adamrivers Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Trained spotter? LMAO. Where is he measuring at, the middle of I-81? Agreed...that might be the dumbest snowfall report I've ever seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Kudos to the people that got the forecast right...but I don't really see much reason for post-storm analysis...either you hugged teh models (which verified on the lower end for the most part) or you doubted them because it was almost April and they have been bad this winter....Was there really any reason the doubt wasn't warranted....Would it really have shocked people to wake up to non-accumulating or grassy <1" snow? Well said - where I doubted most - they got more - where I doubted least, they did what the models thought! So I busted in many spots to the south and anything from the city east! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 We all went too low. Basically going with groupthink about sun angle, etc. And let me state in no uncertain terms...sun angle matters. A lot. But it always gets overplayed and I was guilty of it too. It matters, when your flakes suck. We had coverage on grass with about .7 . 8 per hour yesterday. Once it reach .10, roads got covered and FAST. That also was the same time we got better crystal growth-- Peaked out at 3 inches on black top at 5 pm yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 4.5" total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Kudos to the people that got the forecast right...but I don't really see much reason for post-storm analysis...either you hugged teh models (which verified on the lower end for the most part) or you doubted them because it was almost April and they have been bad this winter....Was there really any reason the doubt wasn't warranted....Would it really have shocked people to wake up to non-accumulating or grassy <1" snow? So if you made a forecast based on doubt, then you made a smart forecast that busted. But if you made a forecast that followed the models pretty closely, then you made a dumb forecast that didn't bust. I'm a cynic and all, but I don't think I agree with that logic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Lightened up dramatically in Greenbelt now. Vis probably a few miles now. Snow falling off the trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 25, 2013 Author Share Posted March 25, 2013 It matters, when your flakes suck. We had coverage on grass with about .7 . 8 per hour yesterday. Once it reach .10, roads got discovered and FAST. That also was the same time we got better crystal growth-- Peaked out at 3 inches on black top at 5 pm yesterday. Yes, that's why I said it matters. But heavy rates trump all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Not great pics but proof it can stick to a Main Street at sea level on march 25th if the stars align. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 25, 2013 Author Share Posted March 25, 2013 Lightened up dramatically in Greenbelt now. Vis probably a few miles now. Snow falling off the trees. drip drip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Well, at least we finally beat Raleigh in snow totals. Whew. They still have April to beat us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 lol @ snow I know, right? Who would have thunkit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 4.5" total. nice...you beat 3/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Kudos to the people that got the forecast right...but I don't really see much reason for post-storm analysis...either you hugged teh models (which verified on the lower end for the most part) or you doubted them because it was almost April and they have been bad this winter....Was there really any reason the doubt wasn't warranted....Would it really have shocked people to wake up to non-accumulating or grassy <1" snow? Local TV met and I chat a lot-- he feels bad. My comment- No shame in missing biggest event in 42 years in LYH in spring. I'm a snow biased hobbyist and I wasn't willing to budge on my 1-3 call. Hard call, and really unique development with miler B, SLP that peaked at 996 for a while near ILM, back off and formed late when ULL enhanced it. It wasn't a normal Miller B. Wxman1 gave some good 411 and he's got the BEST access with the SLR adjustment they do the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Same squirrel that stole my external temperature transmitter taking shelter from the latest batch of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 I know, right? Who would have thunkit? He just wanted more lolsnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 HRRR(somehow) again. When you think its over it should fill in from HGR to EZF to ESN and points NE. Do you mean FDK (Frederick) and not EZF (Fredericksburg)? I don't like this airport naming stuff... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Flakes have gotten smaller in the last hour, but snow still falling at an impressive rate in Curtis Bay. Edit- picture taken at 8:42 a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 So if you made a forecast based on doubt, then you made a smart forecast that busted. But if you made a forecast that followed the models pretty closely, then you made a dumb forecast that didn't bust. I'm a cynic and all, but I don't think I agree with that logic. The bullish folks still get kudos...I didn't have the balls to forecast 2-5" on March 25th based on 0.35" of liquid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 So if you made a forecast based on doubt, then you made a smart forecast that busted. But if you made a forecast that followed the models pretty closely, then you made a dumb forecast that didn't bust. I'm a cynic and all, but I don't think I agree with that logic. The models were still often too snowy even without snow maps. These anomalous events are always going to be hard if you think about it. It's mostly the people who never make forecasts who get annoyed with forecasts that aren't perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Still snowing. Light-to moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Are people measuring snow depth in the grass in some of those pics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Snow's died down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 That band over the Potomac north of DC looks like it's getting its act together. Any one have obs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 That band over the Potomac north of DC looks like it's getting its act together. Any one have obs? I'm just west of that band extending SE down through FX co and my snow has picked up in the last 20 min Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 That band over the Potomac north of DC looks like it's getting its act together. Any one have obs? I'm not all that close but I have some pretty good rates in upper Moco right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 The models were still often too snowy even without snow maps. These anomalous events are always going to be hard if you think about it. It's mostly the people who never make forecasts who get annoyed with forecasts that aren't perfect. I don't know the first thing about forecastig (or really all that much about weather), so I couldn't put out a forecast worth a doggie diamond. But I think I know enough to say that it'd be a pretty tough forecast to make this time of the year. And in thinking more about it, I suppose I can see zwyts's argument that a discussion of the general verifications wouldn't be too terribly helpful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 The models were still often too snowy even without snow maps. These anomalous events are always going to be hard if you think about it. It's mostly the people who never make forecasts who get annoyed with forecasts that aren't perfect. "Nailing" ones like this are part luck. I don't care how much experience someone has.. Give any experienced met this setup this time of year ten times in a row and see what their batting average is. 500 at best. I felt good about 1-3 from 95 west and I busted low but who cares. We got some really good rates over a relatively small geographic area at the perfect time on morning. We got lucky. If the best rates held off for 3 hours then chop totals in half or worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 nice...you beat 3/6 Yeah, more snow this March at my house than the past two D-F combined (9.0" vs 6.6"). Also, this storm pushes me past 2010-11 (12.5" vs 11.7"). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamrivers Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Here is a great gallery of listener submitted pix from throughout the Shenandoah Valley... http://www.kiss983.com/cc-common/gallery/photos.html?album_id=347477 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Nice burst of snow developing over Frederick / NW Moco and into Leesburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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