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May 2013 General Discussion/Obs


wisconsinwx

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Today was the 3rd consecutive 80 degree temp here. Since 1888, there have been 43 streaks of at least 7 days with 80+ degree temps in the LAF area (using COOP records from 1888 to 1963, airport records thereafter) in the month of May. Streaks that start late in May have an obvious climo advantage and to keep things short, I'll just list the streaks that began on or before May 14, which is when this year's streak began.

Dates/# of Days

May 13-June 1, 1977: 20

May 13-May 26, 1962: 14

April 29-May 10, 1895: 12

May 11-May 22, 1944: 12

May 3-May 13, 1896: 11

May 11-May 20, 1982: 10

May 2-May 10, 1934: 9

April 26-May 3, 1899: 8

May 14-May 21, 1911: 8

May 4-May 11, 1930: 8

May 10-May 17, 1991: 8

May 13-May 20, 1998: 8

May 13-May 19, 1903: 7

May 6-May 12, 1993: 7

If it can survive the next couple days, which is a big question, then shouldn't have a problem getting past a week.

This one is ovah. :D

Hasn't rained at LAF in forever though, and doesn't look like it will again for quite awhile, so you got that "streak" going for you. ;)

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First 90º temp of the year at LAF likely tomorrow.

 

May running well above normal, +2.2º through yesterday. And will go higher this week.

 

Very dry month, running -1.56" so far. Only 0.81" total in the last 21 days, including today. Not expecting much relief anytime soon. Total run QPF for LAF from the 6z GFS is 0.60". 

 

Trend is Hoosier's friend. Hot and dry odds for this upcoming summer in the LAF looking better and better.   

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This one is ovah. :D

Hasn't rained at LAF in forever though, and doesn't look like it will again for quite awhile, so you got that "streak" going for you. ;)

If we make it through the upcoming stretch without really heavy stuff (like 2-3" amounts) then I'm quite confident that the month finishes drier than average as the large scale pattern looks to favor dry conditions until possibly the end of the month. Could be quite a turnaround from April.

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