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2nd half of April, general forecast ideas and banter


Typhoon Tip

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It seems every year at this time we hear hype of incoming deadly droughts, entire New England states will be on fire by June if it doesn't rain soon, widespread water restrictions, etc... but I guess if there's no exciting weather we've gotta create something to hype.

 

 

Kevin creates drought/fire fear every year it seems. We aren't all that susceptible to crippling droughts in our area...our variance is tempered by us sticking out into the Atlantic.

 

Its been a cool/dry spring, but nothing all that extrordinary when summing up all the piece back 50 days or so. If people want to see absolutely stunning weather, look at the northern plains this spring. If the fetish is stunning droughts...look at the central/southern plains last year.

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Image is dated the 13th.  Not sure how accurate it is for the 22nd.  BDL has seen 1" of rain since then.

 

 

It's not accurate, my posted map is.

 

Palmer index notes:

 

The Northeast: Widespread light to moderate precipitation (0.5 to 2 inches) fell across most of New England and the mid-Atlantic, with heavier amounts (2 to 3 inches) occurring in the eastern Great Lakes region. Accordingly, abnormal dryness was removed from areas where 60 and 90-days deficits were greatly reduced or alleviated, and the percent of normal was close to 100. This included western sections of Pennsylvania and New York, eastern Pennsylvania and western New Jersey, and the D0 area in upstate New York and Vermont-New Hampshire was reduced. Farther to the south and east, although 30-, 60-, and 90-day deficiencies have increased, D0 was not introduced in Connecticut and Massachusetts since most stations received an inch of rain this week. But this area will need to be watched as many 7-day average USGS stream flows have dropped below the 25th percentile. In contrast, the heavy rains bypassed portions of the eastern Ohio Valley and central Appalachians yet again. Precipitation has been between 50 to 70 percent of normal since mid-February, accumulating shortages between 2 and 4 inches. As a result, abnormal dryness has developed from southeastern Ohio into western Maryland.

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Most stations did not receive an inch of rain. Certainly not our area of the state. That .40 we had Saturday morning evaporated faster than the Feb 2008 blizzard snow

It did dry up rather quickly. I played golf around 2:15 that afternoon and was surprised at how (relatively) dry the greens were...

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