uncle W Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 1989 and 2007 had top ten wettest springs and summers...1965 had a top ten driest spring and summer...we are in a dry period so I expect a drier than average Summer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 This spring has been excellent so far, actually dead on near normal. Spring is supposed to be one of the nicest, if not the nicest, most pleasant season with long days and milder temperatures that have yet to reach uncomfortable levels. Very little, if any rain is forecast for the next 7 days, so it's a slight concern. Yesterday's couple tenths of an inch were good for washing away some of that pollen, but not enough to repair the fairly dry conditions this month. I would be more concerned if we get barely get any rain the next two weeks. Theoretically yes but spring is often the most volatile season with temps easily in the 40s and 50s and 80s and 90s a week later.. I tend to find fall, particular mid September through Early November to be one of the more reliably nice periods of weather (not counting the past 2 years of course). I mean if I had to plan an outdoor event would I take the 2nd Saturday of October or the 2nd Saturday of April? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 It will be cool watching that UL drop south from Greenland the next few days. There isn't much moisture with the feature but the NE flow could get gusty with the passage especially east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 I only looked at two stations across Connecticut and while April 1999 was the driest on record for Windsor Locks, Conn., it just ranked 7th driest near Bridgeport. Perhaps it was drier northeast and wetter southwest. Also, the month of April isn't exactly representative of an entire season. The 1999/1985 stats are fun tidbits to think about, but there's not much science between any legitimate correlations. Yes, since he said "spring" I compared the entire March-May period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 This spring has been excellent so far, actually dead on near normal. Spring is supposed to be one of the nicest, if not the nicest, most pleasant season with long days and milder temperatures that have yet to reach uncomfortable levels. Very little, if any rain is forecast for the next 7 days, so it's a slight concern. Yesterday's couple tenths of an inch were good for washing away some of that pollen, but not enough to repair the fairly dry conditions this month. I would be more concerned if we get barely get any rain the next two weeks. The marine influence is still prevalent here due to the time it takes for waters to warm after the winter, and the influence of seabreezes/backdoor fronts. These can be a problem right through Memorial Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 This spring has been excellent so far, actually dead on near normal. EWR is +0.3F for April with a -2.61" departure for precip. For March they were -1.8F with a -1.18" departure for precip. So overall, since March 1 its been cool and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 NYC will probably finish at 0.0 with a +1 departure today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 NYC will probably finish at 0.0 with a +1 departure today. Yes, very normal April in these parts. Started with a fairly extreme cold shot with -10C 850s and lows in the 20s, had some warm weather in the 70s, and then cooled down towards the end of the month with a couple of frosts. Typical variable spring weather. Gorgeous out the last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 Most NYC metro stations will finish April in the 0.0 to +0.5 range temperature wise. The lone exception warmer might be Islip, NY, at +0.6 right now, and the exception on the cooler than normal side will be JFK airport at -0.5.PHL, TTN and BOS will finish around +1.0, and DCA just above +2.0. Generally a normal to slightly warmer than normal April across the Mid atlantic and Northeast corridor region, which provides a moderate positive correlation for the ensuing summer (increased likelihood for a warmer than normal JJA). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 Most NYC metro stations will finish April in the 0.0 to +0.5 range temperature wise. The lone exception warmer might be Islip, NY, at +0.6 right now, and the exception on the cooler than normal side will be JFK airport at -0.5. PHL, TTN and BOS will finish around +1.0, and DCA just above +2.0. Generally a normal to slightly warmer than normal April across the Mid atlantic and Northeast corridor region, which provides a moderate positive correlation for the ensuing summer (increased likelihood for a warmer than normal JJA). I'm not sure you can conclude much about the summer from this April; most stations further north in New England and Upstate NY saw well below average temperatures, balancing out the warmth in DCA/BWI, which started strong and then moderated as the month continued. Parts of the Southeast also saw a relatively cool April as well, though most of the extreme cold was concentrated in the Upper Midwest/Northern Plains, where April 2013 was the 2nd coldest on record in spots. It would be interested to plug the pattern in (blocking over the NAO regions and Arctic with lower heights further south) and see where that takes you for the summer...I know the similar pattern in May, with heavy blocking, yields a much above normal summer