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Severe Weather Outbreak April 10-12th Disc./Obs.


WilkesboroDude

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Getting a big storm right now in Haywood. Lots of lightning and heavy heavy rain with wind.

 

HAYWOOD NC-MACON NC-TRANSYLVANIA NC-JACKSON NC-
1131 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
JACKSON...TRANSYLVANIA...SOUTHEASTERN MACON AND SOUTHEASTERN HAYWOOD
COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT...

AT 1126 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF BREVARD TO 6 MILES EAST OF PINE MOUNTAIN...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  ROSMAN.
  BREVARD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO PRODUCING EXTREMELY HEAVY
RAINFALL. FLOODING OF DRAINAGE DITCHES AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY OCCUR.
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER IS FLOWING OVER THE ROAD.



 

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bout 8pm tonight in fayetteville seen some damn good lightning and thunder, with heavy rain drivin home from class.  there was a cell that passed just to our south looked *slightly* severe but wasnt warned at all.  was the only cell on the local radar.  was nice to have a storm though. 

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bout 8pm tonight in fayetteville seen some damn good lightning and thunder, with heavy rain drivin home from class.  there was a cell that passed just to our south looked *slightly* severe but wasnt warned at all.  was the only cell on the local radar.  was nice to have a storm though. 

 

That same cell was headed my way...looked like a hook formation so it surprised me and I looked at base velocity and saw no rotation throughout the storms life...oh well!

 

BHnMvKcCEAAogW5.jpg

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PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT


 

 

mcd0455.gif

...WITH A
RECENT INCREASE ALSO NOTED IN PRE-QLCS STORMS ACROSS FAR EASTERN
GA...PERHAPS FOCUSED NEAR A RETREATING SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY.
SUSTENANCE OF ORGANIZED STORMS WILL BE INFLUENCED ON THE LARGE SCALE
BY HEIGHT FALLS/FORCING FOR ASCENT VIA AN INCREASINGLY NEGATIVE
TILT/NORTHEASTWARD EJECTING PORTION OF MS VALLEY/TN VALLEY UPPER
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED JET STREAK. THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION IS
RELATIVELY MOIST/MODESTLY UNSTABLE...WITH INCREASINGLY STRONG DEEP
LAYER/LOW LEVEL SHEAR NOTED PER REGIONAL OBSERVATIONAL WIND DATA. AS
SUCH...AT LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION OVERNIGHT.

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Per the 4z RAP, the LI is progged around -5 for Central NC (4am)...not bad for an overnight storm, at all. Sounding looks good valid at 7am, hodograph...look at that low level shear!!! 15kts at the surface, 50+ kts at 600m that thing is rolling. I'll be sure to look up on the way to my exam tomorrow morning if I'm not getting dumped on...exam is at 7:30am!

 

Es3xANV.png

 

 

 

Sounding for Central NC:

 

5zOs0Tq.png

 

40T025t.png

 

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0455   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK   1146 PM CDT THU APR 11 2013      AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF EASTERN GA AND SC      CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY       VALID 120446Z - 120615Z      PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT      SUMMARY...AT LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO   INCREASE OVERNIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN GA INTO SC...SUCH THAT   A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SOON.      DISCUSSION...PRE-FRONTAL QUASI-LINEAR MCS CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY   ACCELERATE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL GA AS OF 0445Z...WITH A   RECENT INCREASE ALSO NOTED IN PRE-QLCS STORMS ACROSS FAR EASTERN   GA...PERHAPS FOCUSED NEAR A RETREATING SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY.   SUSTENANCE OF ORGANIZED STORMS WILL BE INFLUENCED ON THE LARGE SCALE   BY HEIGHT FALLS/FORCING FOR ASCENT VIA AN INCREASINGLY NEGATIVE   TILT/NORTHEASTWARD EJECTING PORTION OF MS VALLEY/TN VALLEY UPPER   TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED JET STREAK. THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION IS   RELATIVELY MOIST/MODESTLY UNSTABLE...WITH INCREASINGLY STRONG DEEP   LAYER/LOW LEVEL SHEAR NOTED PER REGIONAL OBSERVATIONAL WIND DATA. AS   SUCH...AT LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE   REGION OVERNIGHT.      ..GUYER/CORFIDI.. 04/12/2013

 

That's some impressive shear there Jon.

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Another waste of SC time.  I'm done with severe/snow in this state.  100% moving now.  I think Northern Arkansas seems best.

 

Pretty sick and tired of my location always being gone around or a storm splitting in half, then reforming to the east.  I think they put some experimental crap in Lake Murray when they lowered it to test weather control.  We used to get pretty good storms until they "built the new backup dam".  I asked NOAA and no response.  I asked various others and meteorologists and still, nothing.  Pretty interesting.

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Another waste of SC time.  I'm done with severe/snow in this state.  100% moving now.  I think Northern Arkansas seems best.

 

Pretty sick and tired of my location always being gone around or a storm splitting in half, then reforming to the east.  I think they put some experimental crap in Lake Murray when they lowered it to test weather control.  We used to get pretty good storms until they "built the new backup dam".  I asked NOAA and no response.  I asked various others and meteorologists and still, nothing.  Pretty interesting.

 

Very interesting indeed. Continue...

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Another waste of SC time. I'm done with severe/snow in this state. 100% moving now. I think Northern Arkansas seems best.

Pretty sick and tired of my location always being gone around or a storm splitting in half, then reforming to the east. I think they put some experimental crap in Lake Murray when they lowered it to test weather control. We used to get pretty good storms until they "built the new backup dam". I asked NOAA and no response. I asked various others and meteorologists and still, nothing. Pretty interesting.

I bet it has something to do with HAARP.

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Another waste of SC time.  I'm done with severe/snow in this state.  100% moving now.  I think Northern Arkansas seems best.

 

Pretty sick and tired of my location always being gone around or a storm splitting in half, then reforming to the east.  I think they put some experimental crap in Lake Murray when they lowered it to test weather control.  We used to get pretty good storms until they "built the new backup dam".  I asked NOAA and no response.  I asked various others and meteorologists and still, nothing.  Pretty interesting.

I can only imagine that they were busy that day. maybe try again?

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Another waste of SC time. I'm done with severe/snow in this state. 100% moving now. I think Northern Arkansas seems best.

Pretty sick and tired of my location always being gone around or a storm splitting in half, then reforming to the east. I think they put some experimental crap in Lake Murray when they lowered it to test weather control. We used to get pretty good storms until they "built the new backup dam". I asked NOAA and no response. I asked various others and meteorologists and still, nothing. Pretty interesting.

The government is plotting against you, moving won't help. lol

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Very interesting indeed. Continue...

 

I mean, does anyone know what would be causing most storms throughout the whole year (not just severe) to basically split and go around the lake just to reform towards Forest Acres/Sumter?  Last night a cell or two was like 10 miles away, died out a bit.. reformed right after it passed.  Then another cell from the South came through southern Lexington and died the closer to the lake it got again.  I have a few weather buff friends that notice the same thing.

 

The only thing that has changed with the lake since they lowered it to build the new backup dam... is less vegetation.  Before they lowered it, storms used to amplify over it.

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