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Contest: Total Number Of 90º+ Temperatures...May Thru Sep


Chicago WX

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Thought we needed a contest for the warm months, so I decided to put together one for the total number of 90º+ temperatures for May though September...using one city/site for every NWS office in the region.

 

We'll use the over/under format for this contest, like the snowfall edition. Using the 1981-2010 normals, rounded up or down by me, you pick over or under or exact for the total amount of 90º+ days in May through September for each city/site. Deadline is April 30 at 8:00pm ET.

 

Official entry form

Chicago IL (ORD): 14 days

Moline IL (MLI): 20 days

Springfield IL (SPI): 23 days

Fort Wayne IN (FWA): 13 days

Indianapolis IN (IND): 15 days

Des Moines IA (DSM): 18 days

Sioux City IA (SUX): 20 days

Louisville KY (SDF): 37 days

Paducah KY (PAH): 42 days

Alpena MI (APN): 5 days

Detroit MI (DTW): 10 days

Grand Rapids MI (GRR): 8 days

Marquette MI (MQT): 3 days

Duluth MN (DLH): 2 days

Minneapolis MN (MSP): 11 days

Kansas City MO (MCI): 32 days

Springfield MO (SGF): 35 days

St. Louis MO (STL): 38 days

Cleveland OH (CLE): 9 days

Columbus OH (CMH): 15 days

Green Bay WI (GRB): 3 days

La Crosse WI (LSE): 13 days

Milwaukee WI (MKE): 7 days

 

Tiebreaker questions

#1: 90º+ days in June for Moline IL (MLI)...over/under/exact 4 days

#2: 90º+ days in July for Kansas City (MCI)...over/under/exact 12 days

#3: 100º+ days in August for St. Louis MO (STL)...over/under/exact 1 day

#4: number of times Hoosier talks about or posts a NAM (includes 4km NAM) or RAP temperature map in June-August...over/under/exact 50 times

:D

 

A couple of charts to possibly assist your entries. First one is the 1981-2010 normal 90º+ days for each site, by month. Second chart is the May-September total amount of 90º+ days for every year from 2000 to 2012. Is the trend your friend?  

 

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I'll be the first to enter. 

Interesting that the trend between 81-10 vs. 00-12 has been less 90s except ORD.

 

 

Chicago IL (ORD): 14 days, under

Moline IL (MLI): 20 days, exact

Springfield IL (SPI): 23 days, over

Fort Wayne IN (FWA): 13 days, under

Indianapolis IN (IND): 15 days, over

Des Moines IA (DSM): 18 days, over

Sioux City IA (SUX): 20 days, over

Louisville KY (SDF): 37 days, under

Paducah KY (PAH): 42 days, under

Alpena MI (APN): 5 days, under

Detroit MI (DTW): 10 days, exact

Grand Rapids MI (GRR): 8 days, under

Marquette MI (MQT): 3 days, exact

Duluth MN (DLH): 2 days, over

Minneapolis MN (MSP): 11 days, over

Kansas City MO (MCI): 32 days, over

Springfield MO (SGF): 35 days, over

St. Louis MO (STL): 38 days, under

Cleveland OH (CLE): 9 days, under

Columbus OH (CMH): 15 days, under

Green Bay WI (GRB): 3 days, under

La Crosse WI (LSE): 13 days, over

Milwaukee WI (MKE): 7 days, under

 

Tiebreaker questions

#1: 90º+ days in June for Moline IL (MLI)...under

#2: 90º+ days in July for Kansas City (MCI)...over

#3: 100º+ days in August for St. Louis MO (STL)...exact 1 day

#4: number of times Hoosier talks about or posts a NAM (includes 4km NAM) or RAP temperature map in June-August... under

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Nice charts.

