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April Obs/Banter


WxUSAF

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Cherry blossoms are going to last 45 seconds

A few last blossoms were popping out yesterday around the Tidal Basin.

But with all the rain due in Thursday-Friday, even those may not last to the weekend.

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Hit 80.5 here yesterday, first 80+ of year. Still running -2.0 for month.

All NWS stations nearby still in -1.5 to -2.5 range for month. 

We are still right at -3 for the month here, but that won't survive the next two days.

 

I'm holding out hope that the last 10 days of the month end up well below normal, May as well.

 

On the other hand, lets enter a warm period now, have it last about 60-70 days, then enter a colder than normal period of about 70 days, then a warmer than normal period for about 75 days, and a much below normal period for about 100 days.  That would be a perfect 315 day weather cycle.

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Euro likes the idea of a short cool down Sat-Mon but even then it's modest. Quickly back to 70s-80s.

The long wave pattern that kept us cool all march and early april appears to completely break down and swing the other way. Hl blocking has moved out of the way and odds of a persistent wc trough appear to be increasing.

Not a hard long range forecast to hedge. With no blocking to our north and a trough likely to build out west means aoa temps with ease.

Ian will have some fun. Should be a series of ull's coming out of the rockies and moving to the lakes if the lw pattern sets up as advertised.

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