Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,794
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    manaja
    Newest Member
    manaja
    Joined

April Obs/Banter


WxUSAF

Recommended Posts

Congrats, you sold it!

 

Will miss the weather obs and occassional pics from out there.

Thanks, not "sold" yet but under contract, I always worry something will happen until I have the check in the bank.

 

I will absolutely miss many things about the property, including the different weather out there, just not the second mortgage or the drive.  At least soon we can take several vacations per year and I can aggressively pursue my desire to move to the high desert out in Oregon.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 985
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Am I the only one interested in possible storms this afternoon?  Its not like there is going to be a severe outbreak, but I enjoyed my thunder this morning and I want more.

 

SPC

  ...ERN VA AND MD INTO THE DELMARVA PENINSULA...   TIMING OF MID-LEVEL SUPPORT FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION ALONG AND   AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT ADVANCING EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS MAY NOT   COINCIDE WITH PEAK LATE AFTERNOON HEATING AND INSTABILITY.    STILL...THOUGH...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STORM DEVELOPMENT DOES   NOT APPEAR OUT OF THE QUESTION EARLY THIS EVENING...IF NOT BEFORE.    AND...LOW-LEVEL/DEEP LAYER SHEAR COULD REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR   SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...PARTICULARLY IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF A   SECONDARY SURFACE LOW...WHICH MAY STILL BE IN THE PROCESS OF   MIGRATING ACROSS THE NORTHERN CHESAPEAKE/DELMARVA PENINSULA REGION   AROUND 13/00Z.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Am I the only one interested in possible storms this afternoon?  Its not like there is going to be a severe outbreak, but I enjoyed my thunder this morning and I want more.

 

SPC

  ...ERN VA AND MD INTO THE DELMARVA PENINSULA...   TIMING OF MID-LEVEL SUPPORT FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION ALONG AND   AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT ADVANCING EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS MAY NOT   COINCIDE WITH PEAK LATE AFTERNOON HEATING AND INSTABILITY.    STILL...THOUGH...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STORM DEVELOPMENT DOES   NOT APPEAR OUT OF THE QUESTION EARLY THIS EVENING...IF NOT BEFORE.    AND...LOW-LEVEL/DEEP LAYER SHEAR COULD REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR   SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...PARTICULARLY IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF A   SECONDARY SURFACE LOW...WHICH MAY STILL BE IN THE PROCESS OF   MIGRATING ACROSS THE NORTHERN CHESAPEAKE/DELMARVA PENINSULA REGION   AROUND 13/00Z.

 

yoda should be along soon

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0460 

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 

0134 PM CDT FRI APR 12 2013 

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN SC...ERN NC AND SERN VA AND SRN MD 

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 121834Z - 122030Z 

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT 

SUMMARY...STORMS DEVELOPING FROM THE ERN CAROLINAS INTO ERN VA HAVE 

UNDERGONE A GRADUAL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. A FEW STORMS 

MIGHT BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS...BUT 

ANY SEVERE EVENTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN TOO SPARSE FOR A WW. 

DISCUSSION...STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG PRE-FRONTAL CONVERGENCE ZONE 

HAVE UNDERGONE A MODEST INCREASE IN INTENSITY FROM THE ERN CAROLINAS 

INTO ERN VA IN RESPONSE TO A DESTABILIZING BOUNDARY WITH 

TEMPERATURES RISING TO NEAR 80 ALONG THE MOIST AXIS. LOW-LEVEL WINDS 

HAVE VEERED AND WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN...BUT STRONG SHEAR THROUGH 

THE 0-6 KM LAYER OF 35-45 KT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. 

MAIN LIMITING FACTOR FOR A MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT IS THE MARGINAL 

THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT. MID-UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE DRYING AND 

WARMING IN WAKE OF AN IMPULSE EJECTING THROUGH THE NERN STATES IS 

RESULTING IN WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AS WELL AS POTENTIAL FOR DRY 

ENTRAINMENT WITHIN THE DEVELOPING UPDRAFTS. THESE FACTORS WILL 

PROBABLY CONTINUE TO LIMIT UPDRAFT VIGOR DESPITE A MOIST AND 

UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER AND SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED 

STORMS. NEVERTHELESS A FEW OF THE STORMS MIGHT BECOME CAPABLE OF 

PRODUCING STRONG...GUSTY WINDS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. 

..DIAL/KERR.. 04/12/2013 

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... 

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...LWX...RAH...ILM...CHS...

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

if you have a second, do you mind explaining what that map is and what it shows?  Those are cape values shown, obviously, but what about the nose tip near Winchester is important / noteable?  That bright sunshine is on tap?  What are the dashed blue lines?

 

a lot of times you'll get convection to fire near the nose of the moisture advection which pretty much lines up with the cape map.  im not exactly sure why to be honest but it works fairly often if you get storms to fire.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...