JamieOber Posted May 9, 2013 Share Posted May 9, 2013 Models do not handle precip output well for these slow moving cut off upper level lows. I was in Perry County last night when the storm came through and it was coming down pretty good. Saw a few posts online last night that people were submitting to the news where the hail in northeast perry/northwest dauphin was covering the ground like a light blanket of snow. I didnt see any hail I was just south of it and somehow only recorded .24" at home for the day. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/rfcshare/ffg.php?duration=3&location=PA Also we're in the time of year now where model precip output doesn't really give you what you might end up getting. Especially as you said, in this setup. Someone could get 1-2" of rain and someone else could get .10. This is also the case when we get into a popup t-storm situation in the summer - if the model says .05, that doesn't tell you much other than a chance of popup storms. Could get 0, could get 2.0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted May 9, 2013 Share Posted May 9, 2013 How's the garden faring? Okay, but something weird was going on. Myself and two of my neighbors start tomatoes inside, the same way each year. Florescent lights, a heater to keep temps at 70, etc. This year, our tomatoes basically stopped growing about a month ago. Mine are the worst. I put them in new dirt and are responding, but it was strange. But other than that, well and I imagine after our cold snap early next week stuff will take off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted May 9, 2013 Share Posted May 9, 2013 I was right : ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted May 9, 2013 Share Posted May 9, 2013 Wow...just saw about that tanker accident. That road looks trashed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted May 9, 2013 Share Posted May 9, 2013 Wow...just saw about that tanker accident. That road looks trashed. listening to press conference now and it sounds like 81 will be closed until that part of ramp can be removed due to extensive damage which may be sunday at the earliest!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted May 9, 2013 Share Posted May 9, 2013 I was right : ) God felt sorry for you. Wow...just saw about that tanker accident. That road looks trashed. Yeah, that's a terrible spot, too. listening to press conference now and it sounds like 81 will be closed until that part of ramp can be removed due to extensive damage which may be sunday at the earliest!! The horrible traffic with terrible drivers around Harrisburg will be even worse. Glad I visited my mom down in York last weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted May 10, 2013 Share Posted May 10, 2013 Could be somewhat interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted May 10, 2013 Share Posted May 10, 2013 Is there a legit shot at Strong Storms or is this an empty threat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted May 10, 2013 Share Posted May 10, 2013 Is there a legit shot at Strong Storms or is this an empty threat? SPC just included half of PA in the "slight" category for the hell of it. Nothing to see here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted May 10, 2013 Share Posted May 10, 2013 Yeah, but this system hasn't produced anywhere else...and so far a lot of the obs are fog and clouds. Definitely not what you want for destabilization. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted May 10, 2013 Share Posted May 10, 2013 Yeah, but this system hasn't produced anywhere else...and so far a lot of the obs are fog and clouds. Definitely not what you want for destabilization. bright and sunny here in the LSV this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted May 10, 2013 Share Posted May 10, 2013 Yeah, but this system hasn't produced anywhere else...and so far a lot of the obs are fog and clouds. Definitely not what you want for destabilization. I look at visible satellite closeups of the state and traffic cams. Obs are lame for this sort of thing. Looks pretty cloudy on those, too. Although once this band of showers moves on through, should see some sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted May 10, 2013 Share Posted May 10, 2013 Yeah, but this system hasn't produced anywhere else...and so far a lot of the obs are fog and clouds. Definitely not what you want for destabilization. Forgot to add...AccuWeather or WeatherUnderground have good satellite maps - just go to visible and animation and use that (during the day, of course). Actually, looks like a storm is about to hit my house in Port Matilda right now, based on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted May 10, 2013 Share Posted May 10, 2013 Wow...just saw about that tanker accident. That road looks trashed. Pretty bizzare yesterday. i get off at cameron Street to come to work. What a sight. Nothing like a 3 dimesional class b fire to start the day. I only sat for a couple minutes on 81 before i could get off off, but i had the birds eye view of that baby burning. I've been on incidents like that before, that driver is damn lucky to get out with only minor injuries. couple good pics at this site http://www.centralpabravest.com/news/fullstory/newsid/187116 look at picture 18, that fuel was running back down that exit ramp burning. i have a