A-L-E-K Posted April 17, 2013 Author Share Posted April 17, 2013 RAP is probably more accurate in the placement of heavy rain today. Only about 0.05" today so far. You are right in line for the train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 17, 2013 Author Share Posted April 17, 2013 GFS already busting light on amounts in eastern Iowa...really terrible performance with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 Just shown on WGN. fwiw - still some crazy numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 I had about 1.50" of rain yesterday with another 3-5" on the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 First Flash Flood Warning issued in the LOT cwa. FLASH FLOOD WARNINGILC031-089-097-111-172300-/O.NEW.KLOT.FF.W.0001.130417T1703Z-130417T2300Z//00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDFLASH FLOOD WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL1203 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... LAKE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS... NORTHERN KANE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS... NORTHWESTERN COOK COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS... SOUTHEASTERN MCHENRY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...* UNTIL 600 PM CDT WEDNESDAY* AT 1159 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...WITH RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF AN INCH AND A HALF PER HOUR. KANE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS ROUTE 47 AND PLATO ROAD COMPLETELY FLOODED. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON...FURTHER INCREASING THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT. RAINFALL TOTALS LOCALLY IN EXCESS 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY THIS EVENING.* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO OCCUR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 17, 2013 Author Share Posted April 17, 2013 far NW burbs getting rolled...3" by early evening! Would not want to live along the Fox River right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 KCRG @KCRG11m MT @marcmorehouse: Creekside Park in IC. pic.twitter.com/VRkJEfozMk #KCRGWX This is about 25 miles south of me. Iowa City got hit really hard with training thunderstorms this morning. Up here in Cedar Rapids, it has been mostly moderate rain but the training thunderstorms have stayed mostly to my south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 First Flash Flood Warning issued in the LOT cwa. Wow pretty impressive and this is just the Beginning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 .UPDATE...ISSUED AT 1142 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013PORTIONS OF AN MCS THAT DEVELOPED ACROSS IOWA EARLIER THIS MORNINGHAVE NOW SPREAD OVER THE SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA.THERE IS A BACK EDGE APPROACHING INTERSTATE 35 IN NORTHERN IOWA ASOF 16Z...REFLECTIVE OF THE SUBSIDENCE OCCURRING IN THE WAKE OF THEMCS. HAVE ADJUSTED PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS BACKEDGE...LOWERING THEM FOR A DECENT PORTION OF THE EARLY TO MIDAFTERNOON HOURS. THE 17.12Z REGIONAL CANADIAN...HRRR AND 17.00ZNSSL WRF-ARW HAVE HAD A GOOD HANDLE ON THIS MCS...WHICH CONCURSWITH THE PRECIPITATION CHANCE ADJUSTMENTS. ALSO HAVE ISSUED AN SPSFOR NORTHEAST IOWA AS WIND GUSTS OF 30-40 KT HAVE DEVELOPED IN THEWAKE OF THE PRECIPITATION.OVER SOUTHERN IOWA INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS...CONVECTION CONTINUES ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE MCS. THIS ISWHERE A 40-45 KT 850MB JET ON PROFILER/VAD WIND DATA ISTRANSPORTING MUCAPE VALUES OF 1000-2000 J/KG INTO THE COLD OUTFLOWPRODUCED BY THE MCS. IN ADDITION...THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALONG ALOW LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS ZONE. THE QUESTION FOR THE AFTERNOON ANDTONIGHT IS WHERE DOES THE OUTFLOW/LOW LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS ZONE SETUP...SINCE THIS WOULD BE THE FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLESEVERE POTENTIAL. THE 925-850MB WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INTENSIFY ASUPPER TROUGH LIFTS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. THUS...THINK THE BOUNDARYSHOULD BE ABLE TO LIFT NORTH. THE 17.12Z REGIONAL CANADIAN AND17.00Z NSSL WRF-ARW SEEM TO FOCUS THE HEAVY QPF AREA OVER SOUTHERNIOWA INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN FOR TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. GIVEN THEYHAVE THE BEST HANDLE ON ONGOING CONVECTION...A WEIGHT TOWARDSTHESE MODELS IS WARRANTED. GRANT COUNTY IN OUR FORECAST AREA IS OFTHE MOST CONCERN...WHERE SOUNDINGS SUGGEST UPWARDS OF 1000 J/KG OFCAPE IS POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH WARM CLOUD DEPTHS ARE UNSEASONABLYHIGH...AROUND 3500 METERS WHICH DEFINITELY FAVORS HEAVYRAINFALL...THIS CAPE COULD RESULT IN SOME HAIL WITH THUNDERSTORMS.WILL UPDATE THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK TO ADD THE MENTION OFHAIL. 1-6KM SHEAR IS VERY WEAK...15 KT OR LESS...WHICH SHOULDLIMIT ANY SEVERE POTENTIAL TO ISOLATED AT BEST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 17, 2013 Author Share Posted April 17, 2013 flood warning now run from waukegan back through iowa city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 17, 2013 Author Share Posted April 17, 2013 pocket of 1.5" PWATs in north central MO with deep long vectors right into eastern IA and western IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 soggy biscuit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 flood warning now run from waukegan back through iowa city O boy, going to be a long afternoon. That's quite a line above^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 Looks like 88 south is going to be getting in on some soakers as well in a bit the way things are setting up from Peoria to Burlington... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 17, 2013 Author Share Posted April 17, 2013 parent's basement already flooding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 parent's basement already flooding sorry brother...i'm guessing they won't be alone though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 17, 2013 Author Share Posted April 17, 2013 RAP is having a piss poor performance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 parent's basement already flooding Bad, bad news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 17, 2013 Author Share Posted April 17, 2013 Bad, bad news. yeah, far NW burbs around the Fox River Valley are getting hit really hard with multiple rounds still to come. It looks like some 5-7" totals will materialize in or around that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 yeah, far NW burbs around the Fox River Valley are getting hit really hard with multiple rounds still to come. It looks like some 5-7" totals will materialize in or around that area. that may verify before the sun sets today in some spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 I was just between here and Kenosha and back. A lot of street ponding is occurring and outright flooded sections in low lying spots. Ditches are overflowing - it is a mess. My backyard pond is quite high now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 0218 PM FLOOD OREGON 42.01N 89.34W04/17/2013 OGLE IL EMERGENCY MNGRFLOODING AT NURSING HOME IN OREGON. SANDBAGS BEING SENTTO STILLMAN VALLEY IN CASE NEEDED. LOTS OF STANDING WATERCOUNTY WIDE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 Doppler radar estimates show 2" and climbing here so far. (Mostly in the last 3 hours) 1.75" so far. Water is just gushing down the hill into my pond and out the other end. - a legit creek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 1.31" here so far, pretty good considering we've pretty much been in the stratiform rain nw of the heavier cells all day. Could be another 2-3 inches tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 The RAP is totally orientating the rain the wrong direction! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 18z gfs and NAM are thankfully pretty meh here for rain. we don't need anymore.. standing water in the grass from just the little bit today. I would love to be able to rake the lawn out sometime this month. might as well still be covered in snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 Quad Cities and Des Moines radars still showing some fresh blossuming....nothing outrageous....but shows continued moderate rain possible for quite some time..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 2.35" 1.81" of rain now. Intensity has slackened off, but the winds have increased. Back yard creek. Bottom of the hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 1.90" of rain so far. Lots of standing water around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 Energizer bunny type event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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