Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 And maybe 10 miles south around southern NY.... Minutia I guess. Dying stuff from the old upper system gets some snow to just about BGM tomorrow. 0z will lock better across the board. The storms firing off the Carolinas were a source of debate amongst the models. Once that seems to happen, the next main runs are fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 "Good Heavens - are you actually still trying to win?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Driving to half today. Sunny but classic storm sky way off in the distance. Milky sky with cirrus and some patchy lower clouds moving in. Taken from orh an hr ago. Never heard of "half". What state is it in? Is it a town or a city? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Never heard of "half". What state is it in? Is it a town or a city? It's right next door to NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Maybe halfway between bos and dc. Ie philly burbs.I dunno I'd take se pa around 2k ftw. That poster in tobeyhanna (sp?) At 2k would have some great pics if banding sets up near him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Maybe halfway between bos and dc. Ie philly burbs.I dunno I'd take se pa around 2k ftw. That poster in tobeyhanna (sp?) At 2k would have some great pics if banding sets up near him Bottom line I'd think NCEP has the right idea: With the old ULL/confluence over NE FINAL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF THE 12Z GFS/GEFS MEAN FCST CONFIDENCE: LOW With the newly developing system: FINAL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF THE 12Z GFS/ECMWF FCST CONFIDENCE: AVERAGE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Euro ens similar to op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Maybe halfway between bos and dc. Ie philly burbs.I dunno I'd take se pa around 2k ftw. That poster in tobeyhanna (sp?) At 2k would have some great pics if banding sets up near him Tobyhanna, ie Scranton Tobyhanna? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 What an awful day in Chicagoland. Screaming ne winds and mid 30s. Maybe we can cop some les as the storm pulls east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 I could see higher amounts outer cape / south coast... otherwise this seems pretty reasonable At least we squeezed a map out of this one NWS 443pm: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Never heard of "half". What state is it in? Is it a town or a city? balt * Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 I could see higher amounts outer cape / south coast... otherwise this seems pretty reasonable At least we squeezed a map out of this one NWS 443pm: StormTotalSnowFcst.png More than I thought they'd go with...seems quite possible there's nothing north of 5 or so miles of the coast. ACK/MVY if they can stay snow manage to pull some 2-4+, everyone else is really scratching right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 I'll be perfectly content with a wide whiff this time. Picking up the new wheels on Tuesday--don't want any splatter right out of the gate. Springlike today--strong sun and mild temps of 40.7 = fair amount of melting. 38.6/22 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 I'll be perfectly content with a wide whiff this time. Picking up the new wheels on Tuesday--don't want any splatter right out of the gate. Springlike today--strong sun and mild temps of 40.7 = fair amount of melting. 38.6/22 now. Still need some flooding rains to clean the roads, otherwise salt rocks chipsky. GFS now looks like the GGEM so the consensus is overwhelming now. ACK and MVY stand the best chance of getting a decent shot. If the old rules apply about banding setting up a little NW of models it may make it onto the actual cape and extreme south coast(s). Otherwise, a windy, cold, dry day or two ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Fat lady just got called up to the stage...she's waddling up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Euro ens similar to op? Yes, much less spread finally. IJD only has 3 members showing 0.3", 8 or 9 had zilch. Mean was about 0.1. Tickle to a coating for KTOL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 I'll tell you who is gonna get slammed the best of anyone probably. Our old friend Marcus on the PA/MD line at 1k feet. Maybe halfway between bos and dc. Ie philly burbs.I dunno I'd take se pa around 2k ftw. That poster in tobeyhanna (sp?) At 2k would have some great pics if banding sets up near him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Jamie Midlothian is getting smoked right outside RIC, so much for the solar time of year myth, sticking to the roads too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 I'll tell you who if gonna get slammed the best of anyone probably. Our old friend Marcus on the PA/MD line at 1k feet. concur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Tobyhanna would be too far north for the best banding I think..... Tobyhanna, ie Scranton Tobyhanna? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Still need some flooding rains to clean the roads, otherwise salt rocks chipsky. GFS now looks like the GGEM so the consensus is overwhelming now. ACK and MVY stand the best chance of getting a decent shot. If the old rules apply about banding setting up a little NW of models it may make it onto the actual cape and extreme south coast(s). Otherwise, a windy, cold, dry day or two ahead. 18z GFS and GGEM fit NOAA map well, Euro more stingy. Event has yet to happen, but while our memory is fresh... guidance seems to be converging towards Euro yet again. Like most events this winter, we would have been spared any confusion (and hope, in this case) if we just ignored NCEP guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Jamie Midlothian is getting smoked right outside RIC, so much for the solar time of year myth, sticking to the roads too. Typical March weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Any chance the euro ens look better than the op for the April 2nd snow event and cold blast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Any chance the euro ens look better than the op for the April 2nd snow event and cold blast?meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 We may be done if Ginx is right then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Maybe halfway between bos and dc. Ie philly burbs.I dunno I'd take se pa around 2k ftw. That poster in tobeyhanna (sp?) At 2k would have some great pics if banding sets up near him Tobyhanna is nowhere near Philly, it's up in the Poconos. Too far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 We may be done if Ginx is right then Forks are out....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 We may be done if Ginx is right then It is time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 We may be done if Ginx is right then I doubt we're done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Jamie Midlothian is getting smoked right outside RIC, so much for the solar time of year myth, sticking to the roads too. Probably the most annoying myth in meteorology Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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