 

Official entry form

Chicago IL (ORD): 14 days   OVER

Moline IL (MLI): 20 days   OVER

Springfield IL (SPI): 23 days   OVER

Fort Wayne IN (FWA): 13 days   OVER

Indianapolis IN (IND): 15 days   OVER

Des Moines IA (DSM): 18 days   OVER

Sioux City IA (SUX): 20 days   OVER

Louisville KY (SDF): 37 days   UNDER

Paducah KY (PAH): 42 days   UNDER

Alpena MI (APN): 5 days   OVER

Detroit MI (DTW): 10 days   OVER

Grand Rapids MI (GRR): 8 days   OVER

Marquette MI (MQT): 3 days   OVER

Duluth MN (DLH): 2 days   OVER

Minneapolis MN (MSP): 11 days   OVER

Kansas City MO (MCI): 32 days   OVER

Springfield MO (SGF): 35 days   OVER

St. Louis MO (STL): 38 days   OVER

Cleveland OH (CLE): 9 days   OVER

Columbus OH (CMH): 15 days   OVER

Green Bay WI (GRB): 3 days   OVER

La Crosse WI (LSE): 13 days   OVER

Milwaukee WI (MKE): 7 days   OVER

 

Tiebreaker questions

#1: 90º+ days in June for Moline IL (MLI)...over/under/exact 4 days   OVER 1 DAY

#2: 90º+ days in July for Kansas City (MCI)...over/under/exact 12 days   EXACT

#3: 100º+ days in August for St. Louis MO (STL)...over/under/exact 1 day   OVER 2 DAYS

#4: number of times Hoosier talks about or posts a NAM (includes 4km NAM) or RAP temperature map in June-August...over/under/exact 50 times   UNDER 7 TIMES

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Official entry form

Chicago IL (ORD): 14 days Over

Moline IL (MLI): 20 days Over

Springfield IL (SPI): 23 days Over

Fort Wayne IN (FWA): 13 days Over

Indianapolis IN (IND): 15 days Over

Des Moines IA (DSM): 18 days Over

Sioux City IA (SUX): 20 days  Over

Louisville KY (SDF): 37 days Over

Paducah KY (PAH): 42 days Over

Alpena MI (APN): 5 days Over

Detroit MI (DTW): 10 days Over

Grand Rapids MI (GRR): 8 days Over

Marquette MI (MQT): 3 days Over

Duluth MN (DLH): 2 days Over

Minneapolis MN (MSP): 11 days Over

Kansas City MO (MCI): 32 days Over

Springfield MO (SGF): 35 days Over

St. Louis MO (STL): 38 days Over

Cleveland OH (CLE): 9 days Over

Columbus OH (CMH): 15 days Over

Green Bay WI (GRB): 3 days Over

La Crosse WI (LSE): 13 days Over

Milwaukee WI (MKE): 7 days Over

 

Tiebreaker questions

#1: 90º+ days in June for Moline IL (MLI)...over/under/exact 4 days Over

#2: 90º+ days in July for Kansas City (MCI)...over/under/exact 12 days Over

#3: 100º+ days in August for St. Louis MO (STL)...over/under/exact 1 day Over

#4: number of times Hoosier talks about or posts a NAM (includes 4km NAM) or RAP temperature map in June-August...over/under/exact 50 times Way Over

 

Sorry to anyone who wants a cool summer :(

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Official entry form

Chicago IL (ORD): 14 days Over

Moline IL (MLI): 20 days Over

Springfield IL (SPI): 23 days Over

Fort Wayne IN (FWA): 13 days Over

Indianapolis IN (IND): 15 days Over

Des Moines IA (DSM): 18 days Over

Sioux City IA (SUX): 20 days  Over

Louisville KY (SDF): 37 days Over

Paducah KY (PAH): 42 days Over

Alpena MI (APN): 5 days Over

Detroit MI (DTW): 10 days Over

Grand Rapids MI (GRR): 8 days Over

Marquette MI (MQT): 3 days Over

Duluth MN (DLH): 2 days Over

Minneapolis MN (MSP): 11 days Over

Kansas City MO (MCI): 32 days Over

Springfield MO (SGF): 35 days Over

St. Louis MO (STL): 38 days Over

Cleveland OH (CLE): 9 days Over

Columbus OH (CMH): 15 days Over

Green Bay WI (GRB): 3 days Over

La Crosse WI (LSE): 13 days Over

Milwaukee WI (MKE): 7 days Over

 

Tiebreaker questions

#1: 90º+ days in June for Moline IL (MLI)...over/under/exact 4 days Over

#2: 90º+ days in July for Kansas City (MCI)...over/under/exact 12 days Over

#3: 100º+ days in August for St. Louis MO (STL)...over/under/exact 1 day Over

#4: number of times Hoosier talks about or posts a NAM (includes 4km NAM) or RAP temperature map in June-August...over/under/exact 50 times Way Over

 

Sorry to anyone who wants a cool summer :(

Curious to hear your thoughts on why you think it's going to be a torchy summer?

