Disc Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Light snow starting again. Convective-type snow popping up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Now I see why south VA is expecting more snow. More energy is getting ready to demolish them as it comes over the mountains. South VA is the sweet spot this "winter". We're not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Light snow starting again. Convective-type snow popping up.FWIW...the 12Z models indicated some mid level near zero to slightly negative theta-e lapse rates btwn 9-15Z, esp over southern MD, indicative of where the best potential elevated would be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Now I see why south VA is expecting more snow. More energy is getting ready to demolish them as it comes over the mountains. South VA is the sweet spot this "winter". We're not Richmond is in Central VA. Southern VA refers to the counties along the NC border running from Danville to Emporia. Good luck to you DC area folks. Hope you get a little something this morning. Going with around 3" here from the surprise snow today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 I see the latest LWX updated forecasts are still saying a couple inches in northern Montgomery Co, but I just don't believe it. I honestly expect no snowfall at all, and will be shocked to wake up to any. What a run this area is in - outside of the 2010 fluke, DCA has had 10" or less total snow all other winters from 2007 to 2013 (2011 was the only one that even reached 10"). And with everyone else having big snows but here, watch 2014 be a down year for the whole east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Light snow in Herndon 33* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 FWIW...the 12Z models indicated some mid level theta-e lapse rates btwn 9-15Z, esp over southern MD, indicative of where the best potential elevated would be. There may be some elevated convection as you stated, theta e LR's are present, in the locales Waldorf-Leonardtown and co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Richmond is in Central VA. Hah, some guy on FB was offended when a met from LYH called LYH Central VA-- which, I know RVA looks. Eyeballing a VA map, I'd have to vote CHO for true "central " Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Hah, some guy on FB was offended when a met from LYH called LYH Central VA-- which, I know RVA looks. Eyeballing a VA map, I'd have to vote CHO for true "central " Virginia. I have to agree with that. Me and DT had a small spat not too long ago about this very thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 I have to agree with that. Me and DT had a small spat not too long ago about this very thing. I'd state LYH is south Central and ROA is Southwest-- WSET, ABC affiliate uses Central VA, but their news is more LYH drive, while the other 2 networks are out of Roanoke. But, pure geography, CHO wins everytime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Not much here of anything. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Not a big fan of how long it takes the h85 energy to transfer off the coast according to the latest RAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 I still have a not good feeling. We're almost saturated now and it's above freezing and we won't get any evaporational benefit out of the next batch, which is kinda lessening and some stuff startng to show up near VA coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 25, 2013 Author Share Posted March 25, 2013 Night yall, and good luck. I'm ejecting. Matt buzz me if something good happens..like snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 with our luck the transfer will be complete right around the time we mild up for rain - and this will be the one time we do get plenty of qpf from a transfer - in the form of rain, of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Just looked out the door at work, snow accumulating here again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Extremely light snow has started here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Man the RAP really hangs on, it throws the banding all the way back to Hartford county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Man the RAP really hangs on, it throws the banding all the way back to Hartford county. Banding is nice for Balt NE, but I'd argue that it still needs to optimize the transfer of the h85 low, it needs to get there a bit quicker. I want this thing to stack as early as possible so that a slowdown really can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Light snow started up again. I'd guess via eyeballing we are down to 4 to 4.5 inches. NWS went crazy and said another 3-5 tonight. 1-2 seems more plausible based on radar trends. (and model data) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 From Dave's facebook, a look at the latest HRRR. from previous experience, I find it to be an okay model an in this instance it may prove to be a bit accurate. I like the way it breaks down the mid level features and for that reason maybe it is believable to a certain extent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 precip in west virginia hit a solid wall 85000 feet high. this is what happens when it is cold enough for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 If there is such a thing as -DZSN, I have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 This may be the one time when DT scores a coup. He is sticking to his gosh darn guns!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Drizzle snow-I had some earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Snow redeveloped over the last half hour... Not showing on radar here, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 radar looks like it might start filling in dramatically within the next hour or two. i'd probably rather be in northern md with this next round, but i think dc might still be in the game. now how much of what falls will stick is another topic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 this has a very familiar feel to it. this damn storm is nothing but a TEASE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 ull has a nice spin. still would love it to be a little further south, but it does look like things are about to get cranking pretty soon. http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/us_comp/us_comp_big.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Crazy to think I'm referencing it, but the HRRR absolutely crushes DC over the especially Baltimore. 2-3" an hour rates around the Beltway at 12z. Weird how the current run is labeled as 2z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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