CT Rain Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 Deformation bands for HFD while he Chokes on showery bands of snow? Spitting snow grains while the valley cleans up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 Spitting snow grains while the valley cleans up? His favorite lol. Shades of Oct 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 Arctic fronts aren't really a great source for severe wx really. Since they are more shallow in nature and their slopes typically are not that steep they don't usually provide a great deal of uplift. Of course though if you have ample instability and great jet dynamics to compensate this could be off-set. Anyways severe wx from Arctic fronts is much easier to come by in the Plains and the south only b/c they can generate the ample instability. We typically see little in the way of severe wx with them except maybe some low topped pea hailers. Thought about this in the shower and realized this is wrong...I was thinking of Polar fronts not Arctic fronts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 His favorite lol. Shades of Oct 2011. You know you live in an unfavorable KU spot when the valley near Hartford can do better than a 1000 ft hill in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 You know you live in an unfavorable KU spot when the valley near Hartford can do better than a 1000 ft hill in October. The damage was still insane... trees started falling in the afternoon after just 3" of white mud lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 13, 2013 Author Share Posted April 13, 2013 Euro really hammers us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 Euro really hammers us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted April 15, 2013 Share Posted April 15, 2013 00Z Euro seems like it backed off on temperatures for that day. I would like to see something happen though, even if it's a few rumbles of thunder. I'm also concerned about timing as well like you mentioned before, but that's expected this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2013 Author Share Posted April 15, 2013 AWT..temps nearing 80 and convection FRI/SAT...WARM FRONT LIKELY LIFTS NORTH OF THE REGION WITH STRONGLOW LEVEL WAA ACROSS THIS REGION. FRI PROBABLY WARMEST DAY OF THEWEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S. HOWEVER WIDESPREAD SHOWERS LIKELY FRINIGHT INTO SAT AS FRONTAL CONVERGENCE COMBINES WITH PWATS +2 TO +3STD AND STRONG WIND FIELDS. COULD BE A STRONG AND ACTIVE FRONTALPASSAGE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 15, 2013 Share Posted April 15, 2013 AWT..temps nearing 80 and convection FRI/SAT...WARM FRONT LIKELY LIFTS NORTH OF THE REGION WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL WAA ACROSS THIS REGION. FRI PROBABLY WARMEST DAY OF THE WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S. HOWEVER WIDESPREAD SHOWERS LIKELY FRI NIGHT INTO SAT AS FRONTAL CONVERGENCE COMBINES WITH PWATS +2 TO +3 STD AND STRONG WIND FIELDS. COULD BE A STRONG AND ACTIVE FRONTAL PASSAGE. Looks like rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2013 Author Share Posted April 15, 2013 HPC on board as well. Should have a significant line of storms with high dews and 70's to near 80..clouds or not SATURDAY...A DEEP CYCLONE WILL BE EXITING THE GREAT LAKES AND THECOLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS AND INTO THEWESTERN ATLANTIC...WITH A RENEWED THREAT FOR MODERATE TO HEAVYRAINFALL AND ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION FROM FLORIDA TO SOUTHERN NEWENGLAND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 15, 2013 Share Posted April 15, 2013 HPC on board as well. Should have a significant line of storms with high dews and 70's to near 80..clouds or not SATURDAY...A DEEP CYCLONE WILL BE EXITING THE GREAT LAKES AND THECOLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS AND INTO THEWESTERN ATLANTIC...WITH A RENEWED THREAT FOR MODERATE TO HEAVYRAINFALL AND ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION FROM FLORIDA TO SOUTHERN NEWENGLAND. lol you're ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2013 Author Share Posted April 15, 2013 lol you're ridiculous I mean 69 and a few showers is all you come up? Not even a lightning bolt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 15, 2013 Share Posted April 15, 2013 I mean 69 and a few showers is all you come up? Not even a lightning bolt? For Saturday morning? Blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 15, 2013 Share Posted April 15, 2013 Maybe some elevated forced convection associated with the main line, however, as the front approaches the sfc low begins to weaken and string out somewhat and in response the jet dynamics begin to wane so lift will not be all that strong. The ULJ remains quite strong, however, the best forcing from entrance region looks to remain to our north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 15, 2013 Share Posted April 15, 2013 I hope this verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 15, 2013 Share Posted April 15, 2013 MAking a severe wx threat 6 days out would be an instant weenie tag in the old days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 15, 2013 Share Posted April 15, 2013 MAking a severe wx threat 6 days out would be an instant weenie tag in the old days. In April...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2013 Author Share Posted April 15, 2013 MAking a severe wx threat 6 days out would be an instant weenie tag in the old days. Need something to discuss. Either this or temp talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 15, 2013 Share Posted April 15, 2013 Severe wx season is right around the corner so soon we'll have some real severe to discuss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 15, 2013 Share Posted April 15, 2013 Pretty awesome to see a D3 mod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted April 15, 2013 Share Posted April 15, 2013 Severe wx about 1000mi W of here. I should move there for real severe weather to discuss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted April 15, 2013 Share Posted April 15, 2013 Pretty awesome to see a D3 mod We'll see how SPC verifies this year. Last year I felt like there were a lot of moderate risk outlooks that didn't verify so well, but who knows... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 15, 2013 Share Posted April 15, 2013 We'll see how SPC verifies this year. Last year I felt like there were a lot of moderate risk outlooks that didn't verify so well, but who knows... That's why their forecasts are done probabilistically so you can't really say a "moderate risk was a bust". You'd really have to look at all of their forecasts and grade them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2013 Author Share Posted April 16, 2013 MMM hmmmm THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATEDWITH THIS SYSTEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 16, 2013 Share Posted April 16, 2013 MMM hmmmm THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM Yes... AWT. You were expecting some type of damaging squall line or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2013 Share Posted April 16, 2013 MMM hmmmm THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM Yeah all that instability ahead of the front....maybe we can generate 50J of CAPE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 16, 2013 Share Posted April 16, 2013 Yeah all that instability ahead of the front....maybe we can generate 50J of CAPE! This is more of a weenie thread than Wiz ever made. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 16, 2013 Share Posted April 16, 2013 Yeah all that instability ahead of the front....maybe we can generate 50J of CAPE! Showalter Index tickles 0???? Throw up the tornado watch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2013 Author Share Posted April 16, 2013 Yes... AWT. You were expecting some type of damaging squall line or something. You had a couple light showers in the forecast with no mention of thunder lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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