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2nd half of April, general forecast ideas and banter


Typhoon Tip

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We obviously have our hot days, but talk to any native and they'll tell you our cool periods are why the summers here are so nice. Since you are from NJ, I would not expect you to understand.

Just like none of us here would want to live in a place that was cold and snowed year round, I don't think any of us mind HHH wx from time to time. It's a perfect area of the country to experience all types of wx. If we wanted snow all year, we'd move to the fjords in Norway. If we wanted HHH we'd move to Rico. We want to experience all types of wx, so we live here.
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Just like none of us here would want to live in a place that was cold and snowed year round, I don't think any of us mind HHH wx from time to time. It's a perfect area of the country to experience all types of wx. If we wanted snow all year, we'd move to the fjords in Norway. If we wanted HHH we'd move to Rico. We want to experience all types of wx, so we live here.

I don't mean to say we have a choice where we live, but people who live here like our summers because of the lack of heat and humidity. I honestly know few people who prefer something like a DC summer.

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Our summers are not very hot and humid climatologically in comparison to most of the country. In the CT valley they do get some of that but even BDL still only averages 19 days of 90F+ per summer. ORH averages 3, PVD 10, and BOS averages 8.

 

 

Last year there where 4 day's with 90F + here in my area.

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I don't mean to say we have a choice where we live, but people who live here like our summers because of the lack of heat and humidity. I honestly know few people who prefer something like a DC summer.

Id like it from June- Aug but then I'd be ready for fall. I may summer in Florida and winter in New Hampshire when I retire
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Id like it from June- Aug but then I'd be ready for fall. I may summer in Florida and winter in New Hampshire when I retire

LOL. A man of extremes. I guess I like cooler wx overall. Not to mention the most violent places in the world are warm wx countries. We cooler wx people are peaceful.

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I don't mean to say we have a choice where we live, but people who live here like our summers because of the lack of heat and humidity. I honestly know few people who prefer something like a DC summer.

I don't know anyone that prefers a brutal hot summer, lol.

And we do have more choices on where we live than people think...it's just a pain in the arse to move, but if you really wanted to you could before your kid gets into school.

And I personally would do snow all year round if I could...or at least in nearby mountains where you can easily visit it, haha. Actually I'd rather just get so much snow in the winter that it lasts through the summer like spots in Alaska or Norway, haha.

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it is April 30th... :whistle:

Perhaps the turn around from nothing to green.

 

I don't have any specific dates, but I really feel like the whole greening process is a LOT later than usual. I'm sure the perspective is just skewed because of the early start we had last year.

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Perhaps the turn around from nothing to green.

 

I don't have any specific dates, but I really feel like the whole greening process is a LOT later than usual. I'm sure the perspective is just skewed because of the early start we had last year.

last few years have been warm.  I'd say we're a little late vs climo here, but not all that much-maybe a week behind.

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The Oaks are just tickling out some tiny green today on the buds. All species are starting to come out now

 

 

Birch are stark bare here, with no buds, one of my sugar maples has buds, but only on south facing branches, while the other two smaller ones have nothing.

 

Everything is about 7-10 days behind. Full leaf out looks to be about May 7-10th.

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We all have our own ideas, and there probably is some veracious science out there should we care enough to look where the averages are derived ...

 

But it seems to me this year is smack on schedule for this part of Mass -- between Acton and Ayer.   The last 3 years were ahead of schedule, and this year has returned to normal.   The vast majority of years growing up in this are, we really needed to get past April 20 for the buds to seriously crack, which was spot on this time.  Today the sugar maple flowers are in full blown with infant leafs coming out -- if memory serves it really only takes a week for the leafs to really expand going forward so it will be interesting to see where this is on May 7.   

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I found stuff that uses remote sensing to help gauge the onset of leaf-out. One technique uses satellites/remote sensing that came up with an average date for when at least half of the leaf canopy had been developed...they used that as the benchmark for "onset of leaf-out". For HFD metro the average date is about April 20th. For BOS metro, it is more like April 27th. This was based on data from 1984-2002...and the UHI areas are the earliest vs even just right outside the cities.

I'm not sure what HFD looks like right now but I can say for certain staring out my window at work in Boston right now that we haven't reached half of the leaf canopy developed. Really not that close. So I suspect this year will finish at least a week late.

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Scott that looks like well under 50% to me...some species are barely budded and even the maples haven't fully leafed out yet. Their definition was at least half of the canopy was to mature leaf-out. Though I suspect it is hard to envision what 100% looks like when we've been staring at 0% for the last 6 months.

Boston Common out my window looks less impressive than your pics though...but it has def come a long way from even 5-6 days ago. It'll prob be there in another few days.

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