IWXwx Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 If Roger nails this, he will be my new hero, torch bust or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 that moist shadow of the WTOD looms close here....so what else is new, (story of this entire winter). When the nceps pulled north last night I figured it was over, but the ggem coming south,and the euro holding, (heard ens. were flatter than op), makes me think we're still 50/50 here in cmh for a nice event. Normally a storm making it to southern OH is the kiss of death for CMH, and yet models are being extremely generous with keeping the 850s at bay. GGEM is a great example. Not sure why this is except it must have to do with the early transfer taking place, enough to hit the brakes on the warm air?? Another negative for us here is the snow starts Sunday morning and is mostly a daytime event...not sure the unusual cold leading up to the storm will offset any of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 The 6z GFS is nice too... ImageUploadedByTapatalk1363948669.842843.jpg Verbatim the heavier stuff cuts SE of us there. I don't like being that close to the sweet spot this far out though, still 36ish hours until the event begins, I hope we've seen the end of the N shift. For all my moaning earlier about wishing for seasonable weather, I'm getting pretty excited for this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Verbatim the heavier stuff cuts SE of us there. I don't like being that close to the sweet spot this far out though, still 36ish hours until the event begins, I hope we've seen the end of the N shift. For all my moaning earlier about wishing for seasonable weather, I'm getting pretty excited for this system. Still plenty of snow on this run for Kokomo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 9.02" mean. Biggest snow in several winters. Likely since VD2007. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 6z NAM coming in more amped, stronger wave, more ridging out ahead of it, further north. 5-8" for northeast IL LAF buried USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_084.gif 14-16" for LAF. Ridiculous. Looks like the snow map from the 2007 V Day blizzard. Which of course, is the #3 CIPS analog at 60 hours based off the 0z GFS. #1 analog is March 10-12, 2000...which was a good enough storm for LAF. http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/stats.php?reg=MV&model=GFS212&fhr=F060&flg= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 9.02" mean. Biggest snow in several winters. Likely since VD2007. 9.4" mean for LAF. Top weenie amounts of 12.1", 12.4", 13.2", 13.8", 14.9", 16.0", and 17.8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Looks like the snow map from the 2007 V Day blizzard. Which of course, is the #3 CIPS analog at 60 hours based off the 0z GFS. Sweet memories... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Sweet memories... It was the best. Saw Randy Ollis on today's morning WISH-TV news. He's all in, painting 6-10" possible across central Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 0z vs 6z. Congrats LAF. Maybe next year for here. Saw Randy Ollis on today's morning WISH-TV news. He's all in, painting 6-10" possible across central Indiana.Chuck was only pushing 2-5" on 13 this morning. Didn't catch 59. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 It was the best. Saw Randy Ollis on today's morning WISH-TV news. He's all in, painting 6-10" possible across central Indiana. Most other local TV mets are going with 2-4.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Chuck was only pushing 2-5" on 13 this morning. Didn't catch 59. Most other local TV mets are going with 2-4.. I think Chad has 3-6" for LAF, 6-9" south of here. Think I'm going to start my range with T to 12" for LAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 I think Chad has 3-6" for LAF, 6-9" south of here. Think I'm going to start my range with T to 12" for LAF. Bust low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Bust low. My top end amount is too low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 This snowpack will help protect Chad's garden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 This snowpack will help protect Chad's garden He needs the moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 LOT going with 1" up near the WI border, to 6"+ down toward Kankakee. Possible lake enhancement may give Chicago and other parts of Cook County around 4". Whatever. So long as it melts fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 well about the only thing you can take from the 12z nam is the north trend was just b*tch slapped back down. Looks drier too, which would make sense. Still it's +48hr out so grain of salt it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 12z RGEM takes a bit of a jump south... definitely south of the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 12z RGEM takes a bit of a jump south... definitely south of the NAM. the rgem has a 998 low over ne MS at 48hrs. The 00z gem had a 1002 low over east central MS same timeframe. I would think this indicates the gem may come in further north and amped. Although they still look the same at 500 so hopefully, (for my sake), it's a stronger low that doesn't necessarily translate into further north. add: you are right, it is south of the NAM, but it's also much stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 RGEM has h5 closed low at 48 hour in Central OK. With 2-3 hours of heavy snow already in STL. That set up screams STL to Indy/LAF. So far we have seen nothing to justify Nichols weenie predictions. Again though not saying it won't go North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Ukmet not buying it either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 GFS looking kinda sloppy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 I think this is looking more and more like a glorified clipper... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 GFS looking kinda sloppy... good word for it. It's slower, a tad north, warmer, and weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 GFS wetter here. .50"+ gets to I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 DT is dry humping the NAM like it's going out of style. Sent from my SCH-I535 using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 That has got to be one of the slowest transfers I've ever seen after killing off the primary. I don't think I've ever actually seen a solution like that before actually happen, so I don't buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 12z GFS looking more NAM'ish with the fujiwara interaction between the Montana vort and the energy rounding the base of the trough. There is a big increase is snow for Iowa vs recent runs.FS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 22, 2013 Author Share Posted March 22, 2013 12z GFS looking more NAM'ish with the fujiwara interaction between the Montana vort and the energy rounding the base of the trough. There is a big increase is snow for Iowa vs recent runs.FS I would definitely take this. The Euro has been pretty dry for us though, and it's always hard to argue against it. If the Euro doesn't come in any wetter/further north with the 12z I'll probably be leaning towards a 1-2" type scenario for both of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.