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March 25th Storm: Debacle or Climo Defier? Discussion and Obs


stormtracker

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Do higher resolution models have any climate related factors within their algorithms? Do they "know" what time of year, sun angle, ect..?

 

Yes they do.. it's called incoming shortwave radiation. They even predict what the radiation will be at the surface based on cloud depth. (Just one example: Scroll down to the very bottom)

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That stuff rolling towards WV looks intense

 

that stuff is probably going to end up rotating northwest/north of this area if it even survives in a coherent form. our stuff should develop just southwest or overhead.. tho the next period might feature some batches of qpf wasting showers.

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I'm about to blow a gasket. I hate this place. This is the snow murder capital of the country

 

It really does suck -- we endure five months plus of bare trees and wearing coats but, except for the rare fluke year, barely any snowfall.  Then you see winters like this where it is literally snowing EVERYWHERE but here.

 

I've told my wife do not expect to stay here when my career is up in 15 years.  I'd rather live in a warmer climate and travel once or twice a year for skiing and snow than live in this trash climate.

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So other than the snow sticking down South...isn't this about where we are supposed to be at this point? It would be pretty comical if we get no precip at all

Everything is right on. We tried to wishcast a batch that wasnt supposed to make it here and it kinda did.

12z euro yesterday showed lyh getting .43 this afternoon and they got more than that.

The only surprise is the amount of snow. Not precip location or amount.

Im nervous about a big bust too but there's a lot of posting that implies not getting in on the action this afternoon is a bust. It's not at all.

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So other than the snow sticking down South...isn't this about where we are supposed to be at this point? It would be pretty comical if we get no precip at all

Calm down DC folks...even the EC (which was superior with the BL themals *and* QPF during 3/6) still gives the metro region 1-4", largely with the "hope it develops soon enough" coastal low CCB between 06-15Z. It will be a close call...oh and forget the NAM and SREF!

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