WEATHER53 Posted July 29, 2013 Author Share Posted July 29, 2013 this will be a bad call unless August is scorching...We will only have 17 through July It's for the year so still decent chance to go 30+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 It's for the year so still decent chance to go 30+. I always thought it was for JJA...yes...we have a shot at putting up some numbers in August and September...I think we are at 21 so far...average is 37....45 is pretty ambitious unless we really have a hot August/Sep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 30, 2013 Share Posted July 30, 2013 I always thought it was for JJA...yes...we have a shot at putting up some numbers in August and September...I think we are at 21 so far...average is 37....45 is pretty ambitious unless we really have a hot August/Sep I'd suspect it was only for JJA. Why would you include all 90+ days for the year in a summer call? Even if not, it would still have to be blazing to get another 24 days of 90+ this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted July 30, 2013 Share Posted July 30, 2013 I'm tempted to give KA an A- so far...+0.5 to +1 is a great call, when it has been normal highs and +2.5 lows....There is no question highs are more important, though mins matter and can't be dismissed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted July 30, 2013 Share Posted July 30, 2013 I'd suspect it was only for JJA. Why would you include all 90+ days for the year in a summer call? Even if not, it would still have to be blazing to get another 24 days of 90+ this year. Yeah, and the long range doesn't show any heat. Looking right now like August is going to be below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 30, 2013 Share Posted July 30, 2013 Yeah, and the long range doesn't show any heat. Looking right now like August is going to be below normal. I'm absolutely 100% OK with that idea. I simply can't see any way we'd get more than 20 days of 90+ right now. I wouldn't scoff if someone suggested 9-12 days though. Even then, I'm thinking most of those would be 90, 91, 92 type heat - nothing truly unberable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted July 31, 2013 Share Posted July 31, 2013 I'm absolutely 100% OK with that idea. I simply can't see any way we'd get more than 20 days of 90+ right now. I wouldn't scoff if someone suggested 9-12 days though. Even then, I'm thinking most of those would be 90, 91, 92 type heat - nothing truly unberable. It's possible that we have seen our last 90+ degree day of the season (though I still think we sneak two or three 90 or 91 degree days). With the exception of the week of heat in mid-July, high temperatures most of the summer have been running below average. Right now, I think August continues that trend of high temperatures generally running below to near average. It's crazy to say, but it has been a fairly cool summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted July 31, 2013 Share Posted July 31, 2013 It's possible that we have seen our last 90+ degree day of the season (though I still think we sneak two or three 90 or 91 degree days). With the exception of the week of heat in mid-July, high temperatures most of the summer have been running below average. Right now, I think August continues that trend of high temperatures generally running below to near average. It's crazy to say, but it has been a fairly cool summer. This summer has actually seen above normal temperatures in DC so far, but the maximums haven't been that bad. However, every August in DC history (dating back to 1872) has seen at least one 90+ day. The closest DC came to escaping without such a day was in 1889, when there were only seven 90+ readings through July 14th and then only one more that year -- an even 90 on August 31st. Oddly, the hottest day of 1889 was May 9th, with a high temperature of 93. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 31, 2013 Share Posted July 31, 2013 It's crazy to say, but it has been a fairly cool summer. Except it hasn't been thanks to min temps. Even high temps have only been around (the new 81-10, warmer than previous) averages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 31, 2013 Share Posted July 31, 2013 It's possible that we have seen our last 90+ degree day of the season (though I still think we sneak two or three 90 or 91 degree days). With the exception of the week of heat in mid-July, high temperatures most of the summer have been running below average. Right now, I think August continues that trend of high temperatures generally running below to near average. It's crazy to say, but it has been a fairly cool summer. I don't think DCA gets by without another 90+ day. We get a west wind in a warm airmass on a partly sunny day in the next few weeks and it'll warm up the airport/Crystal City area enough to spike the temps above 90 pretty easily. I don't think it's beyond the realm of possibility that places near you or out near Winchester and the like could escape another 90+ day though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 31, 2013 Share Posted July 31, 2013 Fantastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 31, 2013 Share Posted July 31, 2013 Fantastic. test8.gif Looks good for nice weather for us and keeping some ice/snow over the pole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted August 1, 2013 Author Share Posted August 1, 2013 Passed on to me by a friend. Summer:+0.5 to +1.0 Rainfall:10-12" #90+:45 #100+:1 All three months will range +0.5 to +1.0 Although an above average summer it will not be as torrid as last 3 Analog years:1932,34,60 Thinks current cold snap will not break until mid April. Think this was another excellent call for July with July coming in at +1.4. Will go with an A-. