Jebman Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 wow the deep reds in that ull in west virginia I feel for the ppl to the south of the reds tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 You know you are in trouble when Carl Parker on the weather channel just bailed on the storm . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Personally I don't see how the second batch under performs. It will find a way though., Are we really going to see anything up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 transfer doesn't happen until about 10AM, enjoy your 35 and rain central MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 A few patches to the W and SW look to be popping up. Maybe they will hold together and move over the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 WWA for me... I'll be shocked if I get 3" when all is said and done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Let the implosion begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 the 5h vort looks terrible on the NAM and the RAP, and nothing like modeled for the past 2+ days at least it's spring so we can't complain about not getting snow in winter we can add spring to that list, that's all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 DT has me in 3-6" for part 2 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 NAM looks like a nightmare scenario if you are west of the good precip. I am right on the line so my rain could be moderate at times! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 lol He has a talent of raising his maps minutes before all the models start to fall apart. I may have actually spent more hours tracking this storm than I will see snowflakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Weather channel just said no accumulation in the DC area despite their map that shows 1-3 for DC and 3-5 for the suburbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 He has a talent of raising his maps minutes before all the models start to fall apart. I may have actually spent more hours tracking this storm than I will see snowflakes. I'm just confused why he went up. He was already high to begin with. Can't all be sref plumes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Pretty impressive coastal cyclogenesis underway. maxima in sfc vorticity co-located with strong sfc convergence associated with cyclogenesis and frontogenesis pic.twitter.com/iyglqB2GMA Surface deformation and axes of dilatation ... all the frontal components of a classic developing coastal system pic.twitter.com/UmeJVuRY0J Strong forcing for ascent developing along the M/A coast. Very high 0-3km SRH >1500 pic.twitter.com/MayXKEqKjf Surface low intensifying east of Cape Hatteras. Very strong coastal frontogenesis in progress. pic.twitter.com/3SOJ9IvuJc Maybe we have a Doug Flutie in us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 I would love to go back and research some of these bust threads to pinpoint the exact time the storm jumped the shark. Tonight: 722pm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Weather channel just said no accumulation in the DC area despite their map that shows 1-3 for DC and 3-5 for the suburbs. They have been awful with these storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 I'm just confused why he went up. He was already high to begin with. Can't all be sref plumes.. I have no clue what he could have been seeing that made him go 3-6" in our area. That seems like a .01% chance right now. He also usually humps the Euro so it is very odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Maybe we have a Doug Flutie in us. Sounds promising for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 NAM a disaster, cut my total in half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 NAM a disaster, cut my total in half. NAM doesn't handle coastal transfers very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 I'm just confused why he went up. He was already high to begin with. Can't all be sref plumes.. I don't know what he is thinking, but his visual explanation looks like a freaking Viagra commercial. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongRanger Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Marty Bass has your morning snow forecast and he ain't giving it back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 I don't know what he is thinking, but his visual explanation looks like a freaking Viagra commercial. MDstorm +1 LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 I don't know what he is thinking, but his visual explanation looks like a freaking Viagra commercial. MDstorm it's helpful that his only comments in the post are telling people they are morons. i'll have to stop back by tomorrow when a lot of that 3-6 area busts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 How long in this new thread until we see a pic from Henrico county of 8" This got me chuckling. I've actually lost a little to melting, especially on the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 nice ob from charleston a half hr ago SPECI KCRW 250200Z 09004KT 2SM +TSRA BR FEW001 BKN011CB OVC019 03/02 A2943 RMK AO2 OCNL LTGIC N-E TS N-E MOV NE VLY FG P0003 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 it's helpful that his only comments in the post are telling people they are morons. i'll have to stop back by tomorrow when a lot of that 3-6 area busts. I see Midlo is commenting, I am waiting for him to call the NWS morons and then Midlo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 NAM doesn't handle coastal transfers very well. Yeah, it could end up being even less precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 We should have listened to Wes at 6:30 this morning when he did his little drive by, damn that guy is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Why is everyone getting pessimistic suddenly? Anyone who ever seriously expected more than 1-2 inches in DC was crazy.The coastal has yet to crank. Round one was never expected to be big. I'm sticking (no pun intended) with 1-2 for DC, with 3-4 northwest suburbs, with 20% chance of bust, 10% chance of boom, and then north east along the coast, 4-5 inches with 30% chance of boom, 30% chance of bust. Not real confident. Pretty complex set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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