nzucker Posted April 20, 2013 Share Posted April 20, 2013 it looks like a cool ending to April...The month could end up below normal...Central Park is +1.1F going into today. We will need some decent negatives to get below normal but tonight's projected low of 36F should help as averages are up to 63/46. Monday and Tuesday also look chilly with onshore flow and maybe some sprinkles, with highs only reaching the mid 50s. If tomorrow is a -10 and Monday and Tuesday each -5, we will be dead on normal. It's going to be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted April 21, 2013 Share Posted April 21, 2013 Some of the models have a asymmetric warm core system working up the coast this week. Could have some gusty winds near the coast Tuesday and Wednesday. NAM has it: The GFS has it further OTS and more of a cold core. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted April 21, 2013 Share Posted April 21, 2013 34 degrees right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted April 21, 2013 Share Posted April 21, 2013 Just briefly went down to 36F about 15 minutes ago. Now it's 37F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted April 21, 2013 Share Posted April 21, 2013 Low of 37.1F. Up to 40F already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted April 21, 2013 Share Posted April 21, 2013 27 for a low up this way.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted April 21, 2013 Share Posted April 21, 2013 Got down to 32 last night. Chilly still but nice out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted April 21, 2013 Share Posted April 21, 2013 California-like out there today. Just fantastic weather after a chilly start. Guidance continues with below to normal temps the next week. Some hint that the next strong warmup with some legs may arrive on/around 5/3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 21, 2013 Share Posted April 21, 2013 Generally near normal overall through D 7. Cool early this week, warm shot mid week, cool back down late week, followed by more warming the last few days of April. NAEFS for D 8-14 are generally near to slightly warmer than normal as we move from late April into early May. Plenty of cold air in Canada right now, much moreso than recent. Canadian forecast anomalies are up to -4 SD in western Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 21, 2013 Share Posted April 21, 2013 California-like out there today. Just fantastic weather after a chilly start. Guidance continues with below to normal temps the next week. Some hint that the next strong warmup with some legs may arrive on/around 5/3. some analogs for May include 1965, 1970 and 1980...it was 90 on 5/4/1965...90 on 5/5/1980 and 90 on 5/9/1970...I'm expecting the first 90 in May this year...It could come early like these analog years... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 21, 2013 Share Posted April 21, 2013 Generally near normal overall through D 7. Cool early this week, warm shot mid week, cool back down late week, followed by more warming the last few days of April. NAEFS for D 8-14 are generally near to slightly warmer than normal as we move from late April into early May. Plenty of cold air in Canada right now, much moreso than recent. Canadian forecast anomalies are up to -4 SD in western Canada] I thInk the next week averages a bit below normal. We will see if Central Park can knock off the +1 departure. With mid 30s last night and upper 30s tonight, that's a decent chunk right there. Averages are up to 63/46 and I don't see us getting there until at least Thursday. Monday and Tuesday shouldn't exceed mud 50s with clouds and onshore flow, which is close to -10. Would be nice to get three consecutive months below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted April 21, 2013 Share Posted April 21, 2013 some analogs for May include 1965, 1970 and 1980...it was 90 on 5/4/1965...90 on 5/5/1980 and 90 on 5/9/1970...I'm expecting the first 90 in May this year...It could come early like these analog years... Any of those dates would be great timing as far as I'm concerned... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ict1523 Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 That big cold anomaly focused over the upper midwest is a real outlier for April compared the average over the last decade. Absolutely stunning reversal there. Minot, ND is at a -16.4F departure for April so far, with an average temperature of 24.6. For a comparison, March 2012 for Minot, ND was 41.5F. Only 6 days have actually been above freezing this month in Minot. Of those, 4 of the days were either 33 or 34F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 I'm expecting the first 90 in May this year...It could come early like these analog years... There won't be any 90's this year...well, maybe one or two at Newark Field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 There won't be any 90's this year...well, maybe one or two at Newark Field. In the whole summer? Or just May? No 90 degree days in a summer is highly unlikely. 2004 came close though, with only 2 90+ days the entire year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 In the whole summer? Or just May? No 90 degree days in a summer is highly unlikely. 2004 came close though, with only 2 90+ days the entire year. Entire summer...the rubber band has snapped. <Goes out on limb> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 GFS starts off May with 20's to the coast and snow for NW burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 HPN down to 44/28...my backyard is at 44.3/34. Should see some light frost around here with possible freezes to the north. And yes, not a lot of warm weather to be seen on the 18z GFS. It definitely seems as if the rubber band may have snapped in terms of the unprecedented warmth we were dealing with month after month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 some hints of another blocking episode coming back in early May. I wonder if it will impact our temps negatively or positively Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 some hints of another blocking episode coming back in early May. I wonder if it will impact our temps negatively or positively It gets to the point eventually that a -NAO can actually mean warm/hot weather for us, given the northward push of the jet streams as the spring goes on. But May is also known for dreary backdoor front episodes, even after Memorial Day. So there's much that is still possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 30 degrees as a low last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 34 at home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 There was some light frost on my car this morning. For inside NYC at this time of year that's pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 The 37 at JFK earlier looks like a record low tie. http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KJFK/2013/4/22/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 34 back home this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 41 the low in the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 Very dry March and April around the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 Very dry March and April around the region. 30dPDeptNRCC.png March/April 1965 had a similar look for our area...I like that year as a spring analog for this year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 It's snowing again in Rapid City,SD http://rapidcityjournal.com/webcams/rapid-city/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted April 22, 2013 Share Posted April 22, 2013 36.7F the low here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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