daddylonglegs Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 NAEFS sure looks like it is showing a pattern change by mid month or earlier.. i wouldn't doubt we go above normal sometime around there...hope we can grab a solid week of 60F or low 70Fs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 first fantasy 80s of the year on the euro? Might be a bit of a stretch for Chicago exclusively, but definitely South and West of you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 NAEFS sure looks like it is showing a pattern change by mid month or earlier.. i wouldn't doubt we go above normal sometime around there...hope we can grab a solid week of 60F or low 70Fs... Yep, NAEFS hinting towards a warm up for the first time in weeks. Finally a lack of deep blue over the subforum! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 first fantasy 80s of the year on the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 I would pay for anything close to the gfs to verify. Warmth and moisture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 Wow, 12z Euro is torch city... 50 degrees by Wednesday, approaching 60 Thursday, 70 minimum and possibly pushing 80 by early the following week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 Wow, 12z Euro is torch city... 50 degrees by Wednesday, approaching 60 Thursday, 70 minimum and possibly pushing 80 by early the following week. +14-+16 at 850 across Iowa and Illinois by day 9-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 +14-+16 at 850 across Iowa and Illinois by day 9-10. Can imagine the possibilities if there's good mixing... might go from winter temps to summer temps with not much spring in between lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 I'm getting ansy for severe weather season. Trip in a month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 While this is the first Euro run that warm, it's the 5th solidly mild run in a row. Combine that with the last couple days of GFS runs showing a lot of days in the 50s and 60s around here, it's looking pretty good that winter is finally about over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 +14-+16 at 850 across Iowa and Illinois by day 9-10. 0z run had +20C into the area during that time. Nice to consistently warm runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 Also I don't know if it's been mentioned yet...but CPC's new (?) interactive display is pretty dank http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/interactive/index.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 This is pretty strongly suggestive of one or more severe episodes during this period (in addition to welcomed rain), as is this... Oddly enough, the GFS ensembles have the AO dropping into a black hole again (but this time with a near neutral NAO as opposed to strongly negative like we saw earlier in March). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 looking good dudes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 looking good dudes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 looking good dudes So no more punting till July? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 This is pretty strongly suggestive of one or more severe episodes during this period (in addition to welcomed rain), as is this... Oddly enough, the GFS ensembles have the AO dropping into a black hole again (but this time with a near neutral NAO as opposed to strongly negative like we saw earlier in March). Looks like all the cold air is funneled into eastern Canada and it doesn't get shoved south. Europe looks to stay chilly though. Pattern doesn't look bad at all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted March 31, 2013 Share Posted March 31, 2013 Time to pull my goalie, or the salter for the finial time this season. Last time I removed it, 3 days later it snowed. Spring is ready to pounce, planted some grass seed, trees are about to crack open the buds and frogs are comming to life at last. Even the ground is warming up to the point of no frost even in the shady areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 31, 2013 Share Posted March 31, 2013 GFS suddenly backing off the warmup for next weekend into next week. 12z run is squashing the warmth back to the south, leaving the northern half of the forum in a chilly east flow with plenty of rain. A couple runs ago the Euro had a steady rise to the 70s by early next week, but the GFS now has only mid 50s later this week dropping back down to the low to mid 40s for a few days. That'd be a real downer after the promising last few days of runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 31, 2013 Share Posted March 31, 2013 GFS suddenly backing off the warmup for next weekend into next week. 12z run is squashing the warmth back to the south, leaving the northern half of the forum in a chilly east flow with plenty of rain. A couple runs ago the Euro had a steady rise to the 70s by early next week, but the GFS now has only mid 50s later this week dropping back down to the low to mid 40s for a few days. That'd be a real downer after the promising last few days of runs. At the same time the 12 z gfs jacks the nao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted March 31, 2013 Share Posted March 31, 2013 Pretty sure those 850s are being contaminated by a big EML, but it certainly looks very warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 31, 2013 Share Posted March 31, 2013 Definitely a wet look for the lower to mid Lakes on the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 31, 2013 Share Posted March 31, 2013 12z Euro has jumped back north with the late week baroclinic zone so it's much warmer than the GFS, but the Euro has joined the GFS with a much chillier extended period. Yesterday's 12z Euro had 70s across Iowa Mon/Tue, but today's 12z drops us all the way to the 40s. The new run has some warmer air wedging into the arctic that effectively shifts the pattern across the US farther south. With a strong spring baroclinic zone little shifts can bring big temp swings, so it's hard to tell what it'll be like next week. A widespread soaking rain north of the front would be nice, but it'd be pretty raw as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 31, 2013 Share Posted March 31, 2013 Not sure what the temps will be but the models look pretty consistent with a pattern change coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 1, 2013 Share Posted April 1, 2013 Euro looks good? NAEFS still shows normal in the extended range... I'm not even looking at the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 1, 2013 Share Posted April 1, 2013 Count me against a cool/rainy pattern. I guess its better than having drought concerns, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 2, 2013 Share Posted April 2, 2013 18z GFS makes me cry...just horrible... cold cold cold.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 2, 2013 Share Posted April 2, 2013 0z GFS is out to lunch I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted April 2, 2013 Share Posted April 2, 2013 0z GFS is out to lunch I think. I'd get to have one last dance with snow. GGEM/EURO not as accommodating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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