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March 25th Storm: Debacle or Climo Defier? Discussion and Obs


stormtracker

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LWX should really issue WWAs for central MD, given all that's happened to our south, and what guidance actually shows.

 

what happened to the south has absolutely no impact on us

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I wish I had looked carefully at the 3 hr Euro 12z forecast on Wunderground maps

it had the Richmond area snow, though not quite as heavy, but close AND

it has pretty unimpressive precip for us overnight, though probably 2-3" of snow here

I hope it isn't on the high side with that forecast

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It has been snowing here lightly for a bit now....just wet but its snowing....look out your window Dave and clueless.....

Snzzzzzz

Really?

Let it be over

At east you were working during 3/6, this winter has been pathetic out here.

Good thing expectations were low to begin with.

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
918 PM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013

MDZ006-007-009-010-250930-
/O.EXB.KLWX.WW.Y.0025.130325T0800Z-130325T1600Z/
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GAITHERSBURG...COLUMBIA
918 PM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO NOON EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS
ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW... WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 4 AM TO NOON EDT MONDAY.

* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES.
 

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I wish I had looked carefully at the 3 hr Euro 12z forecast on Wunderground maps

it had the Richmond area snow, though not quite as heavy, but close AND

it has pretty unimpressive precip for us overnight, though probably 2-3" of snow here

I hope it isn't on the high side with that forecast

Not sure what you were expecting, but that is very impressive around here for these days.

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GFS was showing <0.1" for the 6 hours between 0-6z.  So, this is all as expected.  It's the surprise RIC blizzard that once again completely shocked the world. 

i think partly people just didn't pay attention and the bl ended up a smidge colder than expected. even the gfs last night had snow to ric from the first batch.

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i think partly people just didn't pay attention and the bl ended up a smidge colder than expected. even the gfs last night had snow to ric from the first batch.

Well, I certainly will admit to not looking for what RIC was going to get for snow during daylight hours on Sunday. 

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Well, I certainly will admit to not looking for what RIC was going to get for snow during daylight hours on Sunday. 

me either but i went back and looked. the few degrees and the fact that they got absolutely crushed undoubtedly helped.. think it was still more than anyone could have gone without wishcasting.

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me either but i went back and looked. the few degrees and the fact that they got absolutely crushed undoubtedly helped.. think it was still more than anyone could have gone without wishcasting.

Pretty amazing they've been in the money zone for crazy dynamics of a rapidly deepening system twice in a row.  Should be a lesson to us, that sufficient dynamics CAN overcome just about any other mitigating factor.  But, they have to be pretty wild dynamics. 

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LOL

 

Right on time to bust. Anyone who thinks this is working for DC north has not been paying attention this winter.

their newer map is beefed a good bit in some spots west/nw. not completely sure why other than they tend to do the same thing every storm and then end up too high.  perhaps current temps.. not sure how much we drop tonight tho, some for sure but maybe not a ton. we've been getting a marine flow for a while now.. going to have to wait till late in the game and when we battle sun to get the flow more northerly.

 

post-1615-0-25621900-1364175193_thumb.pn

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