wisconsinwx Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 It's time for May and probably more typical spring/occasionally summer weather, at least given the way spring has gone thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 Don't look at the 12z GFS for the beginning of the month. I hope it's not right...been taking the cool shots in stride up to this point but it's really going to get irritating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 May snowstorm anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 May snowstorm anyone? http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/model/displayMod.php?var=gfs_sfc_ptyp&hours=hr168hr174hr180hr186hr192 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/model/displayMod.php?var=gfs_sfc_ptyp&hours=hr168hr174hr180hr186hr192 Looks like we get screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 By May below normal crap is beyond useless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 Looks like we get screwed. That would make it sting a little more. There's not a whole lot of difference between 40 and rain and 37 with flakes so if forced to pick between those 2 bad choices, I'd take the latter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 That would make it sting a little more. There's not a whole lot of difference between 40 and rain and 37 with flakes so if forced to pick between those 2 bad choices, I'd take the latter. Well, it won't be pretty either way...if anything close to that verifies. I guess we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 Don't look at the 12z GFS for the beginning of the month. I hope it's not right...been taking the cool shots in stride up to this point but it's really going to get irritating. Yeah, no thanks to that run. Going to be melting a lot of snow in the upper Midwest in the next 5 days, so these cool shots will be more moderated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 Does anyone have a good link to a site that shows running departures for year to date? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 I swear this winter just won't end, yes I know we have had 2 warm days here which is 2 more than most but, seriously for the models to be showing more snow for the region in May no less is beyond useless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 GFS says bendover... ugly stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 Amazing... Don't think i've ever seen 850's this cold on a model for May 3rd!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 EURO has the cutoff but not as extreme in the cold air as the GFS. COuple days of crap and it looks to return to normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 We need as much snow as possible to melt the next 5 days north and west of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 We need as much snow as possible to melt the next 5 days north and west of here. That should not be a problem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 It's really hard to keep temperatures under 50 during the day in May, so I'm thinking the GFS is lol worthy for the late next week snow system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 It's really hard to keep temperatures under 50 during the day in May, so I'm thinking the GFS is lol worthy for the late next week snow system. 40's for a high is actually quite common here even until late may. Every May going back to 2002 has had 40's for a high except for one - 2009 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 If there's ever a year for an early May snow system, this is the year. Wouldn't be surprised. I'm sure Minnesota will get their 201st snowstorm of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 If there's ever a year for an early May snow system, this is the year. Wouldn't be surprised. I'm sure Minnesota will get their 201st snowstorm of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 18z gfs back to its senses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 GFS and senses go hand in hand like my hand to a non-alcoholic beer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 It's really hard to keep temperatures under 50 during the day in May, so I'm thinking the GFS is lol worthy for the late next week snow system. Your transformation has been really interesting to follow the past two months Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 It's really hard to keep temperatures under 50 during the day in May, so I'm thinking the GFS is lol worthy for the late next week snow system. It's also really hard to see snow in LAF on April 24. But, sub 50º high temps in May in Chicago...not that rare. You can see the top 3 lowest maximum temps for each day in May for Chicago in the link below: http://threadex.rcc-acis.org/threadex/process_records Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 Your transformation has been really interesting to follow the past two months Yeah, he's slowly been trending out of the Frigid Fairies (SNE lingo steal) camp for a while now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSNW3 Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 The forecast below is centered on WI, but similar data can be found for the entire Midwest, here. Utilizing intraseasonal oscillations and a cycling weather pattern called Lezak's Recurring Cycle I attempt to project weather conditions weeks and months into the future. Currently the data used to generate the forecast are based on a full blend of cycles. I am in progress of creating a three member ensemble that will enhance future forecasts. The outlook for May, based on the current interpretation of the cycle, is listed below. http://tiny.cc/isowiwx •Multiple precipitation events lead to above average totals. •Temperature roller coaster ending slightly below average. •Three notable storms to affect the region; Around the 13th. Around the 20th. Around the 31st. •Severe weather is probable with the notable storm systems. More information on LRC and ISO. LRC - http://osnw3lrc.blogspot.com/p/what-is-lezaks-recurring-cycle.html ISO - http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/ (Originally posted on the Wisconsin Weather Facebook page.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 I remember one Sat. in May sometime between 1986-1995 when I took the train to Chicago and we had snow flurries in the loop that day. People had come up from Florida by train and had no winter weather clothes with them. Guess they added to the retail sales when they got off the train. Wish I could be more specific as to the date. Winter didn't really start this season till later and now it seems it won't end. Going to enjoy the 70's in the near term before the cut off low dampens my hopes once again for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 I remember one Sat. in May sometime between 1986-1995 when I took the train to Chicago and we had snow flurries in the loop that day. People had come up from Florida by train and had no winter weather clothes with them. Guess they added to the retail sales when they got off the train. Wish I could be more specific as to the date. Winter didn't really start this season till later and now it seems it won't end. Going to enjoy the 70's in the near term before the cut off low dampens my hopes once again for awhile. May 6, 1989. http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KORD/1989/5/6/DailyHistory.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 That's darn impressive for May 6th in Chicago and MKE that shared in on that may snow also.. Chicago even had snow reported one hr over night on the 7th. Great stuff, guys. I would have never even known or remembered (ORH_wxman I'm not) that it snowed in May 1989 and I was like 14 back then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 May 6, 1989. http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KORD/1989/5/6/DailyHistory.html That may have been the weekend I went to the Talladega 500 and while driving down on Saturday, I passed through Louisville during the Derby with snow falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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