aldie 22 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Where's the ggem and the rgem? Ukie? Good lord....help! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Questsnow Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 5:49 PM, PhineasC said: I guess since LWX has WWA-criteria snow in the forecast for tomorrow they'll be issuing advisories to the Bay soon. I guess... Not anymore. Now they have less than an inch for most of Montgomery County and to the south/east. I'm not sure what caused them to scale it back. A WWA means there has to be 2-4" of snow, which the NWS doesn't think will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 5:49 PM, PhineasC said: I guess since LWX has WWA-criteria snow in the forecast for tomorrow they'll be issuing advisories to the Bay soon. I guess...a WWA is the worst consolation prize ever. Slightly better than a traveler's advisory tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 cut back on precip totals int he 6z-12z timeframe compared to last night.. still gets about .5" up to the potomac river by 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 5:52 PM, Ian said: euro a bit faster with the precip this eve.. potomac and sw .1"+ by 0z with .25"+ not far south. fredericksburg maybe. another .1"+ next panel. euro continues to "catch up" to other models wrt precip start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 PING report of RAPL in Staunton near the 81/64 junction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 might be a hair warmer at the sfc around dc region.. 32 lines up basically along the BR at 12z.. not much change tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 5:53 PM, bestsnow said: Not anymore. Now they have less than an inch for most of Montgomery County and to the south/east. I'm not sure what caused them to scale it back. A WWA means there has to be 2-4" of snow, which the NWS doesn't think will happen. Yeah, they just changed it. Let's hope it is just another in a long line of LWX busts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 5:55 PM, Ian said: might be a hair warmer at the sfc around dc region.. 32 lines up basically along the BR at 12z.. not much change tho rates will dictate temps i would guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 5:55 PM, Ian said: might be a hair warmer at the sfc around dc region.. 32 lines up basically along the BR at 12z.. not much change tho Only real change is start times? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 keeps the heavy precip with the low offshore again... general .5"+ across the region.. not that exciting during the day anywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Deep Creek lake calling for 12-18".... I need to hurry up and retire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 still paints basically everyone in the subforum with 4-8 on the snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueapple Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 5:58 PM, Ian said: keeps the heavy precip with the low offshore again... general .5"+ across the region.. not that exciting during the day anywhere Not exciting as in nothing falling or rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 5:57 PM, leesburg 04 said: Only real change is start times? yeah mostly. not sure any 6 hr period has the rates of last run. 6-12z definitely doesnt. low is a bit weaker/east.. ne md/de/s nj might catch some of it but sfc is mild either way unless you get into that vv ball which seems to stay just offshore based on the maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 5:59 PM, Ian said: still paints basically everyone in the subforum with 4-8 on the snow map I guess it doesn't believe its own text output Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 5:59 PM, Ian said: still paints basically everyone in the subforum with 4-8 on the snow map Divide it by 75% and lock it up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Are the NWS' forecast of less than 1/2 inch of snow tonight (eastern suburbs) and less than 1/2 in of snow tomorrow morning from an objective algorithm, or are they simply throwing out the model solutions and going with climatology/sun angle FTL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 6:00 PM, blueapple said: Not exciting as in nothing falling or rain? potomac and ne gets .1"+ from 12-18z. de/se pa/s nj gets .25"+ in that panel. 18-0z sucks for everyone unless maybe you're on a boat just offshore. not sure on precip type.. only have a few types of maps. i'd guess mix or rain or non accum snow just about everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 seems like 1-3" inside both beltways looks good and 2-4" w/elevation outside and a couple lolis of 6" in usual favored locations w/highest elevation and/or luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 6:01 PM, lester said: Divide it by 75% and lock it up! I think you mean multiply it .75 because dividing .75 will increase totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimmosk Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 6:01 PM, lester said: Divide it by 75% and lock it up! I don't think you're doing arithmetic right. x / 75% = x * 1.333 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 6:03 PM, mitchnick said: seems like 1-3" inside both beltways looks good and 2-4" w/elevation outside and a couple lolis of 6" in usual favored locations w/highest elevation and/or luck we're going to need a great band to get anywhere near 3 inside the beltway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 i hate the european model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 6:04 PM, Ian said: we're going to need a great band to get anywhere near 3 inside the beltway that's why they made range snow forecasting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skinsdomination09 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 6:01 PM, lester said: Divide it by 75% and lock it up! 5-11 inches it is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 6:05 PM, Ji said: i hate the european model doesn't really sound like it is that drier than NAM 12z, maybe by a .25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 6:06 PM, mitchnick said: that's why they made range snow forecasting 1" is my current go big goal imby. outside chance of higher but i couldn't go there yet so i'd probably go with like .25-1.5" inside the beltway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 6:04 PM, jimmosk said: Divide it by 75% and lock it up! I don't think you're doing arithmetic right. x / 75% = x * 1.333 Math was never my strong suit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 On 3/24/2013 at 6:04 PM, Ian said: we're going to need a great band to get anywhere near 3 inside the beltway Euro gives DC .37 of good snow with temps near 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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