Hoosier Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Been watching this for the past couple days. Potential for a late season snowstorm is on the table as another storm traverses the country and taps into some unseasonably cold air. There is decent multi-model agreement on the general scenario with the usual differences in track/timing/evolution etc. Right now it appears that roughly the same area as last time (i.e. upper Midwest) could be under the gun again for accumulating snow but with some chance for this one to spread snow farther south into more of the subforum. There may also be a severe aspect which we can start a separate thread for. Discuss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Was just thinking when someone would post a thread on this. Well the GFS has been showing it on quite a few runs. Last run has the snow swatch hitting Eastern/SE WI and NC IL really good. In fact I'll post what it's showing now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 side note, probably a great time for last minute deals for some spring skiing in the rockies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 F that noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 On 4/12/2013 at 7:17 PM, Alek said: side note, probably a great time for last minute deals for some spring skiing in the rockies Skiers might be skiing into May, if a storm like that happens. Ice fishing into May in the U.P. like BowMe was saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 12Z ECMWF aint too shabby either (for Mid-April) in the snow department... Lets do this!!! One last hurrah for old man winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 On 4/12/2013 at 7:42 PM, 69 A Porcupine said: 12Z ECMWF aint too shabby either (for Mid-April) in the snow department... Lets do this!!! One last hooorah for old man winter WunderMap® Interactive Weather Map and Radar Weather Underground.png Looks like the EURO is a tad later with the system. Would be more of a night storm on the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 The Euro hangs the trough out west, the GFS will eventually cave... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 On 4/12/2013 at 8:11 PM, Brewers said: The Euro hangs the trough out west, the GFS will eventually cave... I do have my doubts on where the snow will fall, but I think Madison has a good shot at some at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 On 4/12/2013 at 7:48 PM, Geos said: Looks like the EURO is a tad later with the system. Would be more of a night storm on the EURO. Perfect, I thought this had the potential of being a night storm if it was just a tad later on the GFS. I'd be happy with a slushy inch or two and call it a winter, just want some snow in April, esp with it being such a cool/cold one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Die thread die Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Live thread live. If April is going to be cold and wet it might as well be white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 On 4/12/2013 at 10:18 PM, wisconsinwx said: Live thread live. If April is going to be cold and wet it might as well be white. If it's going to be 37 degree rain IMBY it might as well not snow anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Looks like the Euro lays the best snows down from central Iowa into central Wisconsin, and then up through the UP. About 2" here. Precip in the cold sector is much lighter than what the GFS shows. The GFS will probably trend a little northwest with time and give in to the Euro like usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 On 4/12/2013 at 10:18 PM, wisconsinwx said: Live thread live. If April is going to be cold and wet it might as well be white. Hell no. If you want white so bad, play in your deep freezer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 18z GFS has shifted even farther east. FrostFern and Harry (and others in the GRR cwa) get in on the action this time around. I wouldn't mind snow as long as it doesn't stick around more then a day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 On 4/12/2013 at 10:55 PM, Geos said: 18z GFS has shifted even farther east. FrostFern and Harry (and others in the GRR cwa) get in on the action this time around. I wouldn't mind snow as long as it doesn't stick around more then a day! 041813storm.png Check out North Dakota Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 On 4/12/2013 at 11:28 PM, IWXwx said: Check out North Dakota I know. The later the snow stays, the higher chance for flooding there is. Once the warm switch is flipped, it could be full blast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 On 4/12/2013 at 7:27 PM, Geos said: Skiers might be skiing into May, if a storm like that happens. Ice fishing into May in the U.P. like BowMe was saying. You know what.... Being able to Ice Fish in the month of may inside the lower 48 is completely unprecedented. That's more notable than last years "Morch" if it really happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 On 4/13/2013 at 12:07 AM, Jonger1150 said: You know what.... Being able to Ice Fish in the month of may inside the lower 48 is completely unprecedented. That's more notable than last years "Morch" if it really happens. I'm not a climo guru, however even though the northern Plains and upper Great Lakes are on track to have an incredibly cold April, I don't think the anomalies and coverage of anomalies are as extreme and widespread as last March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 On 4/13/2013 at 12:07 AM, Jonger1150 said: You know what.... Being able to Ice Fish in the month of may inside the lower 48 is completely unprecedented. That's more notable than last years "Morch" if it really happens.Ice fishing still going on here in NW Lower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 Pass, oh and the Euro will be right just like it was with the last system. I don't know why people are chasing the GFS mirage yet again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 On 4/13/2013 at 12:21 AM, Angrysummons said: Ice fishing in May has happened before and is local. Most areas they do not keep ice into May, but that is not a 100% coverage. the GFS is beyond garbage right now. Never seen a model lately that disorganized. NCEP has issues. Local, meaning the top of North Dakota on a 1 in 100 year event time scale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 On 4/13/2013 at 12:33 AM, OHweather said: I'm not a climo guru, however even though the northern Plains and upper Great Lakes are on track to have an incredibly cold April, I don't think the anomalies and coverage of anomalies are as extreme and widespread as last March. No, but last "Morch" was confined to a 2-3 week period. In order to have ice fishing ANYWHERE in the lower 48 in the month of May, it takes CONSECUTIVE below normal months without interruption. One big warmup... Lasting a week... The ice is terribly dangerous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 On 4/12/2013 at 11:28 PM, IWXwx said: Check out North Dakota It might be historic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 On 4/13/2013 at 1:40 AM, Stebo said: Pass, oh and the Euro will be right just like it was with the last system. I don't know why people are chasing the GFS mirage yet again... The Euro at this range with the last system was giving mby 3-6" of snow, so it's not like the Euro's been Mr. Right. They probably will all be wrong, and this will pass even further NW than the Euro (which still yields some snow around here). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 On 4/12/2013 at 10:55 PM, Geos said: 18z GFS has shifted even farther east. FrostFern and Harry (and others in the GRR cwa) get in on the action this time around. I wouldn't mind snow as long as it doesn't stick around more then a day! 041813storm.png tanks but no tanks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 I understand why the hobbyists want no more snow, but why does nearly everyone else want to avoid it as well? In April and May it is a unique experience, so even though it isn't great for travel or welcomed by the general public, it's hard to believe this snow enthusiast dominated forum wants it to stay away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 On 4/13/2013 at 3:24 AM, wisconsinwx said: I understand why the hobbyists want no more snow, but why does nearly everyone else want to avoid it as well? In April and May it is a unique experience, so even though it isn't great for travel or welcomed by the general public, it's hard to believe this snow enthusiast dominated forum wants it to stay away. I think everyone is just sick of the cold weather. If we would have had a week or so of sustained warmth already, I think people would be more accepting to one last snow. I would like warmer weather like most everyone else... but why not, let's have one last snow to make this cold month worth while and hit our average snowfall for the month! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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