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March 24-25 Potential Bomb Part Deux


earthlight

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Upton just cancelled the WAA

 

.LOW PRESSURE PASSING SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND WILL BRUSH THE AREA WITHWET SNOW THIS AFTERNOON.NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ072>075-078>081-176>179-251500-/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-130326T0400Z/WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-952 AM EDT MON MAR 25 2013...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTERWEATHER ADVISORY.WET SNOW THIS AFTERNOON WILL ACCUMULATE TO AROUND AN INCH WITHPERHAPS TWO OVER PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAINABOVE FREEZING...THUS LIMITED ACCUMULATION ON AREA ROADWAYS ISEXPECTED.IF THE PRECIPITATION DOES COME DOWN HEAVIER...ACCUMULATION ONCOLDER SURFACES COULD BE HIGHER.$$
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Sure there was a good chance that Upton could have busted by leaving the WWA up, but with that radar and heavy precipitation so close to the area and now these model printouts, it would have been prudent IMO just to leave it up in case.  It's not like they had warnings out.  But.....I understand why a call was made...just a very tough one to make.

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Upton just lowered the amounts. Over an inch for southern areas.

StormTotalSnowFcst.png

In 2-4 hours they maybe regretting that. The echoes are inching north. Im in southern Queens so we shall see. It is a tough storm 2 handle as the confluence is a beast. Were it not here clearly it would a wholly different picture.

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Sure there was a good chance that Upton could have busted by leaving the WWA up, but with that radar and heavy precipitation so close to the area and now these model printouts, it would have been prudent IMO just to leave it up in case.  It's not like they had warnings out.  But.....I understand why a call was made...just a very tough one to make.

 

I agree. I was suprised to still the WAA up this morning. But now in the middle of watching this, the timing seems bad.

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In 2-4 hours they maybe regretting that. The echoes are inching north. Im in southern Queens so we shall see. It is a tough storm 2 handle as the confluence is a beast. Were it not here clearly it would a wholly different picture.

I think what they are saying is not that it won't snow, just that it won't accumulate enough for a WWA, especially on paved surfaces. WWA are usually hoisted for hazardous driving conditions, nobody really cares if someone gets 3" on there deck.

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Exactly. We gotta be a few degrees below freezing to accumulate this time of year

I think what they are saying is not that it won't snow, just that it won't accumulate enough for a WWA, especially on paved surfaces. WWA are usually hoisted for hazardous driving conditions, nobody really cares if someone gets 3" on there deck.

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Simple rule of thumb. anything under 1 inch per hr will not accumilate anywhere(not grass not roads) with temps at 38 during daytime. expect nothing and if you get a inch be happy

Based on my obs here in Brooklyn. It won't accumulate anywhere during daytime if temps are above freezing.

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The precip is reaching NYC and that's it.Strong confluence.

 

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=OKX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

Yup, latest loop actually shows the precip being forced back south. Still nothing here in Ramsey despite being on the northern edge of the 20+ dbz echos.

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Yup, latest loop actually shows the precip being forced back south. Still nothing here in Ramsey despite being on the northern edge of the 20+ dbz echos.

 

This storm would have came further north if there was less confluence. O well, it is nice to see snow in late March.

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This storm would have came further north if there was less confluence. O well, it is nice to see snow in late March.

That's like saying if it wasn't red it would be blue. Enjoy your white rain, looks like up in Ramsey were going to be 10 miles too far north. At home looks to be doing slightly better.

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That's like saying if it wasn't red it would be blue. Enjoy your white rain, looks like up in Ramsey were going to be 10 miles too far north. At home looks to be doing slightly better.

 

I doubt anyone gets over 6 inches from this storm around here.

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The precip is reaching NYC and that's it.Strong confluence.

 

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=OKX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

Had a feeling the radar today would be painful to watch. If anything the snow's being forced back south. We need another push north or we get little more than what we already have. The CT coast might actually just get zero.

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