for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 I'm not sure you can conclude much about the summer from this April; most stations further north in New England and Upstate NY saw well below average temperatures, balancing out the warmth in DCA/BWI, which started strong and then moderated as the month continued. Parts of the Southeast also saw a relatively cool April as well, though most of the extreme cold was concentrated in the Upper Midwest/Northern Plains, where April 2013 was the 2nd coldest on record in spots. It would be interested to plug the pattern in (blocking over the NAO regions and Arctic with lower heights further south) and see where that takes you for the summer...I know the similar pattern in May, with heavy blocking, yields a much above normal summer for this area. Agree it's only one correlation. May will help out significantly. Right now though, it looks to me like we will not see a negative NAO/AO for at least the first half of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 Agree it's only one correlation. May will help out significantly. Right now though, it looks to me like we will not see a negative NAO/AO for at least the first half of the month. Doesn't a negative NAO heading toward summer increase the chances of warmer temperatures due to the change in wavelengths. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 ..got down to 34* @ Gabreski airport in westhampton.. got down to 36* here in eastport..good thing i covered up some of the tender plants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 Happy May 1st Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 ..got down to 34* @ Gabreski airport in westhampton.. got down to 36* here in eastport..good thing i covered up some of the tender plants. Got to 34 IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 Got to 34 IMBY I had patchy frost in the morning IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 33.8 this morning in Muttontown, sure got cold in those ideal radiational cooling spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 36.0 IMBY, pretty impressive chill this morning. Well below forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 43.0 for the low, 66.2 for the high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 Nice anamation of the low dropping south from Greenland from Stu Ostro. http://i.imwx.com/web/multimedia/images/blog/WrongWay.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 April mean temp here finished at 51.8 which is +0.1 degrees.... precip of 1.71 in. is 4th driest in 33 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 Nice anamation of the low dropping south from Greenland from Stu Ostro. http://i.imwx.com/web/multimedia/images/blog/WrongWay.gif Awesome feature on the water vapor loop this morning: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-wv.html 24hr loop: http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/SAT_ATL/animwv.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 Awesome feature on the water vapor loop this morning: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-wv.html 24hr loop: http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/SAT_ATL/animwv.html That's a great loop. The orientation of the block is somewhat similar to the Perfect Storm. http://greatlakes.salsite.com/maps/perfect_storm.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 Meteorologist RalieghWx's Hurricane Forecast.http://www.examiner.com/slideshow/summer-forecast-images-2#slide=61679866 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 What a nice week it has been, glad to see it will continue. High of only 68 here with onshore flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 Improving drought conditions over the mid section of the nation while expanding over the Northeast. http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/6_week.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 Improving drought conditions over the mid section of the nation while expanding over the Northeast. http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/6_week.gif Just crazy weather out there. Kansas City was 82 yesterday and its 34 and snowing now. on May 2nd. normal high is 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 Snow has only been recorded twice in May in Kansas City. Prior to today, that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 Just crazy weather out there. Kansas City was 82 yesterday and its 34 and snowing now. on May 2nd. normal high is 72It's still 34F with light snow, and Kansas City is expecting a high of 35F tomorrow. That's a whopping 37 degrees below average, an incredibly impressive feat to pull off in any season, but espeially the warm season which has less variance. Interestingly, the huge cold departures this spring in the Plains and Upper Midwest have not migrated east. March was moderately below normal here but our April was dead on average whereas the nation's midsection had widespread -10 anomalies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 It looks like any heat won't come for another 10+ days, consistent high pressure off to the NE providing onshore flow and cool, but sunny conditions. This first week of May be end up slightly below average with cooler than normal temperatures expected, some of those lows could be very cool with ideal radiating conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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