chuckster2013 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 00z Gfs shift north has put me back into the rain for at least the first half of the event. Bedtime....zzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 0z RGEM weenie map. Only because I need something to latch on to... Yellow=8-10" Light orange: 10-12" Orange: 12-16" Red: 16-20" (small blob in southeast IN) Oh yeah... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 0z RGEM weenie map. Only because I need something to latch on to... Yellow=8-10" Light orange: 10-12" Orange: 12-16" Red: 16-20" (small blob in southeast IN) Oh yeah... 3:24 0z RGEM Snow.gif What's dark blue? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 What's dark blue? lol A consolation prize Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LanceJA91 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 0z RGEM weenie map. Only because I need something to latch on to... Yellow=8-10" Light orange: 10-12" Orange: 12-16" Red: 16-20" (small blob in southeast IN) Oh yeah... 3:24 0z RGEM Snow.gif Yes Sir! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 A consolation prize Haha, better than a virga storm I guess, eh? Light snow with this first wave is having a very hard time getting in here with the dry air in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 A consolation prize Lol. About 2" with a 10:1 ratio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 For the sake of making this post short, I will only post one image and that is of the 700mb chart from the RGEM, at 03z. I don't know if you can still see the 03z 700mb chart on the SPC meso page, but the 04 should be close. I would encourage you to find the 700mb chart from the Nam at 03z, it looks vastly different. Not sure what it means, but if I would guess I would bet on the RGEM before I would the NAM, the 700mb chart off the GFS looks very similar to the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Anyone have the Ukie to throw in to this mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Absolutely awesome 24hr loop for you guys to look at, can actually see the mid-level jet streak coming down around the base of the trof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Hello Everyone... Was out of town apartment hunting in Dallas-Ft Worth so I couldn't chime in until now, but I'm THRILLED that I flew in this evening to get back home instead of even trying for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Anyone have the Ukie to throw in to this mess Looks a touch northwest for both of us, with precip, versus its 12z run. Definitely so in Indiana. Images. 0z run at 0z Mon 12z run at 0z Mon 0z run at 6z Mon 12z run at 6z Mon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 so If I read the the RGEM and the UKIE right, are the foreign models coming in a tad further north than the NCEP GFS and NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 so If I read the the RGEM and the UKIE right, are the foreign models coming in a tad further north than the NCEP GFS and NAM? 0z GFS came north in MO, IL, and IN with QPF, compared to its 12z run. Alas, its 12z run looks like a bad run in hindsight. LAF added around 0.20 to 0.40" on the 0z UK, versus the 12z run. Heh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Whens the last time STL got a foot of snow? Blizzard of 82 may have been the last offical foot of snow at Lambert field, I'm not sure tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Blizzard of 82 may have been the last offical foot of snow at Lambert field, I'm not sure tbh You're going to melt in Dallas this summer. Good luck and stay cool! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 You're going to melt in Dallas this summer. Good luck and stay cool! lol, will say this, at this one complex, if I get lucky I'll have one heck of a East-SE view over Ft Worth, if there wasn't this hill behind the complex next door I'd have a perfect view right into downtown Ft Worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 0z GFS came north in MO, IL, and IN with QPF, compared to its 12z run. Alas, its 12z run looks like a bad run in hindsight. LAF added around 0.20 to 0.40" on the 0z UK, versus the 12z run. Heh. I saw the 12z GFS this morning before I went to work and dismissed it. 6hr rains of 3", followed by another 6hr rainfall event of 3" over the same area off the Carolina cost was acting to keep the surface low to far south. Those rainfalls were unrealistic IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 0z GFS ensemble mean is wetter up this way compared to the 12z run mean. Th .25"+ line gets to about DBQ-ORD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 0z GFS ensemble mean is wetter up this way compared to the 12z run mean. Th .25"+ line gets to about DBQ-ORD. Although remember the ensemble mean is likely over-smoothing the northern QPF gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Jacksonville already reporting Light Snow Last Update on 24 Mar 12:35 am CDT Current conditions at Jacksonville Municipal Airport (KIJX) Light Snow 36°F 2°C Humidity85% Wind SpeedNE 15 mph Barometer29.93 in Dewpoint32°F (0°C) Visibility3.00 mi Wind Chill27°F (-3°C) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 At Meridian, MS, the GFS, NAM, and RAP all had SE winds progged at 6z. But the obs are N at 6z (10 degrees) and now a special ob says they've backed slightly to 330 degrees. KMEI 240625Z 33012KT 2SM -RA BR BKN005 OVC012 14/13 A2963 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT W-N RAB17 CIG 003V007 PRESRR P0000 $KMEI 240558Z 01003KT 4SM BR BKN008 OVC012 14/14 A2959 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT N AND NW RAB0459E43 CIG 004V009 SLP019 P0002 60011 T01390139 10178 20139 402000089 56014 $ At Hattiesburg, the models range from SE (NAM), to S (RAP), to WSW (GFS). Actual wind? 350 degrees. KPIB 240555Z AUTO 35003KT 1 1/4SM OVC002 16/14 A2959 RMK AO1 10160 20160 57003 So what does that mean? As of now, our Low is farther south than progged, by about 75-100 miles. As for the PRESRR at MIE, I'm not really sure what to make of it. To me, that would indicated that the SLP is moving away (so south or east) from MIE). If so, then that means we're dealing with an SLP that's farther south than progged, and not moving north. The real question though is if this matters at all, since we're still in the formative stage of our cyclone, and some random wobbles are to be expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Before I turned off the laptop and "went to bed" it looked like the 500mb shortwave was a bit sharper than the NAM/GFS 0z projected for 6z. Will be interesting to see if that, along with what Thunder Road pointed out, will mean anything. I'm riding razor's edge here in Athens and do not know what to expect in 18 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 First Report of Heavy Snow in SW IL vis down to 0.50 Litchfield Municipal Airport 02:35 Heavy Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 6z NAM trending north looking like the 6z RAP, sfc low into southeast IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 6z NAM trending north looking like the 6z RAP, sfc low into southeast IN. Looks extremely juicy probably a bit overdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 A few more north bumps and LAF will be torching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GLCutter25 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 06z NAM going north and looks like it looking at radar. Not to far out from a big bust in Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 NIce band of snow moving through this morning.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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