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Significant severe weather threats 4/8-10


OKpowdah

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The cells in NE CO are pretty damn impressive. Goodland issued a county-wide severe thunderstorm warning for just their outflow. 

 

 

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A
 
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  YUMA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST COLORADO...
 
* UNTIL 915 PM MDT
 
* AT 810 PM MDT...STRONG OUTFLOW FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS  IN       
  WASHINGTON COUNTY WERE MOVING TO THE EAST AT 55 MPH. THESE WINDS   
  ARE POSSIBLE WELL BEFORE ANY RAIN REACHES THE AREA.
 
  HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS.
 
  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
 
  IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO
           MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

 

Some of those cells have ESRH values of around 450-800 m/s 

 

 

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So... 6 Miles west of Akron is a Tornado... and AT THE SAME TIME in Akron airport it's 36 and light Snow with 50 kt gusts.

 

SPECI KAKO 090251Z AUTO 02043G50KT 6SM -SN SCT007 BKN022 OVC029 02/ A2945 RMK AO2 PK WND 34069/0154 WSHFT 0149 RAE14B39E48SNB14 P0012 TSNO $

The National Weather Service in Denver has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
central Washington County in northeast Colorado

* until 915 PM MDT

* at 851 PM MDT... local law enforcement officials reported a tornado
6 miles west of Akron. This storm was moving northeast at 25 mph.
Another storm with a possible tornado was located 8 miles east of
Woodrow. Downed power lines and wind gusts to 65 mph were reported
with this storm.

* Locations in the warning include but are not limited to Akron.

People in Akron should take cover in a sturdy building now!

Lat... Lon 4038 10326 4031 10302 3994 10343 4012 10347
time... Mot... loc 0251z 213deg 24kt 4016 10332

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Former KOCO met on FB isn't impressed with tomorrow at all for OKC.

 

Newest model data coming in, jives with the prior. A few severe storms breaking out along the dryline near hwy 183. For a couple of hours these supercells will produce damaging hail/wind as they move towards I-35. The cold front will quickly approach from the NW and will undercut the storms killing off their supply of warm/unstable air at the surface limiting their severity quite a bit. That means the developing squall line won't be as intense either. Still pockets of hail/wind but not a widespread event. Any isolated tornado threat is very small and would be early with those supercells that develop. Storms would move into the OKC area anytime after 4:30pm. The front should be in close to 7pm.

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I give the odds of there having actually been a tornado outside of Akron with that particular storm at < 0.1%.

Tony I would have said the same thing earlier, too - but, spotters have been on these storms and have reported some being on the ground 10-20 minutes. This is likely the second time Akron is being hit by a TOR in one evening.

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Sheriffnado?

 

AT 851 PM MDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED A TORNADO    6 MILES WEST OF AKRON. THIS STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.    ANOTHER STORM WITH A POSSIBLE TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES EAST OF    WOODROW. DOWNED POWER LINES AND WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH WERE REPORTED    WITH THIS STORM.  
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Tony I would have said the same thing earlier, too - but, spotters have been on these storms and have reported some being on the ground 10-20 minutes. This is likely the second time Akron is being hit by a TOR in one evening.

Except the first one wasn't on the other side of the front for that warning.  Big difference.  Huge.

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As I look at tonight's NAM I would favor Norman through Tulsa as a favored area say about 00z-3z tomorrow.

 

Well the NAM has what looks like convection breaking out in E OK by 22z, then making it here by 00z. That's well ahead of the cold front as well. 

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Except the first one wasn't on the other side of the front for that warning.  Big difference.  Huge.

Gotcha.

 

Warning now out for NE.

 

 

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1027 PM CDT MON APR 8 2013
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
  EASTERN SHERMAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
 
* UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
 
* AT 1023 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
  TORNADO WAS LOCATED 2 MILES EAST OF ROCKVILLE...OR 26 MILES
  NORTHWEST OF GRAND ISLAND....AND MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.
 
  HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
 
  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.
 
  IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
           SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
           OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
           EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ASHTON AND SHERMAN RESERVOIR DAM.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
 
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
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Tornado on that first cell weak even for a land spout based on pics.. really pretty storm but very high based even at production time earlier.  But that thing has been going forever now as it chugs away in NE. Kinda like the one yesterday in KS to MO. Looks like it's getting undercut now tho.

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