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Curious to hear your thoughts on why you think it's going to be a torchy summer?

There just hasn't been enough drought relief this spring thus far and for many parts of the area the systems we have been getting have been under performing compared to QPF for the last few months, it could change over the next month or so but right now I am a bit skeptical. The last month cut back considerable gains many in the region had through the winter, sure there were a few areas that ended up near to slightly above normal in the region but not that many. Plus it is hard to argue the last 12 years on average have been above normal in the summers, so I am hedging my bet in that direction as well.

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A big lol to both the subtitle and to tiebreaker #4. I have fish calling my name this morning, but I'll make some picks later. I can't believe that EVERY reporting station will be over, but it could be a very warm summer.

 

 

Yeah I mean it is tough to pick what might end up being under, if there was ever a place it would probably be in the far NE part of the region, Alpena or Toronto (though not listed for the contest)

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Need an entry from you, even though I know you don't do contests.

Eh, I'll enter one for you. Chalk above it is. :D

I'm really not sure what to expect this summer. Haven't spent much time looking at stuff. The source regions out west are still in pretty significant drought so perhaps it heightens the chances of intense heat spilling eastward at times but it might be tough to pull off the extremes like we saw last year.

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I'm thinking the core of the heat will be in the western most areas of the subforum and further west this summer - closer to the drought areas. Keeping my fingers crossed that the drought doesn't resurge eastwards and create something close to last summer.

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I'm really not sure what to expect this summer. Haven't spent much time looking at stuff. The source regions out west are still in pretty significant drought so perhaps it heightens the chances of intense heat spilling eastward at times but it might be tough to pull off the extremes like we saw last year.

 

Won't lose any sleep if we don't see anything close to last summer, of course. But for how it eventually turns out, is nothing but a guess right now. 

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Chicago IL (ORD): 14 days ... OVER

Moline IL (MLI): 20 days ... OVER

Springfield IL (SPI): 23 days ... OVER

Fort Wayne IN (FWA): 13 days ... UNDER

Indianapolis IN (IND): 15 days ... OVER

Des Moines IA (DSM): 18 days ... OVER

Sioux City IA (SUX): 20 days ... OVER

Louisville KY (SDF): 37 days ... OVER

Paducah KY (PAH): 42 days ... OVER

Alpena MI (APN): 5 days ... UNDER

Detroit MI (DTW): 10 days ... UNDER

Grand Rapids MI (GRR): 8 days ... UNDER

Marquette MI (MQT): 3 days ... UNDER

Duluth MN (DLH): 2 days ... UNDER

Minneapolis MN (MSP): 11 days ... exact

Kansas City MO (MCI): 32 days ... OVER

Springfield MO (SGF): 35 days ... OVER

St. Louis MO (STL): 38 days ... OVER

Cleveland OH (CLE): 9 days ... UNDER

Columbus OH (CMH): 15 days ... exact

Green Bay WI (GRB): 3 days ... exact

La Crosse WI (LSE): 13 days ... OVER

Milwaukee WI (MKE): 7 days ... OVER

 

Tiebreaker questions

#1: 90º+ days in June for Moline IL (MLI)...over/under/exact 4 days ... UNDER

#2: 90º+ days in July for Kansas City (MCI)...over/under/exact 12 days ... OVER

#3: 100º+ days in August for St. Louis MO (STL)...over/under/exact 1 day ... OVER

#4: number of times Hoosier talks about or posts a NAM (includes 4km NAM) or RAP temperature map in June-August...over/under/exact 50 times ... exact

 

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There just hasn't been enough drought relief this spring thus far and for many parts of the area the systems we have been getting have been under performing compared to QPF for the last few months, it could change over the next month or so but right now I am a bit skeptical. The last month cut back considerable gains many in the region had through the winter, sure there were a few areas that ended up near to slightly above normal in the region but not that many. Plus it is hard to argue the last 12 years on average have been above normal in the summers, so I am hedging my bet in that direction as well.