good video posted on my facebook for those of you i'm friends with, check it out! here is a good video of it (not mine) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 10, 2013 Share Posted May 10, 2013 Okay, but something weird was going on. Myself and two of my neighbors start tomatoes inside, the same way each year. Florescent lights, a heater to keep temps at 70, etc. This year, our tomatoes basically stopped growing about a month ago. Mine are the worst. I put them in new dirt and are responding, but it was strange. But other than that, well and I imagine after our cold snap early next week stuff will take off. I had onions, beets and radishes in when the cold snap in mid/late April came in and my plants stopped growing for two weeks due to the cold nights, perhaps that was the reasoning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted May 10, 2013 Share Posted May 10, 2013 My peas did the same thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted May 10, 2013 Share Posted May 10, 2013 Traffic in the Harrisburg area is as horrible as I've ever seen it. Every major highway it seems, including the turnpike is closed for sections due to accidents or truck fires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted May 10, 2013 Share Posted May 10, 2013 Folks, I'll be at the Scranton/WB RailRiders game later (first pitch 7:05) with fireworks planned...looking at the radar there's rain coming from the south and west - what do you think are the odds the rain either holds off or comes in before the game ends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted May 10, 2013 Share Posted May 10, 2013 Nickel size hail in Olean,NY according to the rents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted May 10, 2013 Share Posted May 10, 2013 Pretty good guess by SPC, huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted May 11, 2013 Share Posted May 11, 2013 Got hit a little bit ago with probably the best severe thunderstorm I've seen since last Memorial Day's major line. Power's out here and multiple trees/branches down around town. Was mowing at my grandparents a couple miles away and got some good video of the storm rolling in which i'll try to get up. For now here's a pic of the one end of our road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted May 11, 2013 Share Posted May 11, 2013 Nice shot MAG. The t-storms brought some much needed rain. My davis had 1.52" the last 3 day total, which was very close to the HPC prediction a few days ago. Give props to SPC as well, they outlined the threat fairly well. Now for the chill. L 25 very possible near my location back home Monday night. I wonder with some of the residual precip lingering around, if some areas could squeeze out some flakage during the chill of the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted May 11, 2013 Share Posted May 11, 2013 As promised, here is one of the videos I shot of the storm as it rolled through (from my grandparents which is a couple of miles south of my house). Trying to get my first video of this up as you can see the gust front and scuds overtaking the sky as the storm moves overhead. Youtube giving me probs uploading that for whatever reason. This was one helluva storm, it made a mess in parts of Altoona and Bellwood. Our house didn't get power back until about 3 or 4am this morning. Edit: Got the first video to upload and it's been added on this post now. Neat shot of the leading edge of the storm moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted May 12, 2013 Share Posted May 12, 2013 Adding a couple radar captures of this storm now that I downloaded the archived NEXRAD data from Friday. There was a very impressive velocity signature with this storm, with 60-70mph velocities at beam height which is only about 1700feet overhead here. Safe to say most or all of that translated to the ground. 644pm 649pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted May 12, 2013 Share Posted May 12, 2013 Feels like fall, is it ever going to warm up? I mean temperatures in the 80's and 90's. Or is this the overall theme of the summer season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted May 12, 2013 Share Posted May 12, 2013 This has been a horrible year to track severe weather/tornadoes in the Deep South or Midwest. Anemic twister year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted May 12, 2013 Share Posted May 12, 2013 Just had some light Graupel! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted May 12, 2013 Share Posted May 12, 2013 it looked like snow falling in dubois today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted May 12, 2013 Share Posted May 12, 2013 it looked like snow falling in dubois today? Very possible, the thickness was defintely below freezing, so I'm sure what little precip was left over had a chance to fall as grauple or snow. My brother said they had some small flakes spitting mixing with lgt showers earlier, but nothing serious. Impressive for early to mid May none the less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted May 13, 2013 Share Posted May 13, 2013 MAG that storm lost some of it's punch when it hit me but it had a pretty good initial gust for me as well, maybe around 50 mph. BTW 41.4 at 9:30 pm on 5/12 is ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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