nwohweather Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Went with this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 MCI was 40F when the snow started. No Mix.Dropped to 34F. thank you very cold mid level temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Congrats to St. Lous and Indianapolis!!! After this snowstorm, bring on the 90*F+ heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 How do I delete my account? I am done with this forum. Yeah, you are. Cya later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 One thing I've typically learned over the years is that with these QPF outputs, when they seem unrealistically high, is cut them by a third or so. I don't really want to crush anyone's hopes but I don't think I'd bite on more than Eight or Nine inches in the bullseye out of this system. There are a lot of interactions that will have to go just perfectly in order to produce some of these 12"+ totals, and that rarely happens. And the models have tended to be a bit over the top this Winter sooooo...... Again not trying to rain on anyone's parade, or in this case snow on anyone's parade... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 My best guess is heaviest snows probably cut right through the St. Louis Metro to over or just a touch North of Indianapolis based on everything I've looked at.... It could be a hair further South if the system ends up taking a bit longer to get its act together though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Looks like perhaps, a 2" total up here. Looking to see what the severe season brings. Congrats to all you folks who are cashing it..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 I think biggest concern for cmh is mixing and rain....especially at onset. We are riding the razors edge once again. If we can stay all snow I think this could surprise on the highend. I'm not so concerned about precip gap due to the transfer...I think that's not going to be an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 LOT mentioning LES tonight and tomorrow. EXCEPTION MAY BE ALONG LAKE MICHIGAN...WHERE LAKE-ENHANCEMENT ANDEVENTUALLY LAKE EFFECT APPEARS LIKELY DURING THE PERIOD. EVEN SOMEWEAK RETURNS CURRENTLY NOTED ACROSS WESTERN LAKE MICHIGAN OFF MKETHIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE LAKE-850 DELTA T VALUESINCREASE TO AROUND 13/14 C...WHICH IS FAIRLY MARGINAL. HOWEVER...INVERSION HEIGHTS EVENTUALLY RISE INTO THE 5000-7000 FT AGL RANGE BYLATE SUNDAY AND TO AROUND 7000 FT AGL LATER SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY.LONG FETCH AND STRONG WINDS PROVIDING MOISTURE FLUX/CONVERGENCESHOULD SUPPORT SOME POTENTIAL FOR LAKE ENHANCED/EFFECTED SNOW DURINGTHIS TIME. FOCUS APPEARS TO BE MAINLY LAKE/MCHENRY IL COUNTIESTONIGHT...THE IL SHORE LATER SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY...THENNORTHWEST INDIANA BY MIDDAY/AFTERNOON MONDAY WITH WINDS GRADUALLYBACKING FROM NORTHEAST TO NORTH. HAVE INDICATED GENERALLY 1-3 INCHTOTALS NEAR THE LAKE AND ESPECIALLY CHICAGO/SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHTAND MONDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 A little update from DVN UPDATE ISSUED AT 700 PM CDT SAT MAR 23 2013 ..UPDATED AVIATION SECTION BELOW IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS WILL BE TAKING A VERY CLOSE LOOK AT OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY AS THE NEW MODEL RUNS COME IN THIS EVENING. MODEL SPREAD ON THE 12Z AND 18Z RUNS WAS SURPRISINGLY HIGH...AND WOULD HAVE LIKED TO SEE BETTER CONSISTENCY WITH THIS SYSTEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 From a local news station FB page...based off the EURO. http://www.facebook.com/pages/WAND-TV-NewsCenter-17/18134969623 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 ILX has a new snow map posted... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Dt's map is actually p good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Dt's map is actually p good Blind squirrel finds a nut once and a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 My best guess is heaviest snows probably cut right through the St. Louis Metro to over or just a touch North of Indianapolis based on everything I've looked at.... It could be a hair further South if the system ends up taking a bit longer to get its act together though. I was thinking the same thing about Indiana. I'm predicting Mottster in Lebanon to be as close as anyone in the forum to be in the bullseye with B-rent right behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Have seen a couple of reports of sleet already with SATs near 50F. Very dry air below 700mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 My best guess is heaviest snows probably cut right through the St. Louis Metro to over or just a touch North of Indianapolis based on everything I've looked at.... It could be a hair further South if the system ends up taking a bit longer to get its act together though. I was thinking the same thing about Indiana. I'm predicting Mottster in Lebanon to be as close as anyone in the forum to be in the bullseye with B-rent right behind. I'm throwing a snow board in the front yard on my way to work tomorrow morning. I won't be able to do six hour increments, but better than nothing. Sent from my SCH-I535 using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 The separation in the waves on satellite representation looks much much closer than was probably progged.... I don't know if this will come way further N than what was modeled, but I'd be watching that. Cold cloud tops starting to really blossom over Iowa too in response to this process. Hmmm... probably nothing big but something to watch here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 00z NAM is kinda brutal for LAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Snowing at CID. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 00z NAM is kinda brutal for LAF. No access so brutal good or brutal bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 Snowing at CID. Des Moines was down to 1/2 mile in moderate snow a little earlier. Looks like some light snow should reach the QC by midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 nam looks like a solid hit for central Ohio....i70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 nam looks like a solid hit for central Ohio....i70 It it only took till March 24..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 It it only took till March 24..lol Yea and still only on paper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 No access so brutal good or brutal bad. Bad. We'll have to see about the rest of the models but this could lead to an early appearance of pessimist Tim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 It it only took till March 24..lol Yea and still only on paper You have had 37" of snow this year. You want to talk about this somewhere else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Bad. We'll have to see about the rest of the models but this could lead to an early appearance of pessimist Tim. Wagons south. Marion: T LAF: 2" OKK: 3" IND: 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 You have had 37" of snow this year. You want to talk about this somewhere else? lol, yeah...brutal winter for CMH. They've had it rough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 You have had 37" of snow this year. You want to talk about this somewhere else? Haven't had a 'technical' warning criteria event verify imby yet this winter. That's what I was referring to. Chill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.