Ellinwood Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 lol @ Dave for thinking severe weenies are just as bad in this forum. And I'm not saying that just because I like severe stuff better... if it was truly just as bad I wouldn't be posting in this forum at all. Kinda took this thread OT... maybe this should be moved to the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 maybe to you but there are major differences. we never talk about threats 10 days out.. or 9 mo out. plus we all generally expect it to suck. LOL You crack me up, Severe wx peeps talk about 8, 9 days out too. Plus the snow weenies dont go chase a mediocre snow squall like some do with a T-storm every time either lol @ Dave for thinking severe weenies are just as bad in this forum. And I'm not saying that just because I like severe stuff better... if it was truly just as bad I wouldn't be posting in this forum at all. Kinda took this thread OT... maybe this should be moved to the banter thread agreed sorry for ruining Matts thread, this should be in banter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 Why does anyone feel the need to be critical of the type of weather someone likes? Amazing the workings of some brains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 LOL You crack me up, Severe wx peeps talk about 8, 9 days out too. Plus the snow weenies dont go chase a mediocre snow squall like some do with a T-storm every time either i dont think you know what you're talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 i dont think you know what you're talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 My 13-14 winter outlook Periods of disappointment follow by occasional teasing. Minor trolling likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 I'll be doing a separate one for CWG, but felt like doing a personal one this summer June: +1 to +2 July: -2 August: +1 Overall: Normal to +1 Analogs: 1923, 2009 June is going to be a bullseye for you. Mr Allen's +0.5 to +1 is good but not as good as +1 to +2. The CWG "normal" was weakest of 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 24, 2013 Author Share Posted June 24, 2013 June is going to be a bullseye for you. Mr Allen's +0.5 to +1 is good but not as good as +1 to +2. The CWG "normal" was weakest of 3. thanks, but I care the most about CWG and that is the one I put the most time into If we end up +1.5, a normal call is not awful, but it isn't good either...Not sure what grade I would give it,,,probably a C, maybe a C+ 3 out of the last 5 Junes have been scorching...+2.7, +3.6, +5.4 based on the new norms....I think identifying that it wouldn't be one of these scorchers is good...but would have liked to keep it in the -1 to +1 range to be a good call... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted July 24, 2013 Share Posted July 24, 2013 I'll be doing a separate one for CWG, but felt like doing a personal one this summer June: +1 to +2 July: -2 August: +1 Overall: Normal to +1 Analogs: 1923, 2009 Going to have to see what happens after this upcoming below average-average pattern. You may have had a right idea about July but it came 3+weeks late. A bold call anyway the upcoming pattern continuing well into August would make you idea look pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted July 31, 2013 Share Posted July 31, 2013 Worth repeating that your cooler than average protracted regime is in fact materializing albeit a little bit over 3 weeks late. Timing is a part of a verified forecast but making a call months in advance that is off by just several weeks is something to feel good about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted July 31, 2013 Author Share Posted July 31, 2013 Worth repeating that your cooler than average protracted regime is in fact materializing albeit a little bit over 3 weeks late. Timing is a part of a verified forecast but making a call months in advance that is off by just several weeks is something to feel good about. Thanks,...I think my July call was bad, but I agree that getting the overall is the most important....KA has the finest forecast I have seen so far at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted July 31, 2013 Share Posted July 31, 2013 Thanks,...I think my July call was bad, but I agree that getting the overall is the most important....KA has the finest forecast I have seen so far at least The July numeric call was incorrect but it's basis was a cooler than normal, by a good bit, regime which has in fact now materialized at the end of July and appears it will continue for at least the first 1/3 of August. It's a bold call, it came too late to make the numbers work for July, but it still warrants the recognition that I think I have made. Also, in April and May we both discussed publicly that we did not feel this wourld be anything like last several summers and that has come true. August and even September can throw some hot streaks but no sign right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 31, 2013 Share Posted July 31, 2013 Not to diss anyone's call but saying this would be a cooler summer than the last three was kind of a no brainer unless we had cataclysmic climate change over the past few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted July 31, 2013 Share Posted July 31, 2013 Not to diss anyone's call but saying this would be a cooler summer than the last three was kind of a no brainer unless we had cataclysmic climate change over the past few years. Weather.com says 2100 is going to be bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted August 1, 2013 Share Posted August 1, 2013 Not to diss anyone's call but saying this would be a cooler summer than the last three was kind of a no brainer unless we had cataclysmic climate change over the past few years. You would have been wrong the last 3 summers-it works both ways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 1, 2013 Share Posted August 1, 2013 You would have been wrong the last 3 summers-it works both ways.That's assuming someone pegged the last three summers also no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted August 26, 2013 Share Posted August 26, 2013 I'll be doing a separate one for CWG, but felt like doing a personal one this summer June: +1 to +2 July: -2 August: +1 Overall: Normal to +1 Analogs: 1923, 2009 The overall will be great and the monthlies and A,E,C- for a C job on them. Not sure what you said about rainfall. Having that what turned out to be good idea about a negative month was close to right but came intra months. Good forecast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted August 26, 2013 Share Posted August 26, 2013 It's been very rainy and humid down here in SEVA. I wasn't thinking much of mowing the lawn at 88 degrees but the the Heat value was 102. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted September 1, 2013 Author Share Posted September 1, 2013 Overall bullseye but bad monthlies. Will grade later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted September 2, 2013 Share Posted September 2, 2013 I'll be doing a separate one for CWG, but felt like doing a personal one this summer June: +1 to +2 July: -2 August: +1 Overall: Normal to +1 Analogs: 1923, 2009 June was an A+, July an E, August a D for a combined C-/D+ but overall was stellar, bullseye, A+. Generally a good-very good temperature call and you were right bout a 30 day below average period it just ran in such a way that monthlies could not reflect it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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