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 2, 2013 Share Posted August 2, 2013 I don't think DCA gets by without another 90+ day. We get a west wind in a warm airmass on a partly sunny day in the next few weeks and it'll warm up the airport/Crystal City area enough to spike the temps above 90 pretty easily. I don't think it's beyond the realm of possibility that places near you or out near Winchester and the like could escape another 90+ day though. The Accuweather 45-day forecast doesn't have a 90° day. So, bring out the record book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted August 2, 2013 Share Posted August 2, 2013 The Accuweather 45-day forecast doesn't have a 90° day. So, bring out the record book. Sorry, now it does -- for this Thursday. Of course, that could change. What I find interesting, though, is that every August in DC weather history has had at least one 90+ day, but not every July: July 1891 missed, even though there were ten 90+ days that year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 2, 2013 Share Posted August 2, 2013 Sorry, now it does -- for this Thursday. Of course, that could change. What I find interesting, though, is that every August in DC weather history has had at least one 90+ day, but not every July: July 1891 missed, even though there were ten 90+ days that year. Sure enough, 22202 does but 22203 doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 2, 2013 Share Posted August 2, 2013 The Accuweather 45-day forecast doesn't have a 90° day. So, bring out the record book. Since when did they go to 45 days from their already ludicrous 30 day forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 2, 2013 Share Posted August 2, 2013 Since when did they go to 45 days from their already ludicrous 30 day forecast? I don't know. I never go to their site, but I saw the thread on the W&F side and had to go look. Just dumb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 2, 2013 Share Posted August 2, 2013 we might hit 90 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted August 2, 2013 Share Posted August 2, 2013 What was high? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted August 2, 2013 Share Posted August 2, 2013 we might hit 90 today 87 today. Not even close. The streak lives! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 2, 2013 Share Posted August 2, 2013 87 today. Not even close. The streak lives! wunderground showed an ob of 88 earlier tho i don't see it now looking. didn't think we'd get there per se but it was 87 at 2 with a west wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted August 2, 2013 Share Posted August 2, 2013 wunderground showed an ob of 88 earlier tho i don't see it now looking. didn't think we'd get there per se but it was 87 at 2 with a west wind. we might of hit 88 not sure http://www.nws.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KDCA.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted August 2, 2013 Share Posted August 2, 2013 pretty impressive streak for the dog days of Summer. winter is over though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 2, 2013 Share Posted August 2, 2013 we might of hit 88 not sure http://www.nws.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KDCA.html Yep 88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted August 2, 2013 Share Posted August 2, 2013 88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 2, 2013 Share Posted August 2, 2013 88 our first non minus day in the last 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted August 25, 2013 Author Share Posted August 25, 2013 Looks like a +3 per day week starting Monday and if so the JJA average well may be in +0.5 to +1.0 and Mr Allen would bullseye the seasonal temperature call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Looks like a +3 per day week starting Monday and if so the JJA average well may be in +0.5 to +1.0 and Mr Allen would bullseye the seasonal temperature call. it is going to end up being an excellent outlook...2 out of 3 months excellent and even decent on August....and seasonal call going to be stellar....The 90+ call is a bad one, but I don't think missing those bonus predictions takes away at all...they can give an outlook a little boost but I wouldn't deduct anything... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted August 25, 2013 Author Share Posted August 25, 2013 it is going to end up being an excellent outlook...2 out of 3 months excellent and even decent on August....and seasonal call going to be stellar....The 90+ call is a bad one, but I don't think missing those bonus predictions takes away at all...they can give an outlook a little boost but I wouldn't deduct anything...And you were right about the below average 30 day period, it just ran mid-late month to mid-late month so the monthly number could not work out for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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