Harbourton Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Based on the 8-10 day 500mb means at 12z today, the end of February and the beginning of March look brutal - may be the worst we've seen in quite a while. Even the CPC in honking about this outcome. Also the Euro is predicting that we go into Phase 8. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/ECMF_phase_51m_small.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Just saw the euro cold look at day 10, it's legendary stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEchestercountydude Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Just saw the euro cold look at day 10, it's legendary stuff That's a KU look for late February early March. The Atlantic isn't perfect but man... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Don't long range temp forecasts tend to moderate as we get closer? Does the CPC really buy into that stuff, or are they just projecting model outcomes rather than forecasting? On a personal note, next week would be a bad time for snow unless it holds off until Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Friday cold front looks interesting 50-60 and sun on saturday is going to feel tropical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Friday cold front looks interesting 50-60 and sun on saturday is going to feel tropical Hopefully we don't get too much rain with that warmth as it could lead to some very bad flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 12z ECM has a powerful storm to our southeast day 7-8 a blizzard in Virginia. The year of the north trend too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Some models have something popping up in the SE next week. Obviously okay not being bullseyed right now, but given the few storms the SE has had this winter, for lack of better analysis right now, it wouldn't surprise me to see it happen again. The hope is a second more northern system would come along a few days later if this one can't gain any latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 The 12z 8-10 day means show the "polar vortex" making a redux. What a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEchestercountydude Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 PV part 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 12z Euro is showing two chances for a storm at 168hr and 240hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 PV part 3. Someone in the MA forum said the PV forgot its wallet, and is coming back to get it...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Holy epic euro run Batman! That PV means business as does that day 10 map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Buckle your seat belts this winter is about to get cranked up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 HECS on the Euro for March 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 HECS on the Euro for March 1 Somebody wake up John Bolaris Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 HECS on the Euro for March 1 As long as it doesn't turn into a repeat of March 1, 1980 for our region. I remember hearing forecasts the day before calling for a foot of snow in Philly, then the storm dropped a whole inch of snow while going out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Somebody wake up John Bolaris lol He was a good weather reporter over here. It seemed like his life changed when he went to Philly. As long as it doesn't turn into a repeat of March 1, 1980 for our region. I remember hearing forecasts the day before calling for a foot of snow in Philly, then the storm dropped a whole inch of snow while going out to sea. I don't remember that since I wasn't even born. Sounds terrible. Hopefully we all end winter with a big bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 As long as it doesn't turn into a repeat of March 1, 1980 for our region. I remember hearing forecasts the day before calling for a foot of snow in Philly, then the storm dropped a whole inch of snow while going out to sea. i was in 9th grade, little blurry with this one. I must have been watching Jim O'Brien. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 i was in 9th grade, little blurry with this one. I must have been watching Jim O'Brien. The forecast for a foot of snow was from KYW 1060 (AccuWeather). Here's a nice write-up about the storm: http://www.facebook.com/notes/wxriskcom/about-march-1-3-1980/493660810681182 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJ_Ken Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 As long as it doesn't turn into a repeat of March 1, 1980 for our region. I remember hearing forecasts the day before calling for a foot of snow in Philly, then the storm dropped a whole inch of snow while going out to sea. I usually remember the heartbreaks as clearly as the great ones, but, for some reason, I don't remember this one.... and that is probably a good thing. lol. The winter of 79/80 was such a disappointment anyway that I had probably already tuned out by the time this storm rolled around. After two straight blockbuster winters, we started out 1979/80 with 2+" of snow in early October. My barely-teenaged-brain was convinced we were in for a truly epic winter for the ages..... and, then, things kind of fizzled. Even with 2" on the books long before Halloween, we ended up with exactly average snowfall for the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 i was in 9th grade, little blurry with this one. I must have been watching Jim O'Brien. The late Jim O Brien....loved him. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Images of March 5, 2001 are dancing in my head. Oh the horror, please no repeats of the epic fail of the century. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEchestercountydude Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Images of March 5, 2001 are dancing in my head. Oh the horror, please no repeats of the epic fail of the century.[/quote I know people are still hurting from that storm 13 years later, but that could not happen today. Computers are over 10000 times more powerful currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Images of March 5, 2001 are dancing in my head. Oh the horror, please no repeats of the epic fail of the century.[/quote I know people are still hurting from that storm 13 years later, but that could not happen today. Computers are over 10000 times more powerful currently. strongly disagree. March 2001 could absolutely happen again. In fact part of the problem was the hype machine....the models were correcting northward from the 3-5th but the storyline was already out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 CMC, 18Z NAM, and GFS all have a northern stream system around monday that looks similar to past events this winter. My guess another minor 2" to 4" event or so. GFS was showing another small event I guess mid week and then something larger around when Euro is hinting. Stuff to watch for anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 So, temperature-wise, March looking below average? Maybe Spring will start in May this year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 The late Jim O Brien....loved him. Nut Sent from my iPhone No one like the late great Jimbo!! He was the reason I got into the weather.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 Well said Paul. He showed a passion that helped me to love the weather as well. What's the wxism see for tues night. 2-4?? Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.