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April Obs/Banter


WxUSAF

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12z GFS marine layers us on Saturday then goes all TORCHPRIL on our butts for Sunday-Thursday.  Near 70F on Sunday and Monday and then near 80F the other three days?  Sleeping with the windows open kind of weather at night too.  

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12z GFS marine layers us on Saturday then goes all TORCHPRIL on our butts for Sunday-Thursday.  Near 70F on Sunday and Monday and then near 80F the other three days?  Sleeping with the windows open kind of weather at night too.  

 

Looking at twisterdata, its not even below 60 at 2am Wednesday.  Bring it on!

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im not sure how we were supposed to hit mid to upper 50s with light winds and a wedge and no warm air within 1500 miles...though I guess DCA could get to 53 or so

 

yeah, i dunno.. i hedged down in pm update y-day from prior but mos was close to 50 today so not sure why forecasts were warmer than mos initially. only around 40 in charlotte with rain.

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big question next week is probably just if we see rain/clouds etc. euro still looks pretty mild overall but i kinda doubt we run 70+ all work week like some are hoping for.

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haha....awesome...people are going to be suicidal

April is a tricky warmth month. Cool air is always lurking close by from several sources. Get good easterly fetch and 850's don't even matter anymore. Get a cloudy day and it cancels a torch. A modest but subtle push of lower heights out of canada and everything changes.

I kind of alluded to this in my post in the disco thread. Unless there's a solid trough out west or some sort of stable se ridge then it's really hard to get 4+ days of solid + departures this month.

I love 50's and low 60's. You'll never hear me complain.

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April is a tricky warmth month. Cool air is always lurking close by from several sources. Get good easterly fetch and 850's don't even matter anymore. Get a cloudy day and it cancels a torch. A modest but subtle push of lower heights out of canada and everything changes.

I kind of alluded to this in my post in the disco thread. Unless there's a solid trough out west or some sort of stable se ridge then it's really hard to get 4+ days of solid + departures this month.

I love 50's and low 60's. You'll never hear me complain.

 

A western trough and SE ridge looks exactly like what's setting up for next week.

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A western trough and SE ridge looks exactly like what's setting up for next week.

 

Euro says no to the se ridge part. It's all convoluted. Euro has a big nasty ULL up north between the maritimes and greeland towards the end of the run and a big strong surface HP in central canada and really cold pool of 850's se of hudson bay in the middle of next week. 

 

If I had to pick sides on which features are going to win between the gfs/euro, I'm thinking just like zwyts. We may have a warm day or 2 but it will be bookended by aob. April temp battleground is looking fierce next week. 

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Euro says no to the se ridge part. It's all convoluted. Euro has a big nasty ULL up north between the maritimes and greeland towards the end of the run and a big strong surface HP in central canada and really cold pool of 850's se of hudson bay in the middle of next week. 

 

If I had to pick sides on which features are going to win between the gfs/euro, I'm thinking just like zwyts. We may have a warm day or 2 but it will be bookended by aob. April temp battleground is looking fierce next week. 

 

Just looked at the extended euro...its solution will indeed put the MA in the battleground.  Tough forecast week if that works out, temp wise.  Ukie is warm like the gfs, canadian leaning towards the EC, on the cooler side.  As usual, we'll see. 

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Baro way up there Temps. went from 52 at 5:30 to 32 at 11:30.  Too bad precip couldn't get in tonight.  Even with a miracle cloud up at exactly the right time we will still get to 45F at the coolest for a high. Won't work but man it feels mid Jan cold out there right now.

 

I'll be darn about my snow musings. It's not snowing right in DC but two hours away it is.

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