mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 temps are more or less on par but the 32 line shifted maybe 20 miles east at 12z so it's thru like central loudoun etc. which means snow maps should look better fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 it's a good trend now, one more in this direction at 12z tomorrow and we will break the streak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Precipitation rates are heavier on the Euro moving further east, on par with other models. In essence, it is a last second trend in that direction. The UK was an improvement over previous runs as well with QPF totals and temperatures were really chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Seems like euro is playing a little catchup to the other models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Seems like euro is playing a little catchup to the other models? I agree with you on this one Ji, it looks that way, after initially having the right idea a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Euro: .30 for DCA before 12z .23 of which falls with 33 degree temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 I agree with you on this one Ji, it looks that way, after initially having the right idea a few days ago. Maybe for once it is Dr. Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Seems like euro is playing a little catchup to the other models? told ya' that would happen at this range, they all usually start to get it with an occasional lager Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 I'm still very cautious for this one W of 95, east of the BR. Development looks like it might be a hair too late for us. Still 24 hours or so tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 which means snow maps should look better fwiw 4-8 for everyone pretty much pretend snow the 6z-12z thump potential might be real tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 4-8 for everyone pretty much pretend snow the 6z-12z thump potential might be real tho. I still say we're good thru 15z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Earlier development a notch each run should help areas W of BWI. Its always tough living on the edge. There actually could be an area in between JYO and BWI where the totals QPF and incidentally snow totals if they are present are lower than the other areas. However, there is no true dry slot in this instance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 4-8 for everyone pretty much pretend snow the 6z-12z thump potential might be real tho. I think we want to see this... anything else is gravy really... if we can somehow get 2" before 12z, it may help keep us wet snow later i think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 4-8 for everyone pretty much pretend snow the 6z-12z thump potential might be real tho. That should break the streak, that is all I am hoping for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 told ya' that would happen at this range, they all usually start to get it with an occasional lager the changes are relatively minor. it had the qpf max just offshore last run. i wouldnt necessarily assume this run is right tho they're probably closing in on where the heavier might be.. tho who knows if it's 36 and heavy snow or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Still really really dry compared to other models. DCA is barely over .50 and torch at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Euro is still a disaster except for a few hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Still really really dry compared to other models. DCA is barely over .50 and torch at 18z anyone not getting .1"+ liquid an hour is going to be torching after sunrise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 the changes are relatively minor. it had the qpf max just offshore last run. i wouldnt necessarily assume this run is right tho they're probably closing in on where the heavier might be.. tho who knows if it's 36 and heavy snow or something. well, my point was more that there has been a consensus with just about all the other models since 12z and Euro has moved toward that consensus vs. the other way around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 1.1 and .6 at DCA with .04 and .23 respectively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 off to NAM wonderland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 1.1 and .6 at DCA with .04 and .23 respectively. What about BWI?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 That should break the streak, that is all I am hoping for. I'm shooting for 3 hrs under a yellow band from 4-7 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Overall euro is a terrible run. Nothing like other models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Overall euro is a terrible run. Nothing like other models for you and I yes... not for the BWI crew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 I'm shooting for 3 hrs under a yellow band from 4-7 am. That is a realistic expectation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 FDK is the moneyshot, one frame for 6z-12z MON -.6 and .27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 What about BWI?. Double the precip.. similar temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Overall euro is a terrible run. Nothing like other models You're not getting accum worth anything during the day so this run is better than recent euro runs for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Double the precip.. similar temps. Wow, that I can deal with. Thank you. That is actually pretty sweet, much better than I hoped for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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