cyclone77 Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Blah. Well don't think I've ever started a storm thread, so if this fails you can blame me. Trends continue to point to at least something to impact much of our sub the 24-25th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 To me your area has among the better potential for this storm so hopefully starting the thread will be good luck for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 NO no no no no no no no no....ahhhh....*&(&*(... its going to fall on me and there is nothing i can do... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 Don't worry DLL this is south of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 I have yet to see any consistency with any model for here. Id really like a good snowstorm. Its been a good winter, plenty of shoveling, whiteout squalls, overperforming snowfalls, slightly above average snowcover...but just one big snowstorm and that was at the beginning of winter. Spring is clearly nowhere in sight, lets go out with a bang. If we do get a snowstorm outta this, my grade is a A-/B+ for the winter (depending on the storm lol)...if not it will probably be a B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 I have a feeling this will be suppressed south of Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 ^lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 I have a feeling the year will warm as it progresses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 I'm not far off from punting here, just because I think the strength of the arctic air and the block will be too strong to allow the moisture to stream up past about Chicago and Toledo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 ^lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 Models an undeniable, disagreeable mess, system is days away from being sampled....and the gut feelings of "its gonna miss mby" already out in full force Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 I still feel confident that this will be the event which breaks the cold cycle and brings in more typicial weather for our region. (Yes, spring!!) It will be a strong and large but the exact tract might run more westernly due to the -AO going so positive so quickly as the storm develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2013 Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 Models an undeniable, disagreeable mess, system is days away from being sampled....and the gut feelings of "its gonna miss mby" already out in full force On that note, looks atm like all rain for me as snow stays well north once again.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 0z GFS looks good for DVN, MSN (I believe), MKE, ORD, etc. Hope this can continue to give those of us up north in this forum (relatively speaking) some hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 Seeing this model output is amazing to me. This is a perfect snowstorm in January but to see this as we near April, beyond rare. 0z GFS gives ORD nearly 1.40" liquid, all snow, 850mb temps as cold as -8 deg C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 0z GFS is a reasonable hit for Toronto. We may yet make our seasonal snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 20, 2013 Author Share Posted March 20, 2013 00z GFS with a relative screw zone over the QCA, but that's reading way too much into it this far out. Just happy to see the general trends continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 00z GEM took a big leap south and the UK still doesn't look like much, so the GFS is now singin' solo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 20, 2013 Author Share Posted March 20, 2013 00z GEM took a big leap south and the UK still doesn't look like much, so the GFS is now singin' solo. Luckily the GEM is a heaping pile of **** anymore. Always can't resist looking at it though as the normal progression of models come out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 20, 2013 Author Share Posted March 20, 2013 If the Euro doesn't trend north a little towards the GFS I'm gonna start to get worried a bit. GFS would likely cave towards the Euro eventually. That's what usually happens anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 If the Euro doesn't trend north a little towards the GFS I'm gonna start to get worried a bit. GFS would likely cave towards the Euro eventually. That's what usually happens anyway. I think it might be safe to say its already caving with 2 runs in a row closer to the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 I think it might be safe to say its already caving with 2 runs in a row closer to the Euro. Not really, the Euro caved for a run with last night's 0z run, and the GEM and UK caved to the GFS for a run or two, so unless it continues with small shifts or is making this shift several runs in a row, it's not really a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 Man to think it's late March and I'm still getting missed to the south. Would be an awfully impressive final event, especially considering the date. This thing will be a potent quick shot wherever it may go, still can't get over this thing being suppressed to the south. The average high in Toledo is 50 for the 20th of March, so to see the fact that we may not break 40 for the next week at least is extremely impressive and ironic as well. Last year we were roasting folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 Does anyone know what the 0z euro looks like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 0z Euro comes in south of the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 Difference between the euro and gfs is how they handle the blocking ahead of the system. GFS weakens/shifts it to the east a bit more ( that allows the system to come further nw ) vs the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 0z GFS is a reasonable hit for Toronto. We may yet make our seasonal snowfall. We may, but if we do, it's not going to be because of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 Lots of issues that the models won't come to a consensus on: Blocking/track and occlusion/transfer. Auglaize County, OH EMA posted this map on their Facebook page. Looks like a blend of the models. I'd take it, but right now it's kind of lol worthy. I'd dub this the "Palm Sunday" storm, but that moniker's already taken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 20, 2013 Author Share Posted March 20, 2013 6z GFS trended weaker/further south. Starting to trend towards the Euro solution. DLL and MSN snow magnets ineffective with this storm it appears. Could end up being a good storm for STL into the OH valley. Not feeling as good about it up here anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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