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March 25th Storm: Debacle or Climo Defier? Discussion and Obs


stormtracker

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1" is my current go big goal imby. outside chance of higher but i couldn't go there yet so i'd probably go with like .25-1.5" inside the beltway. ;)

I guess it all depends on where we're talking about the accumulations

my numbers were on grass and/or elevated surfaces (roofs, etc.) because I doubt seriously there will be anything of consequence on the roads inside either beltway

not that the school systems won't close, however

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I guess it all depends on where we're talking about the accumulations

my numbers were on grass and/or elevated surfaces (roofs, etc.) because I doubt seriously there will be anything of consequence on the roads inside either beltway

not that the school systems won't close, however

To get 3 we would need to get almost all overnight qpf sticking at 10:1. Seems unlikely even on grass but we can hope.
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SUN 12Z 24-MAR   1.0    -2.2    1015      64      10    0.00     553     541    SUN 18Z 24-MAR   6.0    -0.8    1009      47      49    0.00     550     543    MON 00Z 25-MAR   1.5    -4.6    1007      92      99    0.10     545     539    MON 06Z 25-MAR   0.8    -4.3    1003      95      91    0.13     541     538    MON 12Z 25-MAR   0.6    -4.5    1001      96      97    0.24     532     532    MON 18Z 25-MAR   2.8    -5.4    1000      83      97    0.14     528     528    TUE 00Z 26-MAR   1.6    -5.9    1004      96      97    0.06     530     527 

 

Mr. Haten......umm, I live near BWI airport....ummm, do you have the numbers for BWI airport?

thank you

p.s. my mom loves your facebook page

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BWI:

 

 

MON 00Z 25-MAR   3.2    -5.0    1007      70      99    0.03     545     539    MON 06Z 25-MAR   1.2    -4.7    1004      90      97    0.12     541     538    MON 12Z 25-MAR   0.9    -4.4    1001      95      98    0.24     533     532    MON 18Z 25-MAR   2.5    -5.4    1000      84      98    0.20     528     529    TUE 00Z 26-MAR   1.7    -6.2    1004      92      98    0.12     530     527   

 

MTN:

 

 

MON 06Z 25-MAR   1.1    -4.7    1004      90      98    0.11     541     538    MON 12Z 25-MAR   0.9    -4.3    1001      95      99    0.22     534     532    MON 18Z 25-MAR   2.2    -5.3    1000      87      99    0.22     529     529    TUE 00Z 26-MAR   1.3    -6.1    1003      92      99    0.12     529     527    
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Laser out, freezer doors open?

 

This has been an unusually calm ride for me given the abysmal season. I just set my laser on 1-3 in my yard knowing that there will be a temp battle. I will very much enjoy seeing mod snow fall during daylight that doesn't add anything. I never went on model patrol. Just a quick glance each suite and was pretty surprised as time went by how little I needed to change my thinking. I'm pretty stoked. 

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I guess if you shave 1 degree off the Euro surface temps we are in business 06Z - 12Z.

 

That's the only chance at a surprise. IF anybody gets to 32 during dark hours it's going to stay there until an hour or 2 after sunrise. 

 

My thermo is @ 42.8. I have a long ways to go but temps fell through the floor during the beginning of snowfester so who knows. 

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it was a few minutes ago

it updated

must have been just an initial snow shower that made it thru the dry layer

Give it time, it's really struggling to head north. It took 2 1/2 hours to make it from Lexington to Staunton (which is now snow), but once it starts rates are very good! I have 1.5 since noon, with 1.0 falling in last hour.

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Give it time, it's really struggling to head north. It took 2 1/2 hours to make it from Lexington to Staunton (which is now snow), but once it starts rates are very good! I have 1.5 since noon, with 1.0 falling in last hour.

yeah, the models all agreed in that regard

good luck down there, though it sounds like you already have it

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Comparing the 12z run of the GFS  at 18z with the current radar, it seems that precipitation is heavier up north. The GFS had little precip into Ohio, while the current radar shows some heavy mixed precip there. I doubt that'll have many implications, but I still found it interesting.

 

Likewise, the precip that the GFS showed for Kentucky is up in WV/OH. 

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