 

I know this is a regional contest, but strictly talking 90F+ days this statement is extremely skewed by the last 3 years (particularly the last 2). It is a fact that the 2000s saw the LEAST 90F+ days at Detroit of any decade since the 1920s!

 

# of 90F+ days each decade

 

1900s           56             

1910s         107            

1920s         100

1930s         172            

1940s         160            

1950s         154            

1960s         111            

1970s         119             

1980s         127             

1990s         123             

2000s         102                            

2010s           70             

 

Just 3 years into this decade, we have seen 70% of the 90F days we saw the previous 10-years, so we are definitely due for a dud of a year in the 90F department.

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Official entry form

Chicago IL (ORD): 14 days Over

Moline IL (MLI): 20 days Over

Springfield IL (SPI): 23 days Over

Fort Wayne IN (FWA): 13 days Over

Indianapolis IN (IND): 15 days Over

Des Moines IA (DSM): 18 days Exact

Sioux City IA (SUX): 20 days Under

Louisville KY (SDF): 37 days Over

Paducah KY (PAH): 42 days Over

Alpena MI (APN): 5 days Over

Detroit MI (DTW): 10 days Over

Grand Rapids MI (GRR): 8 days Over

Marquette MI (MQT): 3 days Exact

Duluth MN (DLH): 2 days Exact

Minneapolis MN (MSP): 11 days Under

Kansas City MO (MCI): 32 days Over

Springfield MO (SGF): 35 days Over

St. Louis MO (STL): 38 days Over

Cleveland OH (CLE): 9 days Over

Columbus OH (CMH): 15 days Over

Green Bay WI (GRB): 3 days Over

La Crosse WI (LSE): 13 days Under

Milwaukee WI (MKE): 7 days Over

 

Tiebreaker questions

#1: 90º+ days in June for Moline IL (MLI)...over/under/exact 4 days Over

#2: 90º+ days in July for Kansas City (MCI)...over/under/exact 12 days Exact

#3: 100º+ days in August for St. Louis MO (STL)...over/under/exact 1 day Over

#4: number of times Hoosier talks about or posts a NAM (includes 4km NAM) or RAP temperature map in June-August...over/under/exact 50 times Under (45-49 times is my guess)

 

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Official entry form

Chicago IL (ORD): 14 days under

Moline IL (MLI): 20 days under

Springfield IL (SPI): 23 days under

Fort Wayne IN (FWA): 13 days over

Indianapolis IN (IND): 15 days over

Des Moines IA (DSM): 18 days over

Sioux City IA (SUX): 20 days over

Louisville KY (SDF): 37 days under

Paducah KY (PAH): 42 days over

Alpena MI (APN): 5 days under

Detroit MI (DTW): 10 days over

Grand Rapids MI (GRR): 8 days under

Marquette MI (MQT): 3 days under

Duluth MN (DLH): 2 days over

Minneapolis MN (MSP): 11 days over

Kansas City MO (MCI): 32 days over

Springfield MO (SGF): 35 days over

St. Louis MO (STL): 38 days over

Cleveland OH (CLE): 9 days under

Columbus OH (CMH): 15 days under

Green Bay WI (GRB): 3 days under

La Crosse WI (LSE): 13 days under

Milwaukee WI (MKE): 7 days under

 

Tiebreaker questions

#1: 90º+ days in June for Moline IL (MLI)...under

#2: 90º+ days in July for Kansas City (MCI)...over

#3: 100º+ days in August for St. Louis MO (STL)...over

#4: number of times Hoosier talks about or posts a NAM (includes 4km NAM) or RAP temperature map in June-August...under...he'll never post a RAP map again

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I got all my number from here, using the Excel Mashup-Interactive View and Excel Web App.

