Hoosier Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 NAM tries to bring in some accumulating snow in here on Monday morning. Other models have less qpf and would be more like a coating at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Broke 60 for the first time this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Broke 60 for the first time this year. metro area is over performing again...nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 metro area is over performing again...nice You still punting til July? Or just April 8-10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 You still punting til July? Or just April 8-10? depends what the 300 hr GFS says Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Broke 60 for the first time this year. Just curious, what kind of setup do you have? None of the major reporting stations in NE IL are above the low 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 29, 2013 Author Share Posted March 29, 2013 Lol, you guys on thinking it's April already! Still March for another 58 hours. Someone has there sensor in the sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Just curious, what kind of setup do you have? None of the major reporting stations in NE IL are above the low 50s. Davis Vantage Vue. Other wx stations around me on wunderground are upper 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 depends what the 300 hr GFS says Ensemble support now as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Ensemble support now as well. I was mostly joking but mid month moderation (maybe briefly warm) is looking like a better bet than it was a week or so ago. Still plenty of time to go though and we know how hard it has been to shake this blocking and realize pattern changes lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 I think the solar strength is just overpowering the arctic remnant air, also does look a bit more pacific than previously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Reports are increasing.... Good luck extrapolating a rise in occurrence out of that mess. That's the problem with "Records" and "Extreme Events" now days, they are being compared to an era with poor records compared to post-internet era. Now, this doesn't apply to every type of record, but in this case its obvious. The NWS report makes mention of this being the result in event records. 1996 was the year that most of America got online in the biggest surge... "You've got Mail". In our case "You've got Hail". LOL, um no, definitely not in the 90s. The 90s to me at least, was the golden age of the internet before 4chan wrecked it. There were no memes or LOLcats everywhere. Sure, it was mostly dial up then, but most of the non-geeks, trolls, and idiots were behind AOL's walled garden until broadband became more affordable. Anyways, it was in the middle of '01 that most of America got online. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Reports are increasing.... Good luck extrapolating a rise in occurrence out of that mess. That's the problem with "Records" and "Extreme Events" now days, they are being compared to an era with poor records compared to post-internet era. Now, this doesn't apply to every type of record, but in this case its obvious. The NWS report makes mention of this being the result in event records. 1996 was the year that most of America got online in the biggest surge... "You've got Mail". In our case "You've got Hail". LOL, um no, definitely not in the 90s. The 90s to me at least, was the golden age of the internet before 4chan wrecked it. There were no memes or LOLcats everywhere. Sure, it was mostly dial up then, but most of the non-geeks, trolls, and idiots were behind AOL's walled garden until broadband became more affordable. Anyways, it was in the middle of '01 that most of America got online. I was setting up networks while you were pooping your pants in preschool.... The internet was heating up in the mid to late 90's.... The Napster craze was in 99' and just about every college kid was pirating music. I do agree with you on AOL and newbs though.... I had CompuServe as my first connectivity until 94... Early 94. Windows 95 was a HUGE boost to average people using PCs and eventually the net. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Anyone who has read anything about global warming and severe thunderstorms would know that, as of now, the connection is tenuous at best. Actually, an argument can be made that extreme warming could lead to some decrease in tornadoes due to less temperature contrasts/weaker jet stream/weaker shear. Whether that would apply to hail and wind, I don't know. The drastic increase in spotters/reporting seems like an obvious reason for the increase. Would you please stop it with your interjection of logic into that "argument?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 I was setting up networks while you were pooping your pants in preschool.... The internet was heating up in the mid to late 90's.... The Napster craze was in 99' and just about every college kid was pirating music. I do agree with you on AOL and newbs though.... I had CompuServe as my first connectivity until 94... Early 94. Windows 95 was a HUGE boost to average people using PCs and eventually the net. We had CompuServe as well, and I wrote a bunch of mini text games in QBASIC and shared them on BBS's (unforunately I lost them all when my hard drive crashed, they were very unreliable then). The warez scene was around long before Napster was around. I was pirating DOS games (Doom and Quake was extremely fun, and FPS games today have nothing on them) and music on BBS's and Usenet before anyone else did. I did all this when I was 5 or 6 years old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Ha! I remember CompuServe..... My 2nd "online experience". The first was dialing in to BBS's with my Commodore 64. (History, games, and "Atari Collectors") those were the days. 1200 baud modems. Monochrome screens, 5 1/4" floppies. Tape drives. Who could forget those? Yeah... that was fun stuff back then. I was in my early 20's and in my first marriage, drove the wife nuts logging into BBS's with my Commodore, and tying up the phone line, and then, she couldn't use the phone. All of this c.1987-88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 We had CompuServe as well, and I wrote a bunch of mini text games in QBASIC and shared them on BBS's (unforunately I lost them all when my hard drive crashed, they were very unreliable then). The warez scene was around long before Napster was around. I was pirating DOS games (Doom and Quake was extremely fun, and FPS games today have nothing on them) and music on BBS's and Usenet before anyone else did. I did all this when I was 5 or 6 years old. Yup, I used to pirate like a fiend back then. I was more into hardware than programming though. I'm trying to remember how I was reporting weather on CompuServe, but that service is what got me interested in weather more. I used to browse other forecasts across the country and I thought it was amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Ha! I remember CompuServe..... My 2nd "online experience". The first was dialing in to BBS's with my Commodore 64. (History, games, and "Atari Collectors") those