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The Lion's end to March banter and discussion, part deux!


Typhoon Tip

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There's still enough members amped that it gets the 0.10" qpf line into all of SNE...but the 0.25" is pretty far south...near the south coast over to the Canal. I don't hold out a lot of hope for a large event at this point. We could still see a band of 1-3" or something....which I guess would be better than nothing. But the potential for this system was enormous if we had just a little more room to our northeast.

ASOUT

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I wonder where Bangor, Augusta, Burlington and Manchester sit relative to average?

Don't know if anyone responded (and no time to red the whole thread), but here are some NNE locations.

CAR....104%

BGR....122%

PWM...171%

CON....147%

I'm at about 105% of my 14-yr avg, which is very close to Farmington's 120-yr avg. I think they are about the same 105% for this season.

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Could see it going either way. I think there will be a narrow band near Philly that is able to rip 10" of heavy, wet snow. 

 

Don't mean to "use" your post for this question, but I'm not sure where else to put it.

 

Yesterday early morning, I'm walking the dog. The sky was milky blue, definitely not cloudy. Then, lo and behold, it starts snowing! It was just a very light 10-minute flurry. I was looking around for a rogue cloud somewhere, but there was nothing until I looked about 5 miles North. Any explanation for this? I know I wasn't hallucinating!

 

Edit: maybe there is no explanation. There must have been a cloud somewhere, I guess. Just strange.

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EC ens are pretty close to the op with the sfc track, but they are a bit wetter for SNE despite not much change between the two for the rest of the country. The op is pretty dry in the low levels across far SNE from 2m to 925 so it may be depicting quite a bit of virga. The ens upper low was a tick NW of the op though. If the heavies can't make it up to the south coast I'd be worried about BL issues too.

Tough forecast around NYC metro. I'll enjoy my cirrus.

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Pants tent obs from St Louis.

 

 

KSTL 241427Z 32013KT 1/4SM R30R/1600V2200FT +TSSN FG OVC005CB
    01/M01 A2965 RMK AO2 WSHFT 1406 TSB24 OCNL LTGICCC W TS W MOV E
    P0010= (SPECI)
KSTL 241421Z 31013KT 1/4SM R30R/1800V3000FT +SN FG OVC005
 01/M01 A2964 RMK AO2 WSHFT 1406 P0008= (SPECI)
KSTL 241425Z 32013KT 1/4SM R30R/1800V2400FT +TSSN FG OVC005CB
    01/M01 A2965 RMK AO2 WSHFT 1406 TSB24 OCNL LTGICCC W TS W MOV E
    P0009= (SPECI)
 

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