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April 2013 General Discussion Part 2


MidwestChaser

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SWS posted for the t-storm cell that is still marching east towards Rockford.


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL102 PM CDT MON APR 29 2013ILZ002-291900-STEPHENSON-102 PM CDT MON APR 29 2013...STRONG THUNDERSTORM APPROACHING STEPHENSON COUNTY...AT 1257 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED ASTRONG THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES WEST OF WINSLOW...OR 13 MILES SOUTH OFDARLINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...  WINSLOW AROUND 115 PM CDT...  6 MILES NORTH OF DAKOTA AROUND 135 PM CDT...  DAVIS AND ROCK CITY AROUND 140 PM CDT...PENNY SIZE HAIL...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...IS LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.LAT...LON 4250 8940 4236 8940 4241 8992 4251 8993TIME...MOT...LOC 1802Z 274DEG 36KT 4250 8996$$08
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Up to 76/55 here.  Starting to see a few cu popping up now.  HRRR and RAP continue to insist storms firing up around here by early evening.  Both are overdoing cape by about 1000j/kg though, so who knows.  SPC bumped us out of the slight earlier, but if a storm does manage to go up in this environment it will go severe. 

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Up to 76/55 here.  Starting to see a few cu popping up now.  HRRR and RAP continue to insist storms firing up around here by early evening.  Both are overdoing cape by about 1000j/kg though, so who knows.  SPC bumped us out of the slight earlier, but if a storm does manage to go up in this environment it will go severe. 

 

The best cape is elevated.  The strong surface based instability is still over Missouri, but it's under a cap.

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That cell is eventually going to run out of instability as it moves east.

 

Probably once it hits the lake. Dewpoints are bit lower this way.

Pretty cloudy here now. At least the lake breeze hasn't blasted in with full force - maybe there's a chance of this storm making it here.

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Probably once it hits the lake. Dewpoints are bit lower this way.

Pretty cloudy here now. At least the lake breeze hasn't blasted in with full force - maybe there's a chance of this storm making it here.

 

The lake breeze might not kill it because the moisture source is slightly elevated.  The problem is there just isn't much CAPE the further east you go.  Absolutely nothing once you get into Michigan. 

 

I think some supercell storms might form in extreme SE Nebraska / SW Iowa shortly though.  If the cap actually breaks that is.

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If the dewpoint was a bit higher tonight, this would pass for a summer night. Still 65° outside.

 

Interesting stat Skilling just mentioned: 1% of IL's corn crop is in as of today. Last year on this date; 70% of the corn was in the ground.

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If the dewpoint was a bit higher tonight, this would pass for a summer night. Still 65° outside.

 

Interesting stat Skilling just mentioned: 1% of IL's corn crop is in as of today. Last year on this date; 70% of the corn was in the ground.

Saw a couple farmers working ground today, but for the most part still way too wet up here

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Temperature has actually risen up to 67° at the house. T-storms are crapping out again as they head east. 

 

Hearing a lot of bikes going by along the main road this evening.

 

Grass is going to need cutting this week for sure.

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Saw a couple farmers working ground today, but for the most part still way too wet up here

 

I noticed the big puddles shrunk quite a bit over the last three days.  Good evaporation.  I can finally walk across the grass without it squishing under my feet.  I notice there was a lot of moss growth this month, but the grass didn't really start to grow taller until the last couple days.  You could almost watch it growing longer today.

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