Sparky Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Certainly nothing to lose sleep over. If I wake up to flakes, great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 The ULL not catching up the support makes it awfully hard for an efficient energy transfer to the secondary forming off of the OB. just one more way we were able to get shafted this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 RGEM, fwiw, doesn't look bad on the qpf side of things for BWI and MTN, probably .6" conservatively Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Picking up again here ... despite what radar says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 RGEM, fwiw, doesn't look bad on the qpf side of things for BWI and MTN, probably .6" conservatively I'll pull up a snow map just to see what it says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Man. I hope I can get into that WV death band. That is some heavy stuff right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 prob starting to get more moisture feed from the coastal itself. can see more light echoes backing in from the east/coming north on local radars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 prob starting to get more moisture feed from the coastal itself. can see more light echoes backing in from the east/coming north on local radars. just saw that too they show up well on the DuPage radars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 gfs doesnt look to have any great rates thru 12z. im out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 my concern with the WV band is that when looking at it from the PIT radar, it looks to be swinging more toward them than us we need that d@mn 5H low to get a move on already fookin' block Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 That blob in west virginia is getting a bit weak, raggedy. Time for a drive by from the Adjustment Bureau. I expect a coating of snow on my car top by sunrise, after which the light snow will change to a steady moderate rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 GFS is wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 my concern with the WV band is that when looking at it from the PIT radar, it looks to be swinging more toward them than us we need that d@mn 5H low to get a move on already fookin' block that stuff was never going to hit us head on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 GFS is wet about 4-6 hrs slower than we needed it though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 The ULL not catching up the support makes it awfully hard for an efficient energy transfer to the secondary forming off of the OB. Good. Most models take the coastal straight out to sea. We actually need the primary to hold on longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 GFS is wet in a strung out lame kind of way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 that stuff was never going to hit us head on. I know, but b/c the vort is going so slow, it just about spins by to our west w/o much to show for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 ~0.8" between around 3am to 3pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 ~0.8" between around 3am to 3pm Just give MBY the quarter to half inch between 06-18Z as per the EC and let's see what we can make out of that. That's not asking much, is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 ~0.8" between around 3am to 3pm up to 15z is safe <I think> after that, white rain at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 I get .5 between 12-18z. If ric can do it then so can GD Rockville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 the precip loop on the 2z RAP is a thing of beauty if our surface temps were at or below 32 degrees the entire time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 I get .5 between 12-18z. If ric can do it then so can GD Rockville. RIC got .27 in an hour. then .13 the next. gfs is spread out over most of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 RIC got .27 in an hour. then .13 the next. gfs is spread out over most of the day. Minor details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 this sux for us my wife and I almost went down there this weekend but I told her 3 weeks ago it would probably be too cold still well, I got 1 forecast right in my life http://www.history.org/capitolcam/merchantSquare.cfm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 RIC got .27 in an hour. then .13 the next. gfs is spread out over most of the day. Models schmodels. The chill model says 4lb dendrites and 30' vis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Minor details.As the vortmax passes there might be some room for a surprise but prob not much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 RIC got .27 in an hour. then .13 the next. gfs is spread out over most of the day. maybe the precip overperforms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 I didnt think it was too damn much to ask for an inch of slush. I guess it IS too damn much to ask for an inch of slush. How many more days til Dec 21? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 maybe the precip overperforms well it probably did there. if you see a big area of .25" in 3 hours there's likely something in there of more. that period surrounding 12z still has potential.. my current temp sucks and its probably not going that much lower tho so i need to get demolished. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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