were the days. 1200 baud modems. Monochrome screens, 5 1/4" floppies. Tape drives. Who could forget those? Yeah... that was fun stuff back then. I was in my early 20's and in my first marriage, drove the wife nuts logging into BBS's with my Commodore, and tying up the phone line, and then, she couldn't use the phone. All of this c.1987-88 Dialing BBS... Nice. I really sucked at that. No idea if there was any weather info on those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Heh, I got online with a local ISP in 1995 and they had very limited number of dial up lines. Trying to get on after supper was nearly impossible. To avoid the busy signal, I found a little program which mimicked checking mail and browser activity. I'd get home from work and dial right in and stay in all night. After a couple of months, I was at their user group meeting and the owner asked everyone to quit using those programs. Those were good times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 I remember getting CompuServe back in 1993. It was still DOS based, and "Command Line", until I got the first copy of WinCIM the Compuserve graphical "front end" for Windows 3.11. Soon after, I also subscribed to AOL. I loved both services, and the best part was, if you couldn't get on one, you could usually get on the other, but here in the Chicago area, unless it was a Friday night, getting on AOL was usually not a problem. I still remember the "screeing" sound the modem used to make when it connected to the service. Flying along at 28.8kbps, and taking 10 minutes to download a 1MB photo, to say nothing of a 3 or 4mb video....I recall my Gateway 4DX/33 rather fondly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 We had text only internet until 2001 in the rural Missouri boonies. That made it so hard to look at good...... Wait, this is a weather forum. Sent from my SCH-I535 using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Anyway, back on topic...... Just wondering how this blocking regime, should it take awhile to break down, is going to affect severe weather possibilities for the subforum in the coming weeks.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 Looks like an outside chance of some snow around D7 and then...that's it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 Heh, I got online with a local ISP in 1995 and they had very limited number of dial up lines. Trying to get on after supper was nearly impossible. To avoid the busy signal, I found a little program which mimicked checking mail and browser activity. I'd get home from work and dial right in and stay in all night. After a couple of months, I was at their user group meeting and the owner asked everyone to quit using those programs. Those were good times. My sister's boyfriend at the time had an account with the university that i got to use...so i'd connect at my 2400 baud and would use telnet to get my fix. I use to visit isca uiowa and brinta ptf (think that was in the Netherlands)..sure helped with my German homework! I'd just ask someone who spoke German how to say stuff... I got my first computer in high school...i didn't have enough at the time for the Pentium 60mhz so i had to settle for the DX2... I remember kufacts? something like that, was on Univ of Kansas and was a web server of some sort...remember it was all text and very difficult to use, but man i could go anywhere through there Speaking of weather...next week looks perfect after a cold start Mon/Tues... lots of sun and 50F or better by midweek. GOing to be a bike ride happening next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 We had text only internet until 2001 in the rural Missouri boonies. That made it so hard to look at good...... Wait, this is a weather forum. Sent from my SCH-I535 using Tapatalk 2 The biggest change for me was when i went from dial up 56K to cable...which was sometime around 2003 or 04??? Then there were those days of free internet because no one realized that you should encrypt your wireless signal! Anyone notice that today you can't find an open router anywhere? I probably have 10 or more that pop up here and i can't connect to any...except mine! I don't encrypt... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 Quite the discussion about the internet, increasing observations linked to more severe weather. I will say my initial comment of how both snow AND severe increasing is a weenies dream....its a lot harder to tell if severe is increasing. Snow is snow....even though squalls vary over short distances, in the end, an increase in total snowfall is noted at most stations in the region. Severe is different...you could have a massive severe outbreak and the official climate station goes by untouched so it shows as just a dry, calm day in the official record, where people 5 miles away could be cleaning up downed limbs for weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 Just reading NWS discussion...doesn't seem like they are pumped about any major flooding on the Mississippi..which is fine by me. I guess the wildcard is a lot of rain...which is still possible. I just hope to see a little more severe weather this year....been a lot of turds lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 Quite the discussion about the internet, increasing observations linked to more severe weather. I will say my initial comment of how both snow AND severe increasing is a weenies dream....its a lot harder to tell if severe is increasing. Snow is snow....even though squalls vary over short distances, in the end, an increase in total snowfall is noted at most stations in the region. Severe is different...you could have a massive severe outbreak and the official climate station goes by untouched so it shows as just a dry, calm day in the official record, where people 5 miles away could be cleaning up downed limbs for weeks. Quite the discussion about the internet, increasing observations linked to more severe weather. I will say my initial comment of how both snow AND severe increasing is a weenies dream....its a lot harder to tell if severe is increasing. Snow is snow....even though squalls vary over short distances, in the end, an increase in total snowfall is noted at most stations in the region. Severe is different...you could have a massive severe outbreak and the official climate station goes by untouched so it shows as just a dry, calm day in the official record, where people 5 miles away could be cleaning up downed limbs for weeks. But it appears only snowfall frequency is increasing, not actual amounts (which long term appear to be steady on average). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 Just reading NWS discussion...doesn't seem like they are pumped about any major flooding on the Mississippi..which is fine by me. I guess the wildcard is a lot of rain...which is still possible. I just hope to see a little more severe weather this year....been a lot of turds lately. I don't see any quick melts in the long range, looks gradual for the upper Mississippi and Red River Region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/correlation/amon.us.long.data The AMO is likely a big part of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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