RedSky Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 12z ecm has a coastal hugger and heavy rain producer next wednesday. Frozen puddles turkey day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 On 11/21/2013 at 7:00 PM, RedSky said: 12z ecm has a coastal hugger and heavy rain producer next wednesday. Frozen puddles turkey day 12z GFS, CMC, and Navy out to sea. Interesting model war. Also UKMET is in Euro camp, but that is to be expected, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 On 11/21/2013 at 7:32 PM, Harbourton said: 12z GFS, CMC, and Navy out to sea. Interesting model war. Also UKMET is in Euro camp, but that is to be expected, GEFS support the OP ecm, models having all kinds of difficulty with the fast flow and cutoff etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Euro is much more amplified with the 500mb trough than the GFS which is relatively flat. Euro 12z ensemble would be interesting but I have no access. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Snowy Delaware valley run of the GFS tonight as it threads the needle * start as rain wed and changeover to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Rain or snows regardless it is an exciting looking pattern long range with storminess and decent early season cold waves it does look interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 5:00 AM, RedSky said: Rain or snows regardless it is an exciting looking pattern long range with storminess and decent early season cold waves it does look interesting That's actually record breaking cold potential there on T-Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 GFS has changed its mind . Nice snow for Mts in PA and north. Yeah the cold hits continue. Nice start for ski areas with snow making. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 11:27 AM, Quakertown needs snow said: GFS has changed its mind . Nice snow for Mts in PA and north. Yeah the cold hits continue. Nice start for ski areas with snow making. That it definitely is. JF/BB is already open and Blue is talking about opening black Friday if "the weather cooperates." I have a feeling they will be open come black Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Philadelphia has a shot for approaching or reaching its lowest maximum temperature for 11/24: Record: 34°, 1938 and 1956 11/22 0z MOS: 34° 11/22 6z MOS: 33° Lowest maximum temperature since 2000: 34°, 11/25/2005 Last colder maximum temperature: 30°, 11/28/1996 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 11:57 AM, donsutherland1 said: Philadelphia has a shot for approaching or reaching its lowest maximum temperature for 11/24: Record: 34°, 1938 and 1956 11/22 0z MOS: 34° 11/22 6z MOS: 33° Lowest maximum temperature since 2000: 34°, 11/25/2005 Last colder maximum temperature: 30°, 11/28/1996 Thanks Don. It's been a little while since '38 and '56. Looks like many area's in the east will break some records? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 12:30 PM, Quakertown needs snow said: Thanks Don. It's been a little while since '38 and '56. Looks like many area's in the east will break some records? It certainly looks that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 12z looks interesting again. back to a coastal hugger, and cold. Plenty more back and forths from now till then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 The latest data continues to indicate the potential that the upcoming blast of cold air could challenge or set new low maximum readings in a number of locations on November 24. Allentown: 18z MOS: 32°F Existing record: 33°, 1956 and 1970 Years with highs of 32° or below: 0 Years with highs below 35°: 2 Length of record: 1922-2012 (threaded) Harrisburg: 18z MOS: 31°F Existing record: 28°, 1938 Years with highs of 32° or below: 2 Years with highs below 35°: 8 Length of record: 1888-2012 (threaded) Philadelphia: 18z MOS: 33°F Existing record: 34°, 1938 and 1956 Years with highs of 32° or below: 0 Years with highs below 35°: 2 Length of record: 1872-2012 (threaded) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 On 11/23/2013 at 3:14 AM, donsutherland1 said: The latest data continues to indicate the potential that the upcoming blast of cold air could challenge or set new low maximum readings in a number of locations on November 24. Allentown: 18z MOS: 32°F Existing record: 33°, 1956 and 1970 Years with highs of 32° or below: 0 Years with highs below 35°: 2 Length of record: 1922-2012 (threaded) Harrisburg: 18z MOS: 31°F Existing record: 28°, 1938 Years with highs of 32° or below: 2 Years with highs below 35°: 8 Length of record: 1888-2012 (threaded) Philadelphia: 18z MOS: 33°F Existing record: 34°, 1938 and 1956 Years with highs of 32° or below: 0 Years with highs below 35°: 2 Length of record: 1872-2012 (threaded) Don, It almost feels like 1976... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 On 11/23/2013 at 5:12 PM, Rainshadow said: Don, It almost feels like 1976... I agree. It will be interesting to see if we get a shot of severe cold in early December as happened in 1976. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Some Philadelphia data for November 24-25 and November data for the 2000-2012 period: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Looks like the coldanistas are in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 29, 2013 Share Posted November 29, 2013 On 11/28/2013 at 8:58 PM, Harbourton said: Looks like the coldanistas are in trouble. Yeah that huge ridge pushing up their Alaska into the Arctic circle is really gonna warm it up in the east! Break out the bathing suits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted November 29, 2013 Share Posted November 29, 2013 For those living NYC and south that does not bode well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 29, 2013 Share Posted November 29, 2013 Swfe incoming late next week...warmup at first before the overrunning event but looks plenty cold on the ops guidance Sent from my SAMSUNG-SGH-I747 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 3, 2013 Share Posted December 3, 2013 12z GFS giving the area a little better thump of snow sunday night before change to mix and rain, gets mild on monday but now has a new wrinkle adding a third wave with a change back to snow next tuesday. A real roller coaster I could see 1-3" snow north and west of the city sunday night. Good way to start december Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted December 3, 2013 Share Posted December 3, 2013 On 12/3/2013 at 4:31 PM, RedSky said: 12z GFS giving the area a little better thump of snow sunday night before change to mix and rain, gets mild on monday but now has a new wrinkle adding a third wave with a change back to snow next tuesday. A real roller coaster I could see 1-3" snow north and west of the city sunday night. Good way to start december More concerned about sleet and ice. A dry start could lead to evap cooling and a quick period of snow/sleet before going to rain. NW stays colder longer of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted December 3, 2013 Share Posted December 3, 2013 On 12/3/2013 at 4:31 PM, RedSky said: 12z GFS giving the area a little better thump of snow sunday night before change to mix and rain, gets mild on monday but now has a new wrinkle adding a third wave with a change back to snow next tuesday. A real roller coaster I could see 1-3" snow north and west of the city sunday night. Good way to start december wait until you see the 12z Euro!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 3, 2013 Share Posted December 3, 2013 Euro likely overdone with the snow map...this has ice written all over it for the interior a nd upstate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted December 3, 2013 Share Posted December 3, 2013 On 12/3/2013 at 7:40 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Euro likely overdone with the snow map...this has ice written all over it for the interior a nd upstate On 12/3/2013 at 7:40 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Euro likely overdone with the snow map...this has ice written all over it for the interior a nd upstate text supports snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 3, 2013 Share Posted December 3, 2013 easily a 6 inch dump Sunday night imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 3, 2013 Share Posted December 3, 2013 On 12/3/2013 at 7:38 PM, anthonyweather said: wait until you see the 12z Euro!! 12z ecm has 1-2" N&W of philly and 2-3" Lehigh Valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted December 3, 2013 Share Posted December 3, 2013 On 12/3/2013 at 8:18 PM, RedSky said: wait until you see the 12z Euro!! 12z ecm has 1-2" N&W of philly and 2-3" Lehigh Valley Saturday yes. Otherwise it's a dumping next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 3, 2013 Share Posted December 3, 2013 anthony, what storm are you talking about, it seems the 12z euro showed another storm midweek or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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