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March 25th Storm: Debacle or Climo Defier? Discussion and Obs II


stormtracker

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Just back to my cabin from all day skiing at Timberline. What an awesome day with excellent ski conditions, light snow falling, high 20's there and almost no other skiers.

 

Very successful final winter here for me, 6.7 storm total this morning when I left and another .5 today covering the tire tracks in the driveway on return. Seasonal total now to 46.8"

 

Snowing lightly here now with temperature back down to 35 after earlier high of 37.

 

Picture of the runaway snow ramp on the drive home on Corridor H.

 

post-4831-0-51059000-1364250821_thumb.jp

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You linked me to that severe vid seminar and I watched a chunk of it. What I thought was really cool was the part about getting a bead on upsteam severe soundings from a day or 2 before and making an educated guess where they end up downstream if you want to chase. That resonated with my way of thinking.

Yeah the EML doesn't change much when it ejects out of the SW and inter mountain west. It usually slowly degrades but it can make it out here or to the northeast mostly intact.

I never forced myself to learn to read an actual sounding till about two years ago just used text. It opens up a lot of new knowledge at a quick glance.

Convection is so awesome. I can't wait for our first gusty showers.

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Yeah the EML doesn't change much when it ejects out of the SW and inter mountain west. It usually slowly degrades but it can make it out here or to the northeast mostly intact.

I never forced myself to learn to read an actual sounding till about two years ago just used text. It opens up a lot of new knowledge at a quick glance.

Convection is so awesome. I can't wait for our first gusty showers.

Blow me, the wind that is ;) . I am getting into this severe, I know you want me here all year.

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Overall, winter is actually my least favorite for forecasting. I love when it does snow, but forecasting for it I find too tedious for my liking. That's why you don't find me making snowmaps. I love forecasting for severe, all the little microscale interactions and all the parameters and ingredients. Plus it's short term forecasting. I like the fact that the next storm is the next day or at most 3 days away. I find it way better than forecasting an event a week an advance and then having it bust. With severe, if you bust, you have another chance tomorrow.

Plus the fact that severe storms are EPIC!

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Yikes, sun and rain really took care of my snowcover. Mar 6 was more resilient.

Yeah I lost almost all of it here. There was more left at this pt on Mar 6 even tho I got about half as much. The flip to rain was earlier today as well tho not by much.

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Kevin said he was on the mall from 630-830. His pics definitely have less snow than we had. Can see grass etc and not as caked on trees. I'm going to prob side with DCA on this one.

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Just back to my cabin from all day skiing at Timberline. What an awesome day with excellent ski conditions, light snow falling, high 20's there and almost no other skiers.

Very successful final winter here for me, 6.7 storm total this morning when I left and another .5 today covering the tire tracks in the driveway on return. Seasonal total now to 46.8"

Snowing lightly here now with temperature back down to 35 after earlier high of 37.

Picture of the runaway snow ramp on the drive home on Corridor H.

DSC_0189.JPG

Hey snownut, I was one of those hardly any other skiers! Had a great time. Ninth trip to Canaan Valley this season. Poured snow all day!

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Mark pointed it out on twitter but the snow part of the storm actually had pretty good ratios. All that cold aloft and good rates must have helped.

Mar 6 could have been different it just sucked when it needed to be good.

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Picked up around 5" today, so this was definitely the best spring snowstorm that I've ever seen. While it came late, I finally got my warning criteria storm. It was an incredible scene this morning, especially early on, before the nearly-April sun did the inevitable, but honestly I cant complain at all, and we still have a few inches left at the moment. I can't really tell what my seasonal total this year was, but with this storm in the mix, I don't think it was all that terrible.

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Mark pointed it out on twitter but the snow part of the storm actually had pretty good ratios. All that cold aloft and good rates must have helped.

Mar 6 could have been different it just sucked when it needed to be good.

Its always a question with what you can catch in a 4" gauge, but I measured about 11:1 with the overnight activity.  Had even better ratios from the heated tipping bucket, but that's to be expected.

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Here's a nice shot from a local friend and photographer, Mark East-- this is a hiking trail near Riverside Park in LYH-- these train trestles  are COMMON crossing places for college kids and every couple years a couple get stuck when a train comes. Not good results-- post-111-0-44916800-1364259559_thumb.jpg

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Are his pics in the light? Sun comes up at 7am. If his pics are from 7:30 or 8 there would have been compaction and melting. As soon as the heavy snow stopped melting ensued.

this one is probably predawn with the lighting.. just a long exposure so it looks bright:

 

post-1615-0-95385900-1364260754_thumb.jp

 

guessing this is about sunrise or so:

 

post-1615-0-35798900-1364260748_thumb.jp

 

both of those from kevin ambrose.

 

==

 

I think it's possible they got that much less than you. There can be some solid variability over short distances with snow... Old Town has less heat island impact I bet as well. Definitely not the same scene I had up here.

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Hey snownut, I was one of those hardly any other skiers! Had a great time. Ninth trip to Canaan Valley this season. Poured snow all day!

 

I was also one of those hardly any other skiers.  First tracks at 8am and spent most of the day skiing the glades skier's right of Off the Wall in knee deep powder.  Amazing conditions for March.

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I tend agree there is something larger there going on. I don't know a ton but as mentioned I got an interesting lead that I've sorta looked at here and there but haven't really had snow or the time when there is snow to do any personal investigation.  I guess I just don't know if it's all DCA being DCA or other issues as well.

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