Bob Chill Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 west to east based systems tend to get mangled as they traverse over the mountains. RIC disagrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowchill Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Every thing is coverd in down town RIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Snowing here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Lol Richmond is going to end up having a decent winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 RIC disagrees yea but you gotta be at the right place at the right time with these things. too complicated of a setup for a broad area of accumulating snow, at least for this first part. i still like the way it feels outside. the airmass is there, we just need things to be better organized. i think that happens tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 the low is still well to our west and isn't supposed to pass by us until tonight. yes, my point is that nice break in between part 1 and part 2. note i didn't say storm cancel, i'm just not impressed with this first part for my neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D-Train Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Tiniest of flakes falling in S Leesburg!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qaanaaq Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 2.25 inches at 5:20 PM - we've hit our "low end" for the entire event- not too shabby- as soon as I can figure out how to insert a photo- I will do it...such a ludite... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 yea but you gotta be at the right place at the right time with these things. too complicated of a setup for a broad area of accumulating snow, at least for this first part. i still like the way it feels outside. the airmass is there, we just need things to be better organized. i think that happens tomorrow morning. it's going exactly as modeled though. This batch was supposed to hit south of us and it did. It was never supposed to do more than graze us and that's exactly what it's doing. The only surprise is that there was more snow than rain. Our shot comes later. Much later. 12 hours from now or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 RIC disagrees the 500 low passage is not as good (at least for dc area) as some people think, it's still too far north. if it wasn't a huge closed low and we just had the 500 vortmax maybe better. sw va/nw ric is sorta lucking out from a front running vort running into the cold air in wait. the main 500 low is still way west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 it's going exactly as modeled though. This batch was supposed to hit south of us and it did. It was never supposed to do more than graze us and that's exactly what it's doing. The only surprise is that there was more snow than rain. Our shot comes later. Much later. 12 hours from now or so. i'm not disagreeing. i'm seeing it that way as well. we're on the same page, man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 roads are turning white now pouring snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazeKing Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Starting to snow pretty heavily in Fredericksburg ... some sweet yellow bands incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Congrats to everyone! Good late season snow. Heading to Baltimore now from Boston. Hoping I drive into snow as my eta is 9pm. Not totally well read into the situation as others. I would not be quick to forecast over a coating for either dca or BWI. East winds in the BL late season in lower urban elevations. The good snow down south might seem encouraging but there will be complications with the transfer of energy to the secondary. As things become more organized the focus would likely refocus precip and by then the torch should be on east of foothills/mountains. If you aren't already cashing in on snow like many are I wouldn't feel too confident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 i'm not disagreeing. i'm seeing it that way as well. we're on the same page, man! no worries. Your op sounded like you thought it wasn't going as planned and was already busting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Congrats to everyone! Good late season snow. Heading to Baltimore now from Boston. Hoping I drive into snow as my eta is 9pm. Not totally well read into the situation as others. I would not be quick to forecast over a coating for either dca or BWI. East winds in the BL late season in lower urban elevations. The good snow down south might seem encouraging but there will be complications with the transfer of energy to the secondary. As things become more organized the focus would likely refocus precip and by then the torch should be on east of foothills/mountains. If you aren't already cashing in on snow like many are I wouldn't feel too confident. I wouldn't call it a torch, there is an opportunity later tonight for some precip that could lay down a few inches up 95 if rates cooperate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Virga. 40 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Looks like this batch is almost over for us. Temp dropped to 32F and I'd call this an inch of snow, though it didn't stick to the roads at all. Probably will melt off during the lull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Spotsylvania, VA Moderate Snow, ground quickly turning white.......visibility 1/2 mile. Temp 33, DP 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 the 500 low passage is not as good (at least for dc area) as some people think, it's still too far north. if it wasn't a huge closed low and we just had the 500 vortmax maybe better. sw va/nw ric is sorta lucking out from a front running vort running into the cold air in wait. the main 500 low is still way west. nam_namer_003_500_vort_ht.gif It's too far north and too far south. Both EFZ and AOO will do better. DCA is the Miller B screw zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 no worries. Your op sounded like you thought it wasn't going as planned and was already busting. nah, but i do have some concerns over where the banding sets up for part 2. i'd like to see that low to the west be a little further south. part of me could see us only getting a few hours of good rates, which could be enough to break the streak, who knows. we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 BWI through DMH and MTN down to ESN are likely the areas in this region that could cash in with regards to the coastal rates tomorrow morning. Everyone should get some snow overnight when the precipitation shield fills in and links up through the energy transferring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Almost an inch on the ground. Moderate snow nearing heavy rates now. Absolutely incredible sight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Light snow now in Gainesville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 DT woofing in regards to new SREF data. He's saying he's upping his totals for DCA and BALT! Says we can get hammered tonight and Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Almost an inch on the ground. Moderate snow nearing heavy rates now. Absolutely incredible sight. Congrats buddy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 18z Gfs bone dry. Euro wetter now. Go figure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 The 1-3 call looks good. Hah, thanks. You know, all the models showed more-- but I've been burned all year. I've got the second round. I'm thinking 1-2. Can it overperform? FYI-- our soundings down here were isothermal from 700mb down. Would you have gone 4-6 for LYH at about 800ft or so? That's a bold call. and, model qpf all over the place... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qaanaaq Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 3 inches now- amazing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 DT woofing in regards to new SREF data. He's saying he's upping his totals for DCA and BALT! Says we can get hammered tonight and Monday. lol hopefully he looked at them mar 6 :-/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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