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March 25th Storm: Debacle or Climo Defier? Discussion and Obs


stormtracker

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  On 3/24/2013 at 6:36 PM, wxdude64 said:

Give it time, it's really struggling to head north. It took 2 1/2 hours to make it from Lexington to Staunton (which is now snow), but once it starts rates are very good! I have 1.5 since noon, with 1.0 falling in last hour.

yeah, the models all agreed in that regard

good luck down there, though it sounds like you already have it

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Comparing the 12z run of the GFS  at 18z with the current radar, it seems that precipitation is heavier up north. The GFS had little precip into Ohio, while the current radar shows some heavy mixed precip there. I doubt that'll have many implications, but I still found it interesting.

 

Likewise, the precip that the GFS showed for Kentucky is up in WV/OH. 

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  On 3/24/2013 at 6:58 PM, thunderman said:

Will have to see how this plays out, but if current dendrite growth can hold for both rounds, then parts of the Blue Ridge may need to be upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning.

Down here too..over 2 inches now. 5.. likely.

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