Snowman99 Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Anyone that gets text output from the Euro, could you please tell what it shows for STL when it gets there? Thanks, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 12z GGEM snow map for the lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 12z Euro looks a little more amped up at 72 hours than the 0z was...this may come a tick north...we'll find out soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 12z Euro looks a little more amped up at 72 hours than the 0z was...this may come a tick north...we'll find out soon. Euro 72.gif it actually shows a 999 right over cmh at 7296, (on plymouth), with the transfer occuring to a stronger coastal. Hard to tell what the wtod is gonna do, but definitely a much greater concern this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern_IN_Wx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 12Z trends pretty good but overall for the 70 corridor....LAF and Lima still in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 it actually shows a 999 right over cmh at 72, (on plymouth), with the transfer occuring to a stronger coastal. Hard to tell what the wtod is gonna do, but definitely a much greater concern this run. On Instantwxmaps it looks like it keeps 850mb temps below zero (somehow) even down in SE OH where I am, but waiting for the text on Accu pro to catch up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 On Instantwxmaps it looks like it keeps 850mb temps below zero (somehow) even down in SE OH where I am, but waiting for the text on Accu pro to catch up. i noticed that too, i'm skeptical. Only thing I can figure is the secondary saves us temp wise, (but that's pretty scary to rely on) edit...plymouth looks like it gets the 850 pretty close to i-70 at 12z sunday, but crashes after that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Euro went north..at hour 96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 i noticed that too, i'm skeptical. Only thing I can figure is the secondary saves us temp wise, (but that's pretty scary to rely on) edit...plymouth looks like it gets the 850 pretty close to i-70 at 12z sunday, but crashes after that It's mostly rain for me for sure...you may be a bit better near CMH...definitely got hairy down here...this is CMH: SUN 12Z 24-MAR -1.7 -0.3 1013 63 63 0.00 551 541 SUN 18Z 24-MAR 5.0 -0.1 1009 47 100 0.02 549 542 MON 00Z 25-MAR 1.9 -1.9 1004 71 100 0.08 544 541 MON 06Z 25-MAR 0.7 -3.5 1000 89 69 0.25 536 537 MON 12Z 25-MAR 0.7 -4.3 999 97 77 0.10 531 531 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 I must say, I'm liking my chances here around Dayton. The winter has taken these storms in a favorable track for SW Ohio. Even this far out it would take a pretty big wobble to take us out of the game. Going out on a limb .... 4-6 With 8 possible where banding sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 It's mostly rain for me for sure...you may be a bit better near CMH...definitely got hairy down here...this is CMH: SUN 12Z 24-MAR -1.7 -0.3 1013 63 63 0.00 551 541 SUN 18Z 24-MAR 5.0 -0.1 1009 47 100 0.02 549 542 MON 00Z 25-MAR 1.9 -1.9 1004 71 100 0.08 544 541 MON 06Z 25-MAR 0.7 -3.5 1000 89 69 0.25 536 537 MON 12Z 25-MAR 0.7 -4.3 999 97 77 0.10 531 531 amazingly weak amounts for how far north it comes.. ...makes me want to kick myself wondering what the heck I'm doing wasting time tracking a system that drops .4 qpf in late March.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2013 Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Nam has Cincy getting 8". Gfs has it on the borderline.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Pretty big jump north the Euro took when look at the snow maps, and wetter too. 3" line gets to about I-80. Pretty good 9" swath from Kirksville-central IL-Indy. St. Louis now south of heaviest band on this run. GEM gives Chicago about .80" liquid lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 I am sensing a contest on the horizon. Looks like there could be a foot of snow somewhere between ORD and LAF, at this early stage. Would expect the heaviest snow to trend across n IN, s MI, n OH, s ON and w NY into interior New England and southern Quebec. The contrast with last year is freakish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 I am sensing a contest on the horizon. Looks like there could be a foot of snow somewhere between ORD and LAF, at this early stage. Would expect the heaviest snow to trend across n IN, s MI, n OH, s ON and w NY into interior New England and southern Quebec. The contrast with last year is freakish. Interesting thinking. Thanks for the input. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 CMC snowfall output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 I am sensing a contest on the horizon. Looks like there could be a foot of snow somewhere between ORD and LAF, at this early stage. Would expect the heaviest snow to trend across n IN, s MI, n OH, s ON and w NY into interior New England and southern Quebec. The contrast with last year is freakish. you are definitely a loyal Canadian, sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 IND AFD IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WHILE LATE SEASON SNOWS ARE NOT UNHEARD OFIN CENTRAL INDIANA...SHOULD WE GET ABOVE 4 INCHES AT INDY...WE WOULDBE STEPPING INTO SOMEWHAT RAREFIED AIR. THERE HAVE ONLY BEEN TWODAYS AFTER MARCH 24 IN HISTORY WHERE INDY HAS RECEIVED 4 INCHES ORGREATER. THOSE TWO DAYS ARE 4/9/1897 AND 3/24/1912. STEPPING BACK TO3 INCHES OR GREATER...THE NUMBER OF DAYS INCREASE ONLY TO 4.POTENTIALLY A REMARKABLE CONCLUSION TO A WINTER THAT DOES NOT YETWANT TO LEAVE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 DVN going with a non-event for the QCA. Sounds about right. HAVE LEANT TOWARDS THE DRIER SOLUTIONS AS THOSEHIGHER VALUES ARE SOMEWHAT OVERDONE FOR A SYSTEM WITHOUT THE BESTGULF MOISTURE FEED...AND SEEMS TO BE USING A MORE MONSOONAL MOISTURESOURCE AND ONLY SUPPLEMENTS WITH GULF MOISTUE FARTHER EAST OF OURAREA. THUS...HAVE PUT IN SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH 1 TO 2INCHES POSSIBLE ALONG THE INTERSTATE 80 CORRIDOR...AND 2 TO 4 INCHESPOSSIBLE FARTHER SOUTH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 GGEM is a disgrace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 CMC is very sharp with the dig and NCEP very dull with the dig. Really effects later on. From what I've read EURO is in the CMC camp now correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 CMC is very sharp with the dig and NCEP very dull with the dig. Really effects later on. We probably won't have a grasp on how the wave digs until at least tomorrow...and as you said that certainly affects what the storm does later on. From what I've read EURO is in the CMC camp now correct? It's not as amped or northwest as the Canadian, but it is no longer as far south as the GFS/NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 18z GFS looks to have shifted a bit further south again from what I can tell. Looks like the Euro gives LAF around 0.90" precip from looking at the wundermaps. They look to be sitting pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Nice move north by the 12z Euro, but I still think we're riding the northern edge here in LAF. I'd rather be a bit farther south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 I am sensing a contest on the horizon. Looks like there could be a foot of snow somewhere between ORD and LAF, at this early stage. Would expect the heaviest snow to trend across n IN, s MI, n OH, s ON and w NY into interior New England and southern Quebec. The contrast with last year is freakish. I'm doomed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 I'm doomed. Congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Love me some Canada right now lol. GO ROGER..GO GGEM!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Interesting that the Euro came North and the GGEM has locked in the same solution for 2 days now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 HPC seems to be siding with the NCEP models for now...farther south with the heavy snow than the Euro/Canadian would suggest. Tonight's 0z runs will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Interesting that the Euro came North and the GGEM has locked in the same solution for 2 days now. Maybe the GGEM and Roger will score the coup, thus redeeming Roger for his forecast of a blowtorch late February? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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