. Crazy stuff for May especially considering Amarillo broke a record high of 97 yesterday and snow potentially tonight. Yep crazy indeed. We are going to get hammered with a ton of rain and we have already seen a ton so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 Well from one extreme to the other. Looks like the Euro is following the track of the GFS. Far south know. Score for the GFS on this thing if this is the way things pan out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 WXSouth copied info belongs in the tidbit thread. I was told not to look at it but keeps getting copied (rightfully or not) in multiple threads. Dude you tell us about every raindrop you see and every spegetti-o that goes in your mouth. This is a May weather dicussion thread where people post May weather things. Wxsouth has been here much longer then you and used to school most of us on what was going on with the weather. You weren't around to read but you'll find that you are the only one who has any negative feelings towards him, and thats only because he called you out. People are sick and tired of your trying to play librarian of all posts. Now back to weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 GFS showing 4" of rain for the Brushy Mountains of Wilkes going into next week. Blacksburg saying minor to moderate flooding possible. Greenville saying super-cells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 GFS showing 4" of rain for the Brushy Mountains of Wilkes going into next week. Blacksburg saying minor to moderate flooding possible. Greenville saying super-cells. no one cares about your backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 Hail in GA Monday? -27 at 500mb: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 Hail in GA Monday? -27 at 500mb: Screen Shot 2013-05-02 at 3.11.14 PM.png what model run is this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 what model run is this? 12Z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 GFS showing 4" of rain for the Brushy Mountains of Wilkes going into next week. Blacksburg saying minor to moderate flooding possible. Greenville saying super-cells. Lol...Greenville is not saying supercells, where are you getting this from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 The extremely slow nature of this cutoff along with the orientation to the Apps...this could be a significant flood event come Sunday/Monday for those along the escarpment. Was looking at the GFS this afternoon and it has the first plume of moisture Saturday Night and early Sunday wrapping around the cutoff. Then another band will develop and could tap into a deeper moisture feed originating from the Bahamas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 Lol...Greenville is not saying supercells, where are you getting this from? Earlier they said: "STILL MORE DIURNAL INSTABILITY ON MONDAY...WHEN THE UPPER LOW WILL BE NEARER AND PROVIDING MORE DYNAMIC LIFT AND ALSO PROVIDING STRONGER WINDS ALOFT AND MORE SHEAR. IF STORMS DEVELOP MONDAY THERE MAY BE SOME SEVERE THREAT AS 0-6KM BULK SHEAR IS SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS." Now they say: On Monday instability is expected to increase along the front as it moves northeast of Interstate 26...supporting thunderstorms. The best shear appears to be north of the best instability...but some overlap may exist along and north of Interstate 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 NWS Blacksburg... Long term /Monday through Thursday/...as of 400 PM EDT Thursday...I can sum up the extended forecast in one word... quack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 The extremely slow nature of this cutoff along with the orientation to the Apps...this could be a significant flood event come Sunday/Monday for those along the escarpment. Was looking at the GFS this afternoon and it has the first plume of moisture Saturday Night and early Sunday wrapping around the cutoff. Then another band will develop and could tap into a deeper moisture feed originating from the Bahamas. Ya this thing is going to lay down some impressive rainfall totals through the SE. Just got through reading on Roberts site and he is hammering home the flood threat with this thing. Ya and Cheez I agree we could see an array of weather coming out of this system. I am still not counting out the very high mountains around here of seeing some wet snow out of this thing either. This system looks to be a big strong sytem for this time of the year or for anytime of the year really. Will be fun to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 ya i've already had right at 45 inches of rain for the year and if roberts rainfall totals verify it could get bad with flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 ya i've already had right at 45 inches of rain for the year and if roberts rainfall totals verify it could get bad with flooding. Ya I agree. The ground is pretty muched rained out. April was very wet for us and if those totals come to fuition then I think we could have some major flooding in the mountains and surrounding areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted May 2, 2013 Author Share Posted May 2, 2013 Wow 45 inches. My goodness we average 49 here in a year. Yeah GFS just has the cutoff sitting there for several days. That is also when we should get our break here as drier air aloft rotates over our area after the next 3 days of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 Cutoff tracking right over north Georgia is going to bring some wild weather if the track holds. Also 3.5" of rain on the 18 z gfs for the ATL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 Chance of showers here. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 FFC is taking this threat seriously. HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 349 PM EDT THU MAY 2 2013 ...HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING LIKELY THIS WEEKEND OVER NORTH AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA... .RAINFALL EXPECTED... PERIODS OF RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND BECOME WIDESPREAD OVER THE STATE SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER NORTH AND PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS WEEKEND. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM NEAR LAGRANGE THROUGH FAYETTEVILLE AND COVINGTON TO COMER. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL GEORGIA. .SYNOPSIS... A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL DEEPEN AS IT MOVES EAST THIS WEEKEND. LOW LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED WARM AND COLD FRONTS WILL PUMP VERY MOIST ATLANTIC AND GULF MOISTURE INTO GEORGIA. WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FRIDAY NIGHT AND SPREAD OVER THE STATE THROUGH MONDAY. .PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS... DURING THE PAST 7 DAYS RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES OCCURRED OVER NORTH GEORGIA AND 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA. ACCORDINGLY...THESE MOIST TO WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW ANY HEAVY RAIN TO QUICKLY RUN OFF INTO NEARBY STREAMS... CREEKS AND RIVERS. SEVERAL MAINSTEM CREEKS AND RIVERS IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA HAD MINOR FLOODING EARLIER THIS WEEK AND HAVE JUST GONE BELOW FLOOD STAGE. MOST STREAM AND RIVER LEVELS ARE FLOWING ABOVE NORMAL. .IMPACTS... AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IF THE HEAVY RAIN REPEATEDLY MOVES OVER THE SAME AREA. ALSO...STORM DRAINS...DITCHES ...AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY BECOME QUICKLY CLOGGED WITH DEBRIS AND CAUSE EXTENSIVE STREET FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING OF THE LARGER CREEKS OR RIVERS IS MOST LIKELY TO DEVELOP WITH THE EXPECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS...ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT FLOODING MAY AFFECT FLOOD PRONE ROADS AND STRUCTURES NEARBY. THIS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA ON CREEKS AND RIVERS THAT WERE IN FLOOD EARLIER THIS WEEK. THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENT WILL BECOME MORE CERTAIN AS UPDATED INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. STAY ADVISED ON THIS SITUATION AND KNOW WHAT TO DO IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. FOR ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION...VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA. CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES TAB UNDER CURRENT WEATHER TO ACCESS THE LATEST RIVER STAGE AND PRECIPITATION INFORMATION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Cutoff tracking right over north Georgia is going to bring some wild weather if the track holds. Also 3.5" of rain on the 18 z gfs for the ATL Yep seems like every run the totals are upped just a bit more. This is going to be a major weather event down here I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 NWS Blacksburg... Long term /Monday through Thursday/... as of 400 PM EDT Thursday... I can sum up the extended forecast in one word... quack. . Same can be said for the poster! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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