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March 25th Storm: Debacle or Climo Defier? Discussion and Obs


stormtracker

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Just like people say cut the nam qpf in half I think we can say most systems tend to come in faster than forecast

 

 

You're setting yourself up on that statement. 

 

This first push wasn't ever meant to  be the Big Show for DC-- as the coastal pops, that area reorganizes up near DC later. 

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You're setting yourself up on that statement. 

 

This first push wasn't ever meant to  be the Big Show for DC-- as the coastal pops, that area reorganizes up near DC later. 

Nah...even in summer the precip always comes in faster...my expectations are in a really good place for this....white grass and deck and fun flakes falling

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Nah...even in summer the precip always comes in faster...my expectations are in a really good place for this....white grass and deck and fun flakes falling

Are you here for this one? Or in that crappy state of Ohio?

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6z GFS looks slightly drier for us than 0z, but soundings are cold.  Snow soundings at DCA (although surface temps slightly above freezing) from 6z-15z tomorrow.  Even 18z and 21z soundings aren't bad, especially if it's ripping.  Buyer beware. 

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I never really broke out the laser the last couple days. Nothing really seemed to change much. It's a funny circle we live in....nam gets us excited but we know it's the nam.....we hope the gfs looks even better than the nam and it doesn't but always looked good enough.....we wait for the euro and quietly hope it's as wet as the gfs and it isn't but it never pulled the rug either. If anything, the euro has been a hope anchor of sorts.

I've stuck with 1-3 95 and points west with some trouble in the urban centers. See no reason to change.

It's only 33.5 in my yard right now. Cooler than I though it would be. I hope it's 31 this same time tomorrow.

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I never really broke out the laser the last couple days. Nothing really seemed to change much. It's a funny circle we live in....nam gets us excited but we know it's the nam.....we hope the gfs looks even better than the nam and it doesn't but always looked good enough.....we wait for the euro and quietly hope it's as wet as the gfs and it isn't but it never pulled the rug either. If anything, the euro has been a hope anchor of sorts.

I've stuck with 1-3 95 and points west with some trouble in the urban centers. See no reason to change.

It's only 33.5 in my yard right now. Cooler than I though it would be. I hope it's 31 this same time tomorrow.

Better hope that's not the humidity tomorrow morning.

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Are you here for this one? Or in that crappy state of Ohio?

Hey now, I'm a native Ohioan myself, and will even admit to being from Cleveland! :P

 

I remember many good snow events there in March (even into April).  In particular, the last weekend of March 1987:  it was 70 degrees and sunny on a Sunday, first really nice weekend of spring.  Then a front went through Monday, rain changed to snow later in the day, CLE got 16.4" snow from late Monday through that Tuesday morning.

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Hey now, I'm a native Ohioan myself, and will even admit to being from Cleveland! :P

 

I remember many good snow events there in March (even into April).  In particular, the last weekend of March 1987:  it was 70 degrees and sunny on a Sunday, first really nice weekend of spring.  Then a front went through Monday, rain changed to snow later in the day, CLE got 16.4" snow from late Monday through that Tuesday morning.

Rocky River pride

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