Ellinwood Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 i havent paid much attention. i see a green circle to our east. get out there mark! Someone may get a cellphone pic/video of a two-minute spout/tornado. 'sides, I gotta do the forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 yoda should be along soon I was annoyed I had to cut and paste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 I was annoyed I had to cut and paste. My bad, I was out getting lunch. I apologize for failing to do my C&P duty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Someone may get a cellphone pic/video of a two-minute spout/tornado. 'sides, I gotta do the forecast definitely more important! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Can't wait till winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Can't wait till winter Agree. It is stupidly humid outside right now. I was not prepared for this. Currently 73/68 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0460 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0134 PM CDT FRI APR 12 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...ERN SC...ERN NC AND SERN VA AND SRN MD CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 121834Z - 122030Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT SUMMARY...STORMS DEVELOPING FROM THE ERN CAROLINAS INTO ERN VA HAVE UNDERGONE A GRADUAL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. A FEW STORMS MIGHT BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS...BUT ANY SEVERE EVENTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN TOO SPARSE FOR A WW. DISCUSSION...STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG PRE-FRONTAL CONVERGENCE ZONE HAVE UNDERGONE A MODEST INCREASE IN INTENSITY FROM THE ERN CAROLINAS INTO ERN VA IN RESPONSE TO A DESTABILIZING BOUNDARY WITH TEMPERATURES RISING TO NEAR 80 ALONG THE MOIST AXIS. LOW-LEVEL WINDS HAVE VEERED AND WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN...BUT STRONG SHEAR THROUGH THE 0-6 KM LAYER OF 35-45 KT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. MAIN LIMITING FACTOR FOR A MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT IS THE MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT. MID-UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE DRYING AND WARMING IN WAKE OF AN IMPULSE EJECTING THROUGH THE NERN STATES IS RESULTING IN WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AS WELL AS POTENTIAL FOR DRY ENTRAINMENT WITHIN THE DEVELOPING UPDRAFTS. THESE FACTORS WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TO LIMIT UPDRAFT VIGOR DESPITE A MOIST AND UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER AND SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED STORMS. NEVERTHELESS A FEW OF THE STORMS MIGHT BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG...GUSTY WINDS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. ..DIAL/KERR.. 04/12/2013 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...LWX...RAH...ILM...CHS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 it's sunning.. here we goes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 cape nose.. watch out winchester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 20+ temp swing over balt/dc metro...f-uck the warm sector Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 20+ temp swing over balt/dc metro...f-uck the warm sector 34 and rain at ORH. I'm a little glad that they get a crap spring after cashing in all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Untitled-1.jpg cape nose.. watch out winchester. if you have a second, do you mind explaining what that map is and what it shows? Those are cape values shown, obviously, but what about the nose tip near Winchester is important / noteable? That bright sunshine is on tap? What are the dashed blue lines? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 back to NE winds and temp dropped at DCA.. warm front doesn't seem to be moving much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 75/67 at home with a variable wind .99" rain from this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 20+ temp swing over balt/dc metro...f-uck the warm sector51 at my home weather sation, 61 in Baltimore downtown, 71 dc, crazy gradient! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 if you have a second, do you mind explaining what that map is and what it shows? Those are cape values shown, obviously, but what about the nose tip near Winchester is important / noteable? That bright sunshine is on tap? What are the dashed blue lines? a lot of times you'll get convection to fire near the nose of the moisture advection which pretty much lines up with the cape map. im not exactly sure why to be honest but it works fairly often if you get storms to fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 63/57 will full sun out now. Would not mind a clap of thunder or lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Some towers around here. Spc removed the 2% tor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Untitled-1.jpg cape nose.. watch out winchester. Bingo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Something firing just NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 BingoNice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Something firing just NW Another opportunity to say how sweet it is to have the 1 min refresh on the TDWR data at wunderground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Nice little cluster to my north. No rain down here it just got dark but all the stuff is just north of. Me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Overcast and cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Wow this storm just blew up to my south. Just had some thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 the front is unzipping see if it can do it in time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 southern storm is turning right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Hook showing up south of Fredneck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 southern storm is turning right! It is getting an appendage on it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 radar presentation looks like an LP supercell. see if it can sustain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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