CT Rain Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Wow, the BTV WRF seemed aggressive with the snow. RI's redemption for 2 snow busts in a row? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 RI's redemption for 2 snow busts in a row? LOL maybe. Maybe Cory can finally stop smashing accordians. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 LOL maybe. Maybe Cory can finally stop smashing accordians. He's sledding on accordions in dirt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 He's sledding on accordions in dirt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 I approve of the BTV-WRF. That would be a dumping of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 big shift east with the nam, likes rollo and phil...enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Rpm out to sea..... great consistency Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 pretty bright sunshine out this way so I doubt theres even a chance of flurries here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Looks like the models in their current state of technology are absolutely useless for these types of events until 6 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 NAM is a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 NAM is a joke. 12z RPM agrees with it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 12z RPM agrees with it... It doesn't even look like it has an idea about anything now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 flurries/very light snow with the sun out most of the morning so far. 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 It doesn't even look like it has an idea about anything now. Would be tragic if it did... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 NAM is a joke. 09z SREFs still like the RI/ SE MA/ CC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Would be tragic if it did... Meh. Wake me up in another 8-10 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 NAM is a joke. Shows nothing? LOL (that could be right in the end, who knows with these setups) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 HRRR is meager too. Nothing really NW of the canal. Just nuisance stuff even here NW to bob. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 HRRR is meager too. Nothing really NW of the canal. Just nuisance stuff even here NW to bob. Meh. RPM would flurries for this afternoon, while the vineyard gets clipped with the northern end of the trough, but mostly OTS. Really crappy trends today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 RPM would flurries for this afternoon, while the vineyard gets clipped with the northern end of the trough, but mostly OTS. Really crappy trends today I can't really follow the RPM. It's the Sam Kinison of weather models, very excitable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Filtered sunshine here through an overcast sky, 27F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 RGEM would have almost 20mm it seems up to Phil's back yard. It's really close. More expansive after 0z tonight back to Bob with the 5mm line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 RGEM would have almost 20mm it seems up to Phil's back yard. It's really close. More expansive after 0z tonight back to Bob with the 5mm line. Yeah RGEM looks really solid for SE MA. It actually has pretty good lift getting back into much of E MA/RI too...but doesn't quite respond with QPF. Not sure if there's some dry air or something preventing the model from giving much west of SE MA. At any rate, doubt I get much...maybe a coating to an inch back here if lucky, but for SE areas, this def could have some surprises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Yeah RGEM looks really solid for SE MA. It actually has pretty good lift getting back into much of E MA/RI too...but doesn't quite respond with QPF. Not sure if there's some dry air or something preventing the model from giving much west of SE MA. At any rate, doubt I get much...maybe a coating to an inch back here if lucky, but for SE areas, this def could have some surprises. Yeah, just a real hard call. At least the RGEM kind of spreads the wealth with at least a few inches overnight. I'll say again BOX may miss the max zone but they did the right thing in terms of the broader brush. Seems to line up well with the RGEM. Impossible to predict where the heaviest bands/if the heaviest bands will set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Yeah, just a real hard call. At least the RGEM kind of spreads the wealth with at least a few inches overnight. I'll say again BOX may miss the max zone but they did the right thing in terms of the broader brush. Seems to line up well with the RGEM. Impossible to predict where the heaviest bands/if the heaviest bands will set up. Which is why people shouldn't knee jerk to the NAM and RPM. The mid level support seems to favor at least SE MA right now. Like Will said..normal caveats apply with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 I wouldn't pay any attn to models and qpf for this. Look at mid level forcing and lift like Scooter says which is pretty far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Which is why people shouldn't knee jerk to the NAM and RPM. The mid level support seems to favor at least SE MA right now. Like Will said..normal caveats apply with this. Looks like there will be an intense finger extending up tonight, how close it gets or better yet how far it gets we aren't going to know until game time. The HRRR eliminated daytime snow at 11z which is no surprise. Looks decent heading into the 3z hour though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 I wouldn't pay any attn to models and qpf for this. Look at mid level forcing and lift like Scooter says which is pretty far west. Well dry air is part of the issue so mid level support has limitations..but I find it hard to believe Rolla doesn't see a flake like the NAM has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Looks like there will be an intense finger extending up tonight, how close it gets or better yet how far it gets we aren't going to know until game time. The HRRR eliminated daytime snow at 11z which is no surprise. Looks decent heading into the 3z hour though. The HRRR I guess doesn't see the snow in CC Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 You can see the band of Hvy snow forming now south of LI. Look at OKX radar. Shows very clearly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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