 

Chicago IL (ORD): 14 days, Under

Moline IL (MLI): 20 days, Under

Springfield IL (SPI): 23 days, Under

Fort Wayne IN (FWA): 13 days, Under

Indianapolis IN (IND): 15 days, Under

Des Moines IA (DSM): 18 days, Under

Sioux City IA (SUX): 20 days, Under

Louisville KY (SDF): 37 days, Under

Paducah KY (PAH): 42 days, Under

Alpena MI (APN): 5 days, Under

Detroit MI (DTW): 10 days, Under

Grand Rapids MI (GRR): 8 days, Under

Marquette MI (MQT): 3 days, Under

Duluth MN (DLH): 2 days, Under

Minneapolis MN (MSP): 11 days, Under

Kansas City MO (MCI): 32 days, Under

Springfield MO (SGF): 35 days, Over

St. Louis MO (STL): 38 days, Under

Cleveland OH (CLE): 9 days, Under

Columbus OH (CMH): 15 days, Under

Green Bay WI (GRB): 3 days, Under

La Crosse WI (LSE): 13 days, Under

Milwaukee WI (MKE): 7 days, Under

 

Tiebreaker questions

#1: 90º+ days in June for Moline IL (MLI)... 0 (Under)

#2: 90º+ days in July for Kansas City (MCI)... 10 (Under)

#3: 100º+ days in August for St. Louis MO (STL)... 0 (Under)

#4: number of times Hoosier talks about or posts a NAM (includes 4km NAM) or RAP temperature map in June-August... Exact

 

Good luck!

 

Edit: Tiebreaker questions... 

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Official entry form

Chicago IL (ORD): 14 days: Under

Moline IL (MLI): 20 days: Under

Springfield IL (SPI): 23 days: Under

Fort Wayne IN (FWA): 13 days: Under

Indianapolis IN (IND): 15 days: Under

Des Moines IA (DSM): 18 days: Under

Sioux City IA (SUX): 20 days: Under

Louisville KY (SDF): 37 days: Under

Paducah KY (PAH): 42 days: Under

Alpena MI (APN): 5 days: Under

Detroit MI (DTW): 10 days: Under

Grand Rapids MI (GRR): 8 days: Under

Marquette MI (MQT): 3 days: Under

Duluth MN (DLH): 2 days: Under

Minneapolis MN (MSP): 11 days: Under

Kansas City MO (MCI): 32 days: Under

Springfield MO (SGF): 35 days: Under

St. Louis MO (STL): 38 days: Under

Cleveland OH (CLE): 9 days: Under

Columbus OH (CMH): 15 days: Under

Green Bay WI (GRB): 3 days: Under

La Crosse WI (LSE): 13 days: Under

Milwaukee WI (MKE): 7 days: Under

 

 

Tiebreaker questions

#1: 90º+ days in June for Moline IL (MLI)...over/under/exact 4 days: Under

#2: 90º+ days in July for Kansas City (MCI)...over/under/exact 12 days: Under

#3: 100º+ days in August for St. Louis MO (STL)...over/under/exact 1 day: Exact

#4: number of times Hoosier talks about or posts a NAM (includes 4km NAM) or RAP temperature map in June-August...over/under/exact 50 times: Under

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Official entry form


Chicago IL (ORD): 14 days......UNDER


Moline IL (MLI): 20 days........OVER


Springfield IL (SPI): 23 days.......OVER


Fort Wayne IN (FWA): 13 days.......UNDER


Indianapolis IN (IND): 15 days........OVER


Des Moines IA (DSM): 18 days.........OVER


Sioux City IA (SUX): 20 days..........OVER


Louisville KY (SDF): 37 days...........OVER


Paducah KY (PAH): 42 days..........OVER


Alpena MI (APN): 5 days............UNDER


Detroit MI (DTW): 10 days..........UNDER


Grand Rapids MI (GRR): 8 days........UNDER


Marquette MI (MQT): 3 days...........UNDER


Duluth MN (DLH): 2 days............OVER


Minneapolis MN (MSP): 11 days...........OVER


Kansas City MO (MCI): 32 days..........OVER


Springfield MO (SGF): 35 days........OVER


St. Louis MO (STL): 38 days..........UNDER


Cleveland OH (CLE): 9 days............UNDER


Columbus OH (CMH): 15 days.........UNDER


Green Bay WI (GRB): 3 days..........OVER


La Crosse WI (LSE): 13 days.........OVER


Milwaukee WI (MKE): 7 days...........UNDER


 


Tiebreaker questions


#1: 90º+ days in June for Moline IL (MLI)...over/under/exact 4 days................UNDER


#2: 90º+ days in July for Kansas City (MCI)...over/under/exact 12 days.................OVER


#3: 100º+ days in August for St. Louis MO (STL)...over/under/exact 1 day..................UNDER


#4: number of times Hoosier talks about or posts a NAM (includes 4km NAM) or RAP temperature map in June-August...over/under/exact 50 times...............UNDER

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Official entry form

Chicago IL (ORD): 14 days UNDER

Moline IL (MLI): 20 days UNDER

Springfield IL (SPI): 23 days UNDER

Fort Wayne IN (FWA): 13 UNDER

Indianapolis IN (IND): 15 UNDER

Des Moines IA (DSM): 18 UNDER

Sioux City IA (SUX): 20 UNDER

Louisville KY (SDF): 37 UNDER

Paducah KY (PAH): 42 UNDER

Alpena MI (APN): 5 UNDER

Detroit MI (DTW): 10 UNDER

Grand Rapids MI (GRR): UNDER

Marquette MI (MQT): UNDER

Duluth MN (DLH): UNDER

Minneapolis MN (MSP): UNDER

Kansas City MO (MCI): 32 OVER

Springfield MO (SGF): 35 UNDER

St. Louis MO (STL): 38 UNDER

Cleveland OH (CLE): 9 UNDER

Columbus OH (CMH): 15 UNDER

Green Bay WI (GRB): 3 UNDER

La Crosse WI (LSE): 13 UNDER

Milwaukee WI (MKE): 7 UNDER

 

Tiebreaker questions

#1: 90º+ days in June for Moline IL (MLI)...over/under/exact 4 days UNDER

#2: 90º+ days in July for Kansas City (MCI)...over/under/exact 12 days UNDER

#3: 100º+ days in August for St. Louis MO (STL)...over/under/exact 1 day EXACT

#4: number of times Hoosier talks about or posts a NAM (includes 4km NAM) or RAP temperature map in June-August...over/under/exact 50 times OVER

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Official entry form

Chicago IL (ORD): 14 days Over

Moline IL (MLI): 20 days Exact

Springfield IL (SPI): 23 days Exact

Fort Wayne IN (FWA): 13 days Over

Indianapolis IN (IND): 15 days Over

Des Moines IA (DSM): 18 days Over

Sioux City IA (SUX): 20 days Over

Louisville KY (SDF): 37 days Under

Paducah KY (PAH): 42 days Under

Alpena MI (APN): 5 days Exact

Detroit MI (DTW): 10 days Over

Grand Rapids MI (GRR): 8 days Over

Marquette MI (MQT): 3 days Exact

Duluth MN (DLH): 2 days Over

Minneapolis MN (MSP): 11 days Over

Kansas City MO (MCI): 32 days Exact

Springfield MO (SGF): 35 days Exact

St. Louis MO (STL): 38 days Under

Cleveland OH (CLE): 9 days Exact

Columbus OH (CMH): 15 days Under

Green Bay WI (GRB): 3 days Over

La Crosse WI (LSE): 13 days Over

Milwaukee WI (MKE): 7 days Over

 

Tiebreaker questions

#1: 90º+ days in June for Moline IL (MLI)...over/under/exact 4 days Over

#2: 90º+ days in July for Kansas City (MCI)...over/under/exact 12 days Exact

#3: 100º+ days in August for St. Louis MO (STL)...over/under/exact 1 day Under

#4: number of times Hoosier talks about or posts a NAM (includes 4km NAM) or RAP temperature map in June-August...over/under/exact 50 times Over

 

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  • 1 month later...

Total number of 90º+ days through May 31.

 

Chicago IL (ORD): 1

Moline IL (MLI): 1

Springfield IL (SPI): 0 

Fort Wayne IN (FWA): 0 

Indianapolis IN (IND): 0

Des Moines IA (DSM): 1

Sioux City IA (SUX): 2

Louisville KY (SDF): 0

Paducah KY (PAH): 0

Alpena MI (APN): 0

Detroit MI (DTW): 0

Grand Rapids MI (GRR): 0 

Marquette MI (MQT): 0

Duluth MN (DLH): 0

Minneapolis MN (MSP): 1 

Kansas City MO (MCI): 1

Springfield MO (SGF): 0

St. Louis MO (STL): 3

Cleveland OH (CLE): 0

Columbus OH (CMH): 0

Green Bay WI (GRB): 0

La Crosse WI (LSE): 1

Milwaukee WI (MKE): 